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  • 1
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Kiel
    Schlagwort(e): Hochschulschrift
    Materialart: Online-Ressource
    Seiten: 1 Online-Ressource (40 Seiten = 3 MB) , Graphen, Karten
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe 2023
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Anmerkung: Zusammenfassung in deutscher und englischer Sprache
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  • 2
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-04-20
    Beschreibung: This data set includes the minimal data necessary to reproduce the findings of Nissen et al. (2022). Output of model simulations with the global ocean biogeochemical model FESOM1.4-REcoM2 is provided. In particular, besides information on the model grid, the data set includes a) physical variables such as temperature, salinity, mixed layer depth, an age tracer, and surface buoyancy fluxes and b) biogeochemical variables such as air-sea CO2 fluxes, fluxes of sinking particulate organic carbon into the deep ocean below 2000 m, and total carbon concentrations. Furthermore, this data set includes physical fluxes of total carbon, i.e., vertical and lateral advection and mixing. Depending on the variable in question, model results are provided for the period 1980-2100 for the core experiments of the paper (simA-ssp5-8.5 with varying atmospheric CO2 levels and a changing climate, the control simulation simB, and simC with varying atmospheric CO2 levels and a constant climate) and for the period 2101-2150 for two idealized extensions of experiment simA forced at the ocean surface with constant atmospheric conditions.
    Schlagwort(e): Binary Object; Carbon; File content; model simulation; Southern Ocean; water masses; Weddell Sea
    Materialart: Dataset
    Format: text/tab-separated-values, 26 data points
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  • 3
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    Publikationsdatum: 2023-08-03
    Beschreibung: Two time slice experiments (1959-1990 (20C) and 2069-2100 (21C) respectively) of the ECHAM5 model were performed and the results served as the basis for the analysis of storms in the Mediterranean Sea in this thesis. The goal is to investigate potential changes of the simulated storms under climate change as well as to elaborate differences between the identified "tropcial like" cyclones and true tropical systems. The analysis of the genesis positions and tracks of all simulated storms reveals two main genesis regions, one in the northwestern and a second in the southeastern Mediterranean Sea. Most of the systems move eastwards from where they developed. Both for genesis positions and tracks, no change is observed under climate change. In a frequency distribution of the maximum intensities of the storms, a statistically significant decrease of high maximum intensities is found for all the storms. A criterion found in the literature helping identifying true tropical cyclones is varied and applied to the data set. A decrease of 30% to 50% in the number of the "tropical like" storms can be found between 20C and 21C. No statistically significant changes in the frequency distribution of the maximum intensity is observed. Problems using the criterion are identified giving indications for how the criterion should be modified for "tropical like" cyclones in the Mediterranean Sea. It should hence take into account that the "tropical like" cyclones only develop a warm core in certain vertical levels and during certain time steps. A possible approach is considering the increase in temperature anomaly between certain height levels. This study reveals that the storms identified by the 554-criterion (minimum value in relative vorticity in 850 hPa (in 10-5 s-1), minimum decrease of relative vorticity between 850 hPa and 250 hPa (in 10-5 s-1) as well as the minimum number of time steps the first two named criteria have to be consecutively fulfilled) show an increase in temperature anomaly between 700 hPa and 400 hPa 2.5-times magnified compared to those storms not showing any decrease in relative vorticity between 850 hPa and 250 hPa The simulated genesis positions of the "tropical like" cyclones show a decrease in the number of systems in the central Mediterranean Sea in 21C compared to 20C. The analysis of the atmospheric wind shear and stability conditions don't give any clear explanation for that. A more detailed analysis of the atmospheric conditions for any particular season has to be performed to find more distinct correlations. In this study, besides differences in the warm core, further differences between "tropical like" cyclones and true tropical systems are found in the maximum attained wind speeds, the ,, radius of maximum winds" and the genesis date of the systems.
    Schlagwort(e): Course of study: BSc Physics of the Earth System
    Materialart: Thesis , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 4
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-07
    Beschreibung: We assess the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake (1985–2018) using data sets gathered in the REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Project Phase 2. The Southern Ocean acted as a sink for CO2 with close agreement between simulation results from global ocean biogeochemistry models (GOBMs, 0.75 ± 0.28 PgC yr−1) and pCO2-observation-based products (0.73 ± 0.07 PgC yr−1). This sink is only half that reported by RECCAP1 for the same region and timeframe. The present-day net uptake is to first order a response to rising atmospheric CO2, driving large amounts of anthropogenic CO2 (Cant) into the ocean, thereby overcompensating the loss of natural CO2 to the atmosphere. An apparent knowledge gap is the increase of the sink since 2000, with pCO2-products suggesting a growth that is more than twice as strong and uncertain as that of GOBMs (0.26 ± 0.06 and 0.11 ± 0.03 Pg C yr−1 decade−1, respectively). This is despite nearly identical pCO2 trends in GOBMs and pCO2-products when both products are compared only at the locations where pCO2 was measured. Seasonal analyses revealed agreement in driving processes in winter with uncertainty in the magnitude of outgassing, whereas discrepancies are more fundamental in summer, when GOBMs exhibit difficulties in simulating the effects of the non-thermal processes of biology and mixing/circulation. Ocean interior accumulation of Cant points to an underestimate of Cant uptake and storage in GOBMs. Future work needs to link surface fluxes and interior ocean transport, build long overdue systematic observation networks and push toward better process understanding of drivers of the carbon cycle. Key Points: - Ocean models and machine learning estimates agree on the mean Southern Ocean CO2 sink, but the trend since 2000 differs by a factor of two - REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Project Phase 2 estimates a 50% smaller Southern Ocean CO2 sink for the same region and timeframe as RECCAP1 - Large model spread in summer and winter indicates that sustained efforts are required to understand driving processes in all seasons
    Materialart: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
    Format: text
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  • 5
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-07
    Beschreibung: This contribution to the RECCAP2 (REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes) assessment analyzes the processes that determine the global ocean carbon sink, and its trends and variability over the period 1985-2018, using a combination of models and observation-based products. The mean sea-air CO2 flux from 1985 to 2018 is -1.6 +/- 0.2 PgC yr(-1) based on an ensemble of reconstructions of the history of sea surface pCO(2) (pCO(2) products). Models indicate that the dominant component of this flux is the net oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2, which is estimated at -2.1 +/- 0.3 PgC yr(-1) by an ensemble of ocean biogeochemical models, and -2.4 +/- 0.1 PgC yr(-1) by two ocean circulation inverse models. The ocean also degasses about 0.65 +/- 0.3 PgC yr(-1) of terrestrially derived CO2, but this process is not fully resolved by any of the models used here. From 2001 to 2018, the pCO2 products reconstruct a trend in the ocean carbon sink of -0.61 +/- 0.12 PgC yr(-1) decade(-1), while biogeochemical models and inverse models diagnose an anthropogenic CO2-driven trend of -0.34 +/- 0.06 and -0.41 +/- 0.03 PgC yr(-1) decade(-1), respectively. This implies a climate-forced acceleration of the ocean carbon sink in recent decades, but there are still large uncertainties on the magnitude and cause of this trend. The interannual to decadal variability of the global carbon sink is mainly driven by climate variability, with the climate-driven variability exceeding the CO2-forced variability by 2-3 times. These results suggest that anthropogenic CO2 dominates the ocean CO2 sink, while climate-driven variability is potentially large but highly uncertain and not consistently captured across different methods.
    Materialart: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
    Format: text
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  • 6
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    In:  EPIC3virtual annual meeting EU project COMFORT, 2020-09-02-2020-09-03
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-04-29
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Conference , notRev
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  • 7
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    In:  EPIC3virtual EGU 2021, online everywhere, 2021-04-19-2021-04-30The Southern Ocean carbon sink 1985-2018: first results of the RECCAP2 project
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-05-04
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Conference , notRev
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  • 8
    Publikationsdatum: 2020-03-09
    Beschreibung: The vertical export of particulate organic carbon (POC) from the upper ocean is a critical determinant of the efficiency of the biological carbon pump, i.e., how the biological pump affects atmospheric CO2. This is particularly relevant in the Southern Ocean (SO), the world’s most important region controlling atmospheric CO2. At high latitudes, the biological pump tends to be very effective in transforming net primary production to POC export, while at more equatorial latitudes, this export efficiency is lower. Here, we use the regional SO model ROMS-BEC with 4 phytoplankton functional types to disentangle the controls on the spatial variability in export efficiency. Through a set of model experiments, in which we successively turn off relevant aspects such as the temperature dependence of ecosystem processes or differences across phytoplankton types in the routing of biomass losses, we show that the simulated variability in export efficiency can only be explained by accounting for latitudinal differences in ecosystem structure. Of particular importance is the relative importance of diatoms for total biomass. We also find a strong sensitivity of the air-sea CO2 flux between 30-50°S to changes in POC export, i.e., changes in the biological pump efficiency. Varying the routing of diatom biomass losses to POC, we find that in this area, any change in POC export results in a change in oceanic CO2 uptake which amounts to 50% of the simulated change in POC export on the decadal time scales considered here. The sensitivity of the air-sea CO2 flux to changes in POC export is smaller (~7%) at high SO latitudes, possibly resulting from a quick resupply of respired carbon with upwelling, making the air-sea CO2 flux less dependent on the magnitude of downward POC fluxes. Consequently, on decadal time scales, our findings imply that any change in phytoplankton community structure and hence POC production and export has major impacts on oceanic CO2 uptake in the subantarctic and on the carbon export efficiency across the SO.
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Conference , notRev
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  • 9
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-07
    Beschreibung: Antarctic Bottom Water formation, such as in the Weddell Sea, is an efficient vector for carbon sequestration on time scales of centuries. Yet, possible changes in carbon sequestration under changing environmental conditions are unquantified to date, mainly due to difficulties in simulating the relevant processes on high-latitude continental shelves. Using a model setup including both ice-shelf cavities and oceanic carbon cycling, we demonstrate that by 2100, deep-ocean carbon accumulation in the southern Weddell Sea is abruptly attenuated to only 40% of the rate in the 1990s in a high-emission scenario, while still being 4-fold higher in the 2080s. By assessing deep-ocean carbon budgets and water mass transformations, we show that this decline can be attributed to an increased presence of Warm Deep Water on the southern Weddell Sea continental shelf, a 16% reduction in sea-ice formation, and a 79% increase in ice-shelf basal melt. Altogether, these changes lower the density and volume of newly formed bottom waters and reduce the associated carbon transport to the abyss.
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Conference , notRev
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  • 10
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    In:  EPIC3COMFORT Annual Meeting, Virtual, 2021-09-15-2021-09-17
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-09-30
    Repository-Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Materialart: Conference , notRev , info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
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