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  • 2020-2024  (25)
  • 2010-2014
  • 2023  (25)
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  • 2020-2024  (25)
  • 2010-2014
Year
  • 1
    Publication Date: 2024-01-24
    Description: Spatially variable basal conditions are thought to govern how ice sheets behave at glacial time scales (〉1000 years) and responsible for changes in dynamics between the core and peripheral regions of the Laurentide and Fennoscandian ice sheets. Basal motion is accomplished via the deformation of unconsolidated sediments, or via sliding of the ice over an undeformable bed. We present an ice sheet sliding module for the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) that takes into account changes in sediment cover and incorporates surface meltwater. This model routes meltwater, produced at the surface and base of the ice sheet, toward the margin of the ice sheet. Basal sliding is accomplished through the deformation of water saturated sediments, or sliding at the ice-bed interface. In areas with continuous, water saturated sediments, sliding is almost always accomplished through sediment deformation. In areas with incomplete cover, sliding has a stronger dependence on the supply of water. We find that the addition of surface meltwater to the base is a more important factor for ice sheet evolution than the style of sliding. In a glacial cycle simulation, our model causes a more rapid buildup of the Laurentide Ice Sheet.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2024-02-07
    Description: Numerical simulations employing prognostic stable water isotopes can not only facilitate our understanding of hydrological processes and climate change but also allow for a direct comparison between isotope signals obtained from models and various archives. In the current work, we describe the performance and explore the potential of a new version of the Earth system model AWI-ESM (Alfred Wegener Institute Earth System Model), labeled AWI-ESM-2.1-wiso, in which we incorporated three isotope tracers into all relevant components of the water cycle. We present here the results of pre-industrial (PI) and mid-Holocene (MH) simulations. The model reproduces the observed PI isotope compositions in both precipitation and seawater well and captures their major differences from the MH conditions. The simulated relationship between the isotope composition in precipitation (δ18Op) and surface air temperature is very similar between the PI and MH conditions, and it is largely consistent with modern observations despite some regional model biases. The ratio of the MH–PI difference in δ18Op to the MH–PI difference in surface air temperature is comparable to proxy records over Greenland and Antarctica only when summertime air temperature is considered. An amount effect is evident over the North African monsoon domain, where a negative correlation between δ18Op and the amount of precipitation is simulated. As an example of model applications, we studied the onset and withdrawal date of the MH West African summer monsoon (WASM) using daily variables. We find that defining the WASM onset based on precipitation alone may yield erroneous results due to the substantial daily variations in precipitation, which may obscure the distinction between pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Combining precipitation and isotope indicators, we suggest in this work a novel method for identifying the commencement of the WASM. Moreover, we do not find an obvious difference between the MH and PI periods in terms of the mean onset of the WASM. However, an advancement in the WASM withdrawal is found in the MH compared to the PI period due to an earlier decline in insolation over the northern location of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2024-02-07
    Description: In order to quantify the relative importance of individual boundary conditions and forcings, including greenhouse gases, ice sheets, and Earth's orbital parameters, on determining Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) climate, we have performed a series of LGM experiments using a state-of-the-art climate model AWI-ESM, in which different combinations of boundary conditions and forcings have been applied following the protocol of Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project phase 4 (PMIP4). In good agreement with observational proxy records, a general colder and drier climate is simulated in our full-forced LGM experiment as compared to the present-day simulation. Our simulated results from non-full-forced sensitivity simulations reveal that both the greenhouse gases and ice sheets play a major role in defining the anomalous LGM surface temperature compared to today. Decreased greenhouse gases in LGM as compared to present day leads to a non-uniform global cooling with polar amplification effect. The presence of LGM ice sheets favors a warming over the Arctic and northern Atlantic oceans in boreal winter, as well as a cooling over regions with the presence of ice sheets. The former is induced by a strengthening in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) transporting more heat to high latitudes, whilst the latter is due to the increased surface albedo and elevation of ice sheets. We find that the Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation is influenced by the opposing effects of LGM greenhouse gases and ice sheets. Specifically, the presence of ice sheets leads to significant drying in the Northern Hemisphere monsoon regions, while a reduction in greenhouse gases results in increased monsoon rainfall. Based on our model results, continental ice sheets exert a major control on atmospheric dynamics and the variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Moreover, our analysis also implies a nonlinearity in climate response to LGM boundary conditions and forcings.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2024-02-07
    Description: The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key feature of the North Atlantic with global ocean impacts. The AMOC's response to past changes in forcings during the Holocene provides important context for the coming centuries. Here, we investigate AMOC trends using an emerging set of transient simulations using multiple global climate models for the past 6,000 years. Although some models show changes, no consistent trend in overall AMOC strength during the mid-to-late Holocene emerges from the ensemble. We interpret this result to suggest no overall change in AMOC, which fits with our assessment of available proxy reconstructions. The decadal variability of the AMOC does not change in ensemble during the mid- and late-Holocene. There are interesting AMOC changes seen in the early Holocene, but their nature depends a lot on which inputs are used to drive the experiment.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2024-05-28
    Description: The cold Last Glacial Maximum, around 20,000 years ago, provides a useful test case for evaluating whether climate models can simulate climate states distinct from the present. However, because of the indirect and uncertain nature of reconstructions of past environmental variables such as sea surface temperature, such evaluation remains ambiguous. Instead, here we evaluate simulations of Last Glacial Maximum climate by relying on the fundamental macroecological principle of decreasing community similarity with increasing thermal distance. Our analysis of planktonic foraminifera species assemblages from 647 sites reveals that the similarity-decay pattern that we obtain when the simulated ice age seawater temperatures are confronted with species assemblages from that time differs from the modern. This inconsistency between the modern temperature dependence of plankton species turnover and the simulations arises because the simulations show globally rather uniform cooling for the Last Glacial Maximum, whereas the species assemblages indicate stronger cooling in the subpolar North Atlantic. The implied steeper thermal gradient in the North Atlantic is more consistent with climate model simulations with a reduced Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Our approach demonstrates that macroecology can be used to robustly diagnose simulations of past climate and highlights the challenge of correctly resolving the spatial imprint of global change in climate models.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2023-11-23
    Description: Based on inferences from proxy records the Miocene (23.03–5.33 Ma) was a time of amplified polar warmth compared to today. However, it remains a challenge to simulate a warm Miocene climate and pronounced polar warmth at reconstructed Miocene CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 concentrations. Using a state‐of‐the‐art Earth‐System‐Model, we implement a high‐resolution paleobathymetry and simulate Miocene climate at different atmospheric CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 concentrations. We estimate global mean surface warming of +3.1°C relative to the preindustrial at a CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 level of 450 ppm. An increase of atmospheric CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 from 280 to 450 ppm provides an individual warming of ∼1.4°C, which is as strong as all other Miocene forcing contributions combined. Substantial changes in surface albedo are vital to explain Miocene surface warming. Simulated surface temperatures fit well with proxy reconstructions at low‐ to mid‐latitudes. The high latitude cooling bias becomes less pronounced for higher atmospheric CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 concentrations. At such CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 levels simulated Miocene climate shows a reduced polar amplification, linked to a breakdown of seasonality in the Arctic Ocean. A pronounced warming in boreal fall is detected for a CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 increase from 280 to 450 ppm, in comparison to weaker warming for CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 changes from 450 to 720 ppm. Moreover, a pronounced warming in winter is detected for a CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 increase from 450 to 720 ppm, in contrast to a moderate summer temperature increase, which is accompanied by a strong sea‐ice concentration decline that promotes cloud formation in summer via enhanced moisture availability. As a consequence planetary albedo increases and dampens the temperature response to CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 forcing at a warmer Miocene background climate.
    Description: Key Points: At a CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 level of 450 ppm, a Miocene simulation shows a global mean surface warming of +3.1°C relative to the preindustrial state. Atmospheric CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 increase from 280 to 450 ppm causes a warming of ∼1.4°C, which is as strong as all other forcing factors combined. At higher atmospheric CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 levels, the Miocene climate shows a reduced polar amplification linked to a breakdown of seasonality in the Arctic.
    Description: Alfred Wegener Institute
    Description: Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
    Description: https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.943430
    Description: https://github.com/FESOM/fesom2/
    Description: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/modeling-with-icon/code-avilability
    Keywords: atmospheric CO2 ; Miocene ; Miocene temperature change ; polar amplification ; climate modeling ; Miocene bathymetry
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2023-11-13
    Description: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Owing to the complicated spatial–temporal characteristics of East Asian precipitation (EAP), climate models have limited skills in simulating the modern Asian climate. This consequently leads to large uncertainties in simulations of the past EAP variation and future projections. Here, we explore the performance of the newly developed Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model, version 3 (AWI‐CM3) in simulating the climatological summer EAP. To test whether the model's skill depends on its atmosphere resolution, we design two AWI‐CM3 simulations with different horizontal resolutions. The result shows that both simulations have acceptable performance in simulating the summer mean EAP, generally better than the majority of individual models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). However, for the monthly EAP from June to August, AWI‐CM3 exhibits a decayed skill, which is due to the subseasonal movement of the western Pacific subtropical high bias. The higher‐resolution AWI‐CM3 simulation shows an overall improvement relative to the one performed at a relatively lower resolution in all aspects taken into account regarding the EAP. We conclude that AWI‐CM3 is a suitable tool for exploring the EAP for the observational period. Having verified the model's skill for modern climate, we suggest employing the AWI‐CM3, especially with high atmosphere resolution, both for applications in paleoclimate studies and future projections.〈/p〉
    Description: 〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉This figure shows the skill scores of AWI‐CM3 and CMIP6 models in simulating the climatological summer East Asian precipitation (EAP), which indicates that AWI‐CM3 simulations perform better than most CMIP6 individual models for the summer mean EAP, while AWI‐CM3's skills decay from June to August.〈boxed-text position="anchor" content-type="graphic" id="joc8075-blkfxd-0001" xml:lang="en"〉 〈graphic position="anchor" id="jats-graphic-1" xlink:href="urn:x-wiley:08998418:media:joc8075:joc8075-toc-0001"〉 〈alt-text〉image〈/alt-text〉 〈/graphic〉 〈/boxed-text〉〈/p〉
    Description: National Natural Science Foundation of China http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001809
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Description: Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM
    Description: Helmholtz Program
    Description: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Description: China Scholarship Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004543
    Description: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_environment/GPCC/html/fulldata-monthly_v2022_doi_download.html
    Description: https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/cru_ts_4.05
    Description: http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki-u.ac.jp/products.html
    Description: https://jra.kishou.go.jp/JRA-55/index_en.html
    Description: https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6
    Keywords: ddc:551.6 ; AWI‐CM3 ; CMIP6 ; East Asia ; summer precipitation
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2024-05-31
    Keywords: (9E)-2,6,10,14-Tetramethyl-7-(3-methylpent-4-enyliden)pentadeca-9-ene, per unit mass total organic carbon; (9Z)-2,6,10,14-Tetramethyl-7-(3-methylpent-4-enyliden)pentadeca-9-ene, per unit mass total organic carbon; 2,10,14-Trimethyl-6-enyl-7-(3-methylpent-1-enyl)pentadecene, per unit mass total organic carbon; 24-ethylcholest-5-en-3beta-ol, per unit mass total organic carbon; 24-Methylcholest-5-en-3beta-ol, per unit mass total organic carbon; 24-Methylcholesta-5,22E-dien-3beta-ol, per unit mass total organic carbon; 4alpha,23,24-Trimethyl-5alpha-cholest-22E-en-3beta-ol, per unit mass total organic carbon; Age; AGE; Age, error; Antarctic sea ice; ANT-XXXI/3; AWI_Envi; AWI_Paleo; Branched and isoprenoid tetraether index; Bransfield Strait; Carbon, organic, total; Carbon/Nitrogen ratio; cholesta-5,24-dien-3beta-ol, per unit mass total organic carbon; Depth, bottom/max; DEPTH, sediment/rock; Depth, top/min; Diatoms, sea ice; Gas chromatography - Mass spectrometry (GC-MS); highly branched isoprenoids; IPSO25; Lead-210 excess; Lead-210 excess, error; Modern analog technique (MAT), D274/28/4an; MUC; MultiCorer; Paleoclimate; Paleoenvironmental Reconstructions from Marine Sediments @ AWI; Phytoplankton biomarker Brassicasterol IPSO25 index; Phytoplankton biomarker Dinosterol IPSO25 index; Phytoplankton biomarker HBI E-Triene IPSO25 index; Phytoplankton biomarker HBI Z-Triene IPSO25 index; PIPSO25 calculated after Vorrath et al., 2019; Polarstern; Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems @ AWI; PS97; PS97/068-2; sea ice proxy; Sea surface temperature, summer; Sedimentation rate per year; SOTOH, SOT based on RI-OH caculated after Lü et al., 2015 (Eq. 13 and 14); SOTTEX, SOT based on TEXL86 calculated after Kim et al., 2010 (Eq. 7 and 8); Sub-surface ocean temperature; Transfer function, IKM – D336/29/3q
    Type: Dataset
    Format: text/tab-separated-values, 1055 data points
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2024-06-12
    Description: Estimates of Last Glacial Maximum annual mean seawater temperatures at 50 m depth. The temperature estimates are derived using the Modern Analogue Technique using the ForCenS synthesis (https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.873570; https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.109) and World Ocean Atlas 1998 temperature (http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/oc5/woa98.html) for calibration. Dissimilarity to the core top data was calculated using the square-chord distance and the temperatures are the weighted averages of the 10 closest analogues. Estimates were averaged for sites where more than a single sample is available.
    Keywords: Center for Marine Environmental Sciences; LGM; MARUM; Planktonic foraminifera; Seawater temperature; transfer function
    Type: Dataset
    Format: application/zip, 2 datasets
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2024-06-12
    Description: Estimates of Last Glacial Maximum annual mean seawater temperatures at 50 m depth. The temperature estimates are derived using the Modern Analogue Technique using the ForCenS synthesis (https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.873570; https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.109) and World Ocean Atlas 1998 temperature (http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/oc5/woa98.html) for calibration. Dissimilarity to the core top data was calculated using the square-chord distance and the temperatures are the weighted averages of the 10 closest analogues. Estimates were averaged for sites where more than a single sample is available. This data set contains ensembles of the reconstructed temperature with spatially correlated noise with characteristics of the transfer function model residuals. Please refer to https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.962957 for details on linking IDs to sediment cores.
    Keywords: Center for Marine Environmental Sciences; Group; Identification; LATITUDE; LGM; LONGITUDE; MARUM; Planktonic foraminifera; Seawater temperature; Temperature anomaly; transfer function
    Type: Dataset
    Format: text/tab-separated-values, 1941000 data points
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