Note: Includes bibliographical references and index

Note: Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Contributors -- Preface -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- Chapter 1 Synthesizing Observed Impacts of Extreme Weather Events Across Systems -- 1.1. A REASON FOR CONCERN -- 1.2. OF TRUTHS AND TRIVIALITIES -- 1.2.1. Weather Extremes or Impact Extremes? -- 1.2.2. Detection and Attribution -- 1.2.3. Finding a Common Currency -- 1.2.4. The Arithmetic of Synthesis -- 1.2.5. Is There Power in Numbers? -- 1.3. SYNTHESIZING ACROSS EVERYTHING -- 1.4. IMPLICATIONS FOR THE FUTURE -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 2 The Impact of Heat Waves on Agricultural Labor Productivity and Output -- 2.1. CALIFORNIA AGRICULTURE -- 2.1.1. Production -- 2.1.2. Employment -- 2.2. EXTREME EVENTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE: HEAT INDEX -- 2.3. HEAT WAVES AND AGRICULTURAL LABOR -- 2.4. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK -- 2.5. DATA SOURCES AND DESCRIPTION -- 2.6. EMPIRICAL ESTIMATION AND RESULTS -- 2.7. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- APPENDIX 2.1 -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 3 Weather Extremes That Affect Various Agricultural Commodities -- 3.1. INTRODUCTION -- 3.2. COMMIDITY GROUPINGS -- 3.2.1. Citrus -- 3.2.2. Dairy and Beef Cattle -- 3.2.3. Field Fruits (Strawberries and Cucurbits) -- 3.2.4. Field Vegetables (Carrot, Cole, Lettuce, Potato, Spinach) -- 3.2.5. Grapes -- 3.2.6. Maize -- 3.2.7. Nursery and Greenhouse -- 3.2.8. Rice -- 3.2.9. Soybean -- 3.2.10. Tomato -- 3.2.11. Deciduous Tree Fruits (Stone and Pome) -- 3.2.12. Deciduous Tree Nuts (Almond, Pistachio, Persian Walnut) -- 3.2.13. Wheat -- 3.3. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 4 Economics of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture -- 4.1. INTRODUCTION -- 4.2. LAND ALLOCATION BEFORE CLIMATE CHANGE -- 4.3. CROP MIGRATION AFTER CLIMATE CHANGE -- 4.3.1. Crop Switching Under the Assumption of Fixed Output Prices -- 4.3.2. Land Development and Desertification -- 4.3.3. The Price Effect. , 4.3.4. The Role of the Transition Cost -- 4.4. WELFARE IMPLICATIONS -- 4.4.1. Social Surplus -- 4.4.2. Consumer Surplus Versus Producer Surplus -- 4.5. CONCLUSION -- APPENDIX A -- NOTES -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 5 Agricultural Losses in a Telecoupled World: Modeling the Impacts of Regional Crop Failures on Global Land Use -- 5.1. INTRODUCTION -- 5.2. BACKGROUND -- 5.2.1. Changing Agricultural Landscapes -- 5.2.2. Agricultural Changes and Land Use Under Climate Change -- 5.2.3. Conceptual Framework for Land Use Change -- 5.3. MODELING IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURES -- 5.3.1. Integrated Assessment Models -- 5.3.2. Scenario Structure -- 5.4. RESULTS: IMPACTS OF BREADBASKET FAILURE ON GLOBAL LAND USE -- 5.4.1. The Reference and RCP 4.5 Scenarios -- 5.4.2. Scenarios of Agricultural Shocks -- 5.5. DISCUSSION -- 5.6. CONCLUSIONS -- NOTE -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 6 Perceptions of Extreme Weather Events and Adaptation Decisions: A Case Study of Maize and Bean Farmers in Guatemala and Honduras -- 6.1. INTRODUCTION -- 6.2. METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH -- 6.2.1. Landscape Selection and Data Collection -- 6.2.2. Perceptions of Exposure and Sensitivity -- 6.2.3. Identification of Factors Related to the Implementation of Adaptation Measures -- 6.2.4. Effectiveness of the Adaptations Implemented to Reduce Vulnerability -- 6.3. RESULTS -- 6.3.1. Perceptions of Exposure and Impacts -- 6.3.2. Implementation of Adaptation Measures Following Extreme Weather Events -- 6.3.3. Perception of the Effectiveness of Adaptation to Reduce Vulnerability -- 6.4. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY-RELATED IMPLICATIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS AND DATA -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 7 Simulation Model Based on Agents for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies -- 7.1. INTRODUCTION -- 7.2. FORMULATION OF SIMBACUS -- 7.3. DECISIONS OF THE AGENTS (INDIVIDUALS) -- 7.4. SIMULATION. , 7.4.1. Initial Conditions -- 7.4.2. Description of the Execution -- 7.5. RESULTS -- 7.5.1. Simulating the Impacts of the Implementation of a Poet in Pachuca -- 7.5.2. Simulating the Impacts of Different Population Growth Rates in Pachuca -- 7.6. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- NOTES -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 8 Climate Extremes, Political Participation, and Migration Intentions of Farmers: A Case Study in Western China -- 8.1. INTRODUCTION -- 8.2. LITERATURE REVIEW: EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTION -- 8.2.1. Experience of Climate Extremes and Migration Intention -- 8.2.2. Political Participation, Adaptation, and Migration Intention -- 8.2.3. Other Determinants of Migration Intention -- 8.3. METHODOLOGY -- 8.3.1. Research Framework: Experience of Climate Extremes, Political Participation, and Migration Intention at the Household Level -- 8.3.2. Research Setting -- 8.3.3. Data Collection -- 8.4. ANALYSIS: A MODELING APPROACH TO ASSESS THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THE EXPERIENCE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND MIGRATION INTENTIONS -- 8.4.1. Dependent Variables -- 8.4.2. Independent Variables -- 8.4.3. Control Variables -- 8.4.4. Implementing the Two-Stage Regression Models -- 8.5. RESULTS -- 8.5.1. Goal Intentions -- 8.5.2. Implementation Intentions: Choice Between Intra-Provincial and Inter-Provincial Destinations -- 8.5.3. Implementation Intentions: Destination Choice Between Rural and Urban Settings -- 8.6. DISCUSSION -- 8.7. CONCLUSION -- ACKNOWLEDGMENT -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 9 Effects of Extreme Weather Events on Internal Migration in Rural Guatemala -- 9.1. INTRODUCTION -- 9.2. DATA -- 9.3. ECONOMETRIC SPECIFICATION -- 9.4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION -- 9.5. CONCLUSIONS -- NOTES -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 10 Extreme Heat Exposure and Occupational Health in a Changing Climate. , 10.1. INTRODUCTION -- 10.2. METRICS AND MONITORING USED TO ASSESS OCCUPATIONAL HEAT STRESS -- 10.2.1. Select Direct Heat Metrics Used in Occupational Heat Exposure Studies -- 10.2.2. Select Empirical Heat Metrics Used in Occupational Heat Exposure Studies -- 10.2.3. Select Rational Heat Metrics Used in Occupational Heat Exposure Studies -- 10.2.4. Challenges in Measuring Individual-Level Occupational Heat Exposure -- 10.3. REPORTS ON HEAT EXPOSURE: LOW- AND MIDDLE-INCOME COUNTRIES (LMICS) -- 10.3.1. Low- and Middle-Income Regions: Indoor and Outdoor Exposures Related to Work Capacity -- 10.4. OCCUPATIONAL HEAT STRESS AND RELATED HEALTH CONCERNS -- 10.4.1. The Body's Response to Heat -- 10.4.2. Occupational Heat Illness and Mortality Reports -- 10.4.3. Individual Factors and Quality of Life -- 10.5. WORK CAPACITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND ECONOMIC IMPACT -- 10.6. STRATEGIES FOR PREVENTION OF HEAT IMPACTS THROUGH MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE-RELATED HEAT STRESS IN THE WORKPLACE -- 10.6.1. Mitigation of Heat Exposure -- 10.6.2. Adaptation to Changing Heat Extremes -- 10.7. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, SAMPLES, AND DATA -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 11 Tropical Cyclone Impacts -- 11.1. INTRODUCTION -- 11.2. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECASTING -- 11.2.1. Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Tracks -- 11.2.2. Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting -- 11.2.3. Wind Radii Forecasting -- 11.3. TROPICAL CYCLONE PHYSICAL IMPACTS -- 11.3.1. Hurricane Winds -- 11.3.2. Storm Surge Flooding -- 11.3.3. Tornadoes -- 11.3.4. Rainfall Flooding -- 11.3.5. Clearing the Confusion on 100- and 1,000-Year Floods -- 11.3.6. Tropical Cyclones in a Warmer World -- 11.4. SOCIETAL IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES -- 11.4.1. Before the Storm: Evacuation Decisions -- 11.4.2. After the Storm: Hazards and Monetary Losses -- 11.5. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES. , Chapter 12 On the Relationship Between Heat Waves and Extreme Precipitation in a Warming Climate -- 12.1. INTRODUCTION -- 12.2. DATA -- 12.2.1. Observations and Reanalysis -- 12.2.2. Convection-Allowing Climate Simulations -- 12.3. METHODS -- 12.3.1. Heat Wave Definition -- 12.3.2. Precipitation Events -- 12.4. CASE STUDY RESULTS -- 12.4.1. Responsible Mechanisms -- 12.4.2. Projected Event Precipitation Changes -- 12.5. FUTURE CLIMATE PROJECTIONS -- 12.5.1. Global Warming and Heat Waves -- 12.5.2. Moisture and Precipitation -- 12.6. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 13 Evaluating Economic Output at Risk to Climate Change: A Sectoral Comparison of Economic Sensitivity to Weather -- 13.1. INTRODUCTION -- 13.2. LITERATURE REVIEW -- 13.3. METHODS -- 13.3.1. Econometric Specification -- 13.3.2. Data -- 13.4. RESULTS -- 13.5. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS -- 13.6. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION -- NOTE -- REFERENCES -- Index -- EULA.