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  • Blackwell Publishing Ltd  (1)
  • Copernicus Publications (EGU)  (1)
  • IPCC  (1)
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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd
    Polar research 13 (1994), S. 0 
    ISSN: 1751-8369
    Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
    Topics: Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Peculiarities in the intra-annual variations of 03, N20 and CH4 in the middle and upper stratosphere are analysed by different methods for the middle and polar latitudes of the Northern and the Southern hemispheres. In the middle stratosphere the phase of the O, annual harmonic shifts in the Northern Hemisphere from polar to lower latitudes, while in the Southern Hemisphere the downward shift is exhibited. The phase of the NiO annual harmonic shifts to the poles both in the Northern and Southern hemispheres, but in the Northern Hemisphere it is almost vertical with the horizontal spreading, while in the Southern Hemisphere the phase propagation has a remarkable downward component. The most similar shifts of the phase of the annual harmonic in the middle stratosphere of both hemispheres are exhibited for the CII” content in the middle and high latitudes. Remarkable differences are noted between the intervals with the increase of mixing ratios in the annual cycle at different latitudinal belts. In particular, these intervals are large in subtropical stratosphere, with a shorter and steeper decrease of the mixing ratios. The general decrease of these intervals is exhibited from middle to polar latitudes. The striking difference in temporal variations of the species exists between the northern polar and middle latitudes, where the month-to-month changes of the species are often opposite each to other. These peculiarities and interhemispheric differences are associated with the different stratospheric dynamics of the Northern and Southern hemispheres, particularly with different regimes of planetary wave activity in the northern and southern extratropical latitudes.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-02-08
    Description: The Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC) is the change in global mean temperature expected to occur following the cessation of net CO2 emissions and as such is a critical parameter for calculating the remaining carbon budget. The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) was established to gain a better understanding of the potential magnitude and sign of ZEC, in addition to the processes that underlie this metric. A total of 18 Earth system models of both full and intermediate complexity participated in ZECMIP. All models conducted an experiment where atmospheric CO2 concentration increases exponentially until 1000 PgC has been emitted. Thereafter emissions are set to zero and models are configured to allow free evolution of atmospheric CO2 concentration. Many models conducted additional second-priority simulations with different cumulative emission totals and an alternative idealized emissions pathway with a gradual transition to zero emissions. The inter-model range of ZEC 50 years after emissions cease for the 1000 PgC experiment is −0.36 to 0.29 ∘C, with a model ensemble mean of −0.07 ∘C, median of −0.05 ∘C, and standard deviation of 0.19 ∘C. Models exhibit a wide variety of behaviours after emissions cease, with some models continuing to warm for decades to millennia and others cooling substantially. Analysis shows that both the carbon uptake by the ocean and the terrestrial biosphere are important for counteracting the warming effect from the reduction in ocean heat uptake in the decades after emissions cease. This warming effect is difficult to constrain due to high uncertainty in the efficacy of ocean heat uptake. Overall, the most likely value of ZEC on multi-decadal timescales is close to zero, consistent with previous model experiments and simple theory.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed , info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: text
    Format: text
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  • 3
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    IPCC
    In:  In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth : Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change : Chapter 5. , ed. by Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Conners, S. L., Pean, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekci, O., Yu, R. and Zhou, B. IPCC, Genf, Switzerland, pp. 1-221.
    Publication Date: 2022-01-06
    Type: Book chapter , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
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