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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin, Heidelberg :Springer Berlin / Heidelberg,
    Keywords: Marine meteorology. ; Marine meteorology -- Social aspects. ; Climatic changes -- Social aspects. ; Climatic changes -- Environmental aspects. ; Climatic changes -- Detection. ; Electronic books.
    Description / Table of Contents: Focusing on changes in the marine environment, this book provides a comprehensive description of methods and concepts upon which modern climate change reconstructions and plausible future scenarios are built. The authors also discuss models and data problems.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 online resource (246 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9783540684916
    Series Statement: Springer Praxis Bks.
    DDC: 551.509162
    Language: English
    Note: Intro -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Abbreviations and acronyms -- 1 Climate and climate variability -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Definition of climate -- 1.3 The climate system -- 1.3.1 Components of the climate system -- 1.3.2 General circulation of the atmosphere -- 1.3.3 General circulation of the oceans -- 1.4 Climate variability -- 1.4.1 Internally driven and externally forced variability -- 1.4.2 Interplay between regional and planetary climate -- 1.5 Summary -- 1.6 References -- 2 Marine weather phenomena -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Mid-latitude storms and storm tracks -- 2.3 Tropical cyclones -- 2.4 Wind-generated waves -- 2.4.1 Introduction -- 2.4.2 Long and short-term variations of the sea state -- 2.4.3 Freak or rogue waves -- 2.5 Tides, storm surges, and mean sea level -- 2.5.1 Storm surges -- 2.5.2 Tides -- 2.5.3 Mean sea level -- 2.6 Summary -- 2.7 References -- 3 Models for the marine environment -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Quasi-realistic modeling -- 3.3 Climate models -- 3.3.1 General circulation models -- 3.3.2 Global climate models -- 3.3.3 Regional climate models -- 3.4 Wind wave models -- 3.4.1 The wave spectrum -- 3.4.2 Equation for wave energy -- 3.4.3 Frequently used parameters to describe the sea state -- 3.5 Tide-surge models -- 3.5.1 Shallow-water equations -- 3.5.2 Performance of tide-surge models -- 3.6 Summary -- 3.7 References -- 4 How to determine long-term changes in marine climate -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Problems with data quality -- 4.2.1 Data homogeneity -- 4.2.2 Data availability -- 4.2.3 Operational weather analyses and other derived data sets -- 4.3 Proxy data -- 4.4 Global reanalyses and regional reconstructions -- 4.4.1 Can climate trends be estimated from reanalysis data? -- 4.4.2 The NCEP/NCAR Global Reanalysis -- 4.4.3 Other global reanalyses. , 4.4.4 Regional reanalyses and reconstructions -- 4.5 Regionalization techniques -- 4.6 Scenarios and projections -- 4.7 Detection and attribution -- 4.7.1 The detection problem -- 4.7.2 The attribution problem -- 4.7.3 Trends and detection -- 4.8 Summary -- 4.9 References -- 5 Past and future changes in wind, wave, and storm surge climates -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Mid-latitude cyclones and storm tracks -- 5.2.1 Past changes and variability -- 5.2.2 Future changes -- 5.3 Tropical cyclones -- 5.3.1 Past changes and variability -- 5.3.2 Future changes -- 5.4 Wind-generated waves -- 5.4.1 Past changes and variability -- 5.4.2 Future changes -- 5.5 Tides, storm surges, and mean sea level -- 5.5.1 Mean sea level -- 5.5.2 Storm surges -- 5.5.3 Tides -- 5.6 Summary -- 5.7 References -- Appendices -- A.l Scale analysis -- A.2 Geostrophic wind -- A.3 Geopotential height and pressure as vertical coordinates -- A.4 Thermal wind -- A.5 List of symbols -- A.6 References -- Index.
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2021-10-27
    Description: Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties, and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, these systems rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected amount and distribution of physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Complementing early warning systems with impact forecasts has a twofold advantage: It would provide decision makers with richer information to take informed decisions about emergency measures and focus the attention of different disciplines on a common target. This would allow capitalizing on synergies between different disciplines and boosting the development of multihazard early warning systems. This review discusses the state of the art in impact forecasting for a wide range of natural hazards. We outline the added value of impact-based warnings compared to hazard forecasting for the emergency phase, indicate challenges and pitfalls, and synthesize the review results across hazard types most relevant for Europe.
    Keywords: 550 ; impact forecasting ; natural hazards ; early warning
    Language: English
    Type: map
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