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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Theoretical and applied climatology 65 (2000), S. 1-15 
    ISSN: 1434-4483
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Summary  Secular or multi-decadal variability is a widely observed phenomenon, apparent in instrumental and paleo climatic records. These long time oscillations are found in many variables of the climate system. The ocean especially experiences low frequency variations. But also atmospheric variables such as temperature, wind velocity and sea level pressure can show secular variability. The low frequency variability here is examined in the coupled atmosphere-ocean model ECHAM3/LSG T21. A coupled stratospheric and tropospheric mode is detected oscillating with a period of approximately 100 years. The atmospheric pressure system mainly involved in this oscillation is the northern hemispheric winter stratospheric polar vortex. The near surface temperature experiences variations of the same magnitude as the observed temperature trends of the last decades. Multi decadal variability is also shown in the North Atlantic Oscillation Index. A shift of the length of the oscillation period between longer and shorter time scales indicates that chaotic processes might be responsible for the variability.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Theoretical and applied climatology 62 (1999), S. 85-108 
    ISSN: 1434-4483
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Summary  We study the three-dimensional transport of Mt. Pinatubo volcanic cloud with the climate model ECHAM4. In order to obtain model results comparable with observations a Newtonian relaxation technique was applied, which forces prognostic model variables towards the observations. A comparison of the simulated aerosol distribution with satellite data reveals good agreement for the first months after the eruption. The model, however, is unable to simulate the tropical aerosol maximum in 1992 and also overestimates the vertical downward and northward transport of aerosols. Substantial improvement was achieved with the introduction of reduced advective vertical transport through the 380 K isentropic layer. Heating rates and top of the atmosphere fluxes, which were calculated online for the first half year after the eruption, are in the observed range. A comparison of Pinatubo simulations between three different vertical ECHAM4 versions (ECHAM4 L19, ECHAM4 L39, MA/ECHAM4) indicates that a vertical resolution of ≈ 700 m in the tropopause region is sufficient to realistically reduce the vertical transport through the tropopause. Consideration of the upper branch of the Brewer Dobson circulation in the MA/ECHAM4 model improves the geographical distribution of the volcanic cloud. The application of a relaxation technique can further reduce major shortcomings of stratospheric simulations with the standard climate model. There remain, however some critical points in the global transport characteristics in all three models which are not fully understood.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2019-07-16
    Description: Accurate and reliable predictions and an understanding of future changes in the stratosphere are of major importance to our understanding of climate change. Simulating the interaction between chemistry and climate is of particular importance, because continued increases in greenhouse gases and a slow decrease in halogen loading are expected. These both influence the abundance of stratospheric ozone. In recent years a number of coupled chemistry climate models (CCMs) with different levels of complexity have been developed. They produce a wide range of results concerning the timing and extent of ozone-layer recovery. Interest in reducing this range has created a need to address how the main dynamical, chemical, and physical processes that determine the long-term behavior of ozone are represented in the models and to validate these model processes through comparisons with observations and other models. A set of core validation processes structured around four major topics (transport, dynamics, radiation, and stratospheric chemistry and microphysics) has been developed. Each process is associated with one or more model diagnostics and with relevant datasets that can be used for validation. This approach provides a coherent framework for validating CCMs and can be used as a basis for future assessments. Similar efforts would benefit other model communities allowing development in our understanding of the various processes as models increase their degree of complexity.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , isiRev
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2016-09-13
    Description: Decadal and bi-decadal climate responses to tropical strong volcanic eruptions (SVEs) are inspected in an ensemble simulation covering the last millennium based on the Max Planck Institute—Earth system model. An unprecedentedly large collection of pre-industrial SVEs (up to 45) producing a peak annual-average top-of-atmosphere radiative perturbation larger than −1.5 Wm−2 is investigated by composite analysis. Post-eruption oceanic and atmospheric anomalies coherently describe a fluctuation in the coupled ocean–atmosphere system with an average length of 20–25 years. The study provides a new physically consistent theoretical framework to interpret decadal Northern Hemisphere (NH) regional winter climates variability during the last millennium. The fluctuation particularly involves interactions between the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the North Atlantic gyre circulation closely linked to the state of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. It is characterized by major distinctive details. Among them, the most prominent are: (a) a strong signal amplification in the Arctic region which allows for a sustained strengthened teleconnection between the North Pacific and the North Atlantic during the first post-eruption decade and which entails important implications from oceanic heat transport and from post-eruption sea ice dynamics, and (b) an anomalous surface winter warming emerging over the Scandinavian/Western Russian region around 10–12 years after a major eruption. The simulated long-term climate response to SVEs depends, to some extent, on background conditions. Consequently, ensemble simulations spanning different phases of background multidecadal and longer climate variability are necessary to constrain the range of possible post-eruption decadal evolution of NH regional winter climates.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2012-02-23
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2017-07-27
    Description: Extremely large volcanic eruptions have been linked to global climate change, biotic turnover, and, for the Younger Toba Tuff (YTT) eruption 74,000 years ago, near-extinction of modern humans. One of the largest uncertainties of the climate effects involves evolution and growth of aerosol particles. A huge atmospheric concentration of sulfate causes higher collision rates, larger particle sizes, and rapid fall out, which in turn greatly affects radiative feedbacks. We address this key process by incorporating the effects of aerosol microphysical processes into an Earth System Model. The temperature response is shorter (9–10 years) and three times weaker (−3.5 K at maximum globally) than estimated before, although cooling could still have reached −12 K in some midlatitude continental regions after one year. The smaller response, plus its geographic patchiness, suggests that most biota may have escaped threshold extinction pressures from the eruption.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 7
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    Geological Society Publishing
    In:  In: Volcanic Degassing. , ed. by Oppenheimer, C., Pyle, D. M. and Barclay, J. Special Publications Geological Society London, 213 . Geological Society Publishing, London, pp. 307-328.
    Publication Date: 2020-04-01
    Description: We estimated the volatile emissions of the 12 900 years BP eruption of Laacher See volcano (Germany), using a modified petrological method. Glass inclusions in phenocrysts and matrix glasses sampled over the Laacher See tephra profile were analysed by synchrotron X-ray fluorescence microprobe and electron microprobe to obtain the emitted masses of halogens, sulphur, and water. These data were used to initialize the numerical plume model ATHAM in order to investigate the fate of volcanic gases in the plume, and to estimate volatile masses injected into the stratosphere. The scavenging efficiency of each volatile component depends on its interactions with both liquid water and ice. We found a scavenging efficiency of c.5% for the sulphur species, and of only c.30% for hydrogen halides, despite their high water solubility. Our simulations showed that the greatest fraction of hydrometeors freeze to ice, due to the fast plume rise and great height of the eruption column. For the dry atmospheric conditions of the Laacher See eruption, the amount of liquid water was not sufficient to completely scavenge HCl and HBr, so that a large proportion could reach the stratosphere.
    Type: Book chapter , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 8
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    WMO
    In:  In: Report of the 2006 Assessment of the Scientific Assessment Panel : SCIENTIFIC ASSESSMENT OF OZONE DEPLETION: 2006 - Pursuant to Article 6 of the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. World Meteorological Organization Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project, 50 . WMO, pp. 1-53.
    Publication Date: 2012-09-07
    Type: Book chapter , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 9
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    Elsevier
    In:  Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 115 (3-4). pp. 511-528.
    Publication Date: 2017-07-20
    Description: We compiled a global data set of volcanic degassing during both explosive and quiescent volcanic events. The data set comprises estimates of gas emissions of volcanoes from Europe (e.g. Etna), Asia (e.g. Merapi), the Americas (e.g. Fuego), Africa (e.g. Erta Ale) and ocean islands (e.g. Kilauea) over the past 100 yr. The set includes 50 monitored volcanoes and ∼310 extrapolated explosively erupting volcanoes. Among the ∼360 volcanoes, 75% are located in the Northern and 25% in the Southern Hemisphere. We have estimated the total annual global volcanic sulfur emission into the atmosphere to be on the order of 7.5–10.5×1012 g/yr S (here as SO2), amounting to 10–15% of the annual anthropogenic sulfur output (∼70×1012 g/yr S during the decade 1981–1990) and 7.5–10.5% of the total global sulfur emission (e.g. biomass burning, anthropogenic, dimethylsulfide) with ∼100×1012 g/yr S. The estimates of other volcanic gases emitted (e.g. H2S, HCl) are based on the assumption that the different gas components emitted by a volcano are in equilibrium with each other. Accordingly, the molar ratios of the gas species in high-temperature fumaroles are similar to molar ratios equilibrated at depth where the gas separates from the magma. Thus, we can use the directly measured SO2 fluxes and known molar ratios (e.g. H2S/SO2) for a semi-quantitative estimate of other gas components emitted (e.g. H2S). The total annual emission of HCl is 1.2–170×1012 g/yr, that of H2S 1.5–37.1×1012 g/yr, of HF 0.7–8.6×1012 g/yr, of HBr 2.6–43.2×109 g/yr, and of OCS 9.4×107–3.2×1011 g/yr. We estimate an emission of 1.3×107–4.4×1010 g/yr for CS2.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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