Description: Establishing a sediment budget in the newly created “Kleine Noordwaard” wetland area in the Rhine–Meuse delta Eveline Christien van der Deijl, Marcel van der Perk, and Hans Middelkoop Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 187-201, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-187-2018, 2018 To study the effectiveness of river delta restoration, we used field observations and elevation data to quantify the magnitude and spatial patterns of aggradation and erosion in a restored wetland in the Rhine-Meuse delta. Erosion and aggradation rates decrease over time, but aggradation compensates for sea-level rise and soil subsidence. Channels in the centre had aggraded, whereas the inlet and outlet eroded. Furthermore, sediment is in general uniformly distributed over the intertidal area.

Description: Effect of changing vegetation on denudation (part 1): Predicted vegetation composition and cover over the last 21 thousand years along the Coastal Cordillera of Chile Christian Werner, Manuel Schmid, Todd A. Ehlers, Juan Pablo Fuentes-Espoz, Jörg Steinkamp, Matthew Forrest, Johan Liakka, Antonio Maldonado, and Thomas Hickler Earth Surf. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esurf-2018-14,2018 Manuscript under review for ESurf (discussion: open, 0 comments) Vegetation is crucial for modulating rates of denudation and landscape evolution, and is directly influenced by climate conditions and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations. Using transient climate data and a state-of-the-art dynamic vegetation model we simulate the vegetation composition and cover from the Last Glacial Maximum to present along the Coastal Cordillera of Chile. In part 2 we assess the landscape response to transient climate and vegetation cover using a landscape evolution model.

Description: Optimising 4-D surface change detection: an approach for capturing rockfall magnitude–frequency Jack G. Williams, Nick J. Rosser, Richard J. Hardy, Matthew J. Brain, and Ashraf A. Afana Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 101-119, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-101-2018, 2018 We present a method to analyse surface change using 3-D data collected at hourly intervals. This is applied to 9000 surveys of a failing rock slope, acquired over 10 months. A higher proportion and frequency of small rockfall is observed than in less-frequent (e.g. monthly) monitoring. However, quantifying longer-term erosion rates may be more suited to less-frequent data collection, which contains lower accumulative errors due to the number of surveys and the lower proportion of small events.

Description: A hydroclimatological approach to predicting regional landslide probability using Landlab Ronda Strauch, Erkan Istanbulluoglu, Sai Siddhartha Nudurupati, Christina Bandaragoda, Nicole M. Gasparini, and Gregory E. Tucker Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 49-75, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-49-2018, 2018 We develop a model of annual probability of shallow landslide initiation triggered by soil water from a hydrologic model. Our physically based model accommodates data uncertainty using a Monte Carlo approach. We found elevation-dependent patterns in probability related to the stabilizing effect of forests and soil and slope limitation at high elevations. We demonstrate our model in Washington, USA, but it is designed to run elsewhere with available data for risk planning using the Landlab.

Description: A lattice grain model of hillslope evolution Gregory E. Tucker, Scott W. McCoy, and Daniel E. J. Hobley Earth Surf. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esurf-2018-4,2018 Manuscript under review for ESurf (discussion: open, 0 comments) This article presents a new technique for computer simulation of slope forms. The method provides a way to study how events that disturb soil or turn rock into soil add up over time to produce landforms. The model represents a cross section of a hypothetical landform is represented as a lattice of cells, each of which may represent air, soil, or rock. Despite its simplicity, the model does a good job of simulating a range of common of natural slope forms.

Description: How concave are river channels? Simon M. Mudd, Fiona J. Clubb, Boris Gailleton, and Martin D. Hurst Earth Surf. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esurf-2018-7,2018 Manuscript under review for ESurf (discussion: open, 1 comment) Rivers can reveal information about erosion rates, tectonics, and climate. In order to make meaningful inferences about these influences one must be able to compare headwaters to downstream parts of the river network. We describe new methods for normalizing river steepness for drainage area to better understand how rivers record erosion rates in eroding landscapes.

Description: Topographical change caused by moderate and small floods in a gravel bed ephemeral river – a depth-averaged morphodynamic simulation approach Eliisa S. Lotsari, Mikel Calle, Gerardo Benito, Antero Kukko, Harri Kaartinen, Juha Hyyppä, Hannu Hyyppä, and Petteri Alho Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 163-185, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-163-2018, 2018 This paper analyses the timing of topographical changes of a gravel bed ephemeral river channel during consecutive and moderate- and low-magnitude floods by applying a morphodynamic model calibrated with pre- and post-event surveys using RTK-GPS and mobile laser scanning. The channel acted as a braided river during lower flows but as a meandering river during higher flows. The channel changes can be greater during the long-lasting receding phase than during the rising phase of the floods.

Description: Mechanical State of Gravel Soil in Mobilization of Rainfall-Induced Landslide in Wenchuan seismic area, Sichuan province, China Liping Liao, Yunchuan Yang, Zhiquan Yang, Yingyan Zhu, Jin Hu, and D. H. Steve Zou Earth Surf. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esurf-2018-15,2018 Manuscript under review for ESurf (discussion: open, 0 comments) Although gravel soils generated by seismic shaking in Wenchuan earthquake area have subjected to natural consolidation process for nearly ten years, geological hazards, such as slope failures with ensuing landslides, frequently are haunting the area. In this paper, artificial flume model tests and triaxial tests were used to make close observation on the mechanical state of gravel soil in Wenchuan seismic area. The results showed that: (1) The timing and patterns of landslide initiations were closely related to their initial dry densities, and the initiation processes were accompanied with a variation of dry density and void ratio; (2) Fine particle migration in soil and coarse-fine particle content rearrangement contributed to the internal micro structure reorganization, which was supposed to be the main reason for variation of dry density and void ratio; (3) Gravel soils with unchanged grain compositions, if under the same hydrostatic compression, they approached to an identical critical void ratio to fail; (4) The mechanical state of certain sort of gravel soil can be identified by its relative position between state parameter ( e, p' ) and e c -p' planar critical state line; (5) Gravel soil slope failed and then evolved into landslide under lasting rainfall leaching, while in gravel slope there co-existed soil dilatation and contraction, but the dilatation was dominant. Above research findings not only could be used to interpret landslide initiation but also would provide an insight for landslide warning forecast of gravel slope in seismic area.

Description: Numerical modelling of landscape and sediment flux response to precipitation rate change John J. Armitage, Alexander C. Whittaker, Mustapha Zakari, and Benjamin Campforts Earth Surf. Dynam., 6, 77-99, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-6-77-2018, 2018 We explore how two landscape evolution models respond to a change in climate. The two models are developed from a divergent assumption on the efficiency of sediment transport. Despite the different resulting mathematics, both numerical models display a similar functional response to a change in precipitation. However, if we model sediment transport rather than assume it is instantaneously removed, the model responds more rapidly, with a response time similar to that observed in nature.

Description: Tectonic controls of Holocene erosion in a glaciated orogen Byron A. Adams and Todd A. Ehlers Earth Surf. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esurf-2018-9,2018 Manuscript under review for ESurf (discussion: open, 0 comments) Recent work has highlighted a strong, worldwide, glacial impact of orogen erosion rates over the last 2 Ma. While it may be assumed that glaciers increased erosion rates when active, the degree to which past glaciations influence Holocene erosion rates through the adjustment of topography is not known. In this study, we investigate the influence of long-term tectonic and post-glacial topographic controls on erosion in a glaciated orogen, the Olympic Mountains, USA. We present 14 new 10 Be and 26 Al analyses which constrain Holocene erosion rates across the Olympic Mountains. Basin-averaged erosion rates scale with basin-averaged values of 5-km local relief, channel steepness, and hillslope angle throughout the range, similar to observations from non-glaciated orogens. These erosion rates are not related to mean annual precipitation or the marked change in Pleistocene alpine glacier size across the range, implying that glacier modification of topography and modern precipitation parameters do not exert strong controls on these rates. Rather, we find that despite intense spatial variations in glacial modification of topography, patterns of recent erosion are similar to those from estimates of long-term tectonic rock uplift. This is consistent with a tectonic model where erosion and rock uplift patterns are controlled by the deformation of the Cascadia subduction zone.