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  • 1
    Digitale Medien
    Digitale Medien
    Springer
    OR spectrum 18 (1996), S. 43-49 
    ISSN: 1436-6304
    Schlagwort(e): Time-series ; prediction ; pattern ; Zeitreihen ; Prognose ; Muster
    Quelle: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Thema: Mathematik , Wirtschaftswissenschaften
    Beschreibung / Inhaltsverzeichnis: Zusammenfassung Wir schlagen eine neue deskriptive Methode für die Prognose von Zeitreihen vor. Die Methode basiert auf der Imitation von vorhergehenden ähnlichen Mustern. Um ähnliche Muster zu sammeln, schlagen wir einen Algorithmus vor, der die charakteristischen Eigenschaften von Mustern vergleicht. Die Methode erfordert keine statistischen Voraussetzungen. Wir vergleichen die Methode mit den Ergebnissen der Untersuchung von Makridakis.
    Notizen: Abstract We propose a new descriptive approach to timeseries forecasting based on the imitation of the past similar patterns in the data history. In order to select similar patterns we introduce an algorithm that compares the patterns' characteristics. The proposed method does not require any statistical assumptions. We compare the method with the results of the Makridakis competition.
    Materialart: Digitale Medien
    Standort Signatur Einschränkungen Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-04-20
    Beschreibung: The Slovenian Environment Agency (ARSO) and Geological Survey of Slovenia (GeoZS) jointly developed a new seismic hazard model for the 2021 Slovenian probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) in the scope of a seven-year project starting in 2014. Fault and area source parameters and their uncertainties were estimated, using all available seismological, geological, and seismotectonic data, models, and interpretations. A fault source is a 3D structure, which is described by a fault trace, dip, seismogenic depth, and parameters that describe its kinematics (activity, fault source type, rake, slip rate values) and maximum magnitude the source can generate. An area source is represented by a polygon described with characteristic structural domain (faults, fault systems) and its style of faulting, seismogenic/hypocentral depth, activity rate, and maximum magnitude. The database contains 89 seismogenic faults and 18 area sources in Slovenia and its surroundings. Data includes shapefiles describing the geometry of seismogenic sources, and Excel parametrization tables, linked through source ID and name. Shapefiles provide fault surface traces and polygons for area sources. Both fault and area parametrization tables include two Excel sheets: the first level (sheet names Fault sources and Area Sources) describes all estimated source parameters, and the second (sheet names FS_PSHA and AS_PSHA) consists of parameters that were used in the 2021 Slovenian PSHA model and calculation of national seismic hazard maps. The owner of the database is ARSO, which led the PSHA and financed the seven-year project on active faults in Slovenia, carried out by GeoZS and ARSO. Seismogenic source delineation and estimation of many source parameters were done in the scope of this project. Other parameters were estimated by ARSO based on seismological data.
    Schlagwort(e): area source; probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA); seismic hazard model; seismogenic fault source; Slovenia; Slovenia_seismic_hazard_model
    Materialart: Dataset
    Format: application/zip, 287.4 kBytes
    Standort Signatur Einschränkungen Verfügbarkeit
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  • 3
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-05-12
    Beschreibung: The H2020 Project SERA (WP25-JRA3; http://www.sera-eu.org) is committed to updating and extending the 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM13; Woessner et al., 2015, Bull. Earthquake Eng.) to form the basis of the next revision of the European seismic design code (CEN-EC8). Following the probabilistic framework established for ESHM13, the 2020 update (ESHM20) requires a continent-wide seismogenic model based on input from earthquake catalogs, tectonic information, and active faulting. The development of the European Fault-Source Model (EFSM20) fulfills the requirements related to active faulting. EFSM20 has two main categories of seismogenic faults: crustal faults and subduction systems. Crustal faults are meant to provide the hazard model with seismicity rates in a variety of tectonic contexts, including onshore and offshore active plate margins and plate interiors. Subduction systems are meant to provide the hazard model with both slab interface and intraslab seismicity rates. The model covers an area that encompasses a buffer of 300 km around all target European countries (except for Overseas Countries and Territories, OTCs), and a maximum of 300 km depth for slabs. The compilation of EFSM20 relies heavily on publicly available datasets and voluntarily contributed datasets spanning large regions, as well as solicited local contributions in specific areas of interest. The current status of the EFSM20 compilation includes 1,256 records of crustal faults for a total length of ~92,906 km and four subduction systems, namely the Gibraltar Arc, Calabrian Arc, Hellenic Arc, and Cyprus Arc. In this contribution, we present the curation of the main datasets and their associated information, the criteria for the prioritization and harmonization across the region, and the main strategy for transferring the earthquake fault-source input to the hazard modelers. The final version of EFSM20 will be made available through standard web services published in the EFEHR (http://www.efehr.org) and EPOS (https://www.seismofaults.eu) platforms adopting FAIR data principles. The SERA project received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No.730900.
    Beschreibung: European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No.730900
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: Online
    Beschreibung: 3T. Sorgente sismica
    Schlagwort(e): Seismic Hazard Assessment ; SHA ; Seismogenic fault ; EFSM20 ; SERA ; Solid Earth
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: Conference paper
    Standort Signatur Einschränkungen Verfügbarkeit
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  • 4
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-11-18
    Beschreibung: Seismology and Earthquake Engineering Research Infrastructure Alliance for Europe (SERA), H2020, grant agreements 730900.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 2T. Deformazione crostale attiva
    Beschreibung: 6T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: 4IT. Banche dati
    Schlagwort(e): Geology ; Earth sciences of Europe ; Earth sciences of Africa ; Earth sciences of Asia ; Earth Sciences and Geology ; earthquakes ; hazard model ; seismogenic faults ; slip rate ; crustal fault sources ; subduction fault sources ; Seismology ; 04.04. Geology ; 04.06. Seismology ; 04.07. Tectonophysics
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: web product
    Standort Signatur Einschränkungen Verfügbarkeit
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