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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Risk of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis after early worsening of disability
    BMJ ; 2023
    In:  Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry
    Details
    In: Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, BMJ
    Abstract: Whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) heralds earlier onset of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and more rapid accumulation of disability during SPMS remains to be determined. We investigated the association between early PIRA, relapse-associated worsening (RAW) of disability and time to SPMS, subsequent disability progression and their response to therapy. Methods This observational cohort study included patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) from the MSBase international registry across 146 centres and 39 countries. Associations between the number of PIRA and RAW during early multiple sclerosis (MS) (the initial 5 years of MS onset) were analysed with respect to: time to SPMS using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for disease characteristics; and disability progression during SPMS, calculated as the change of Multiple Sclerosis Severity Scores over time, using multivariable linear regression. Results 10 692 patients met the inclusion criteria: 3125 (29%) were men and the mean MS onset age was 32.2 years. A higher number of early PIRA (HR=1.50, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.76, p 〈 0.001) and RAW (HR=2.53, 95% CI 2.25 to 2.85, p 〈 0.001) signalled a higher risk of SPMS. A higher proportion of early disease-modifying therapy exposure (per 10%) reduced the effect of early RAW (HR=0.94, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.00, p=0.041) but not PIRA (HR=0.97, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.05, p=0.49) on SPMS risk. No association between early PIRA/RAW and disability progression during SPMS was found. Conclusions Early disability increase during RRMS is associated with a greater risk of SPMS but not the rate of disability progression during SPMS. The deterioration associated with early relapses represents a potentially treatable risk factor of SPMS. Trial registration number Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12605000455662).
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3050 , 1468-330X
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2023-331748
    RVK:
    XA 10000
    Language: English
    Publisher: BMJ
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1480429-3
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Heterogeneity on long-term disability trajectories in patients with secondary progressive MS: a latent class analysis from Big MS Data network
    BMJ ; 2023
    In:  Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry Vol. 94, No. 1 ( 2023-01), p. 23-30
    Details
    In: Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, BMJ, Vol. 94, No. 1 ( 2023-01), p. 23-30
    Abstract: Over the decades, several natural history studies on patients with primary (PPMS) or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) were reported from international registries. In PPMS, a consistent heterogeneity on long-term disability trajectories was demonstrated. The aim of this study was to identify subgroups of patients with SPMS with similar longitudinal trajectories of disability over time. Methods All patients with MS collected within Big MS registries who received an SPMS diagnosis from physicians (cohort 1) or satisfied the Lorscheider criteria (cohort 2) were considered. Longitudinal Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores were modelled by a latent class growth analysis (LCGA), using a non-linear function of time from the first EDSS visit in the range 3–4. Results A total of 3613 patients with SPMS were included in the cohort 1. LCGA detected three different subgroups of patients with a mild (n=1297; 35.9%), a moderate (n=1936; 53.6%) and a severe (n=380; 10.5%) disability trajectory. Median time to EDSS 6 was 12.1, 5.0 and 1.7 years, for the three groups, respectively; the probability to reach EDSS 6 at 8 years was 14.4%, 78.4% and 98.3%, respectively. Similar results were found among 7613 patients satisfying the Lorscheider criteria. Conclusions Contrary to previous interpretations, patients with SPMS progress at greatly different rates. Our identification of distinct trajectories can guide better patient selection in future phase 3 SPMS clinical trials. Additionally, distinct trajectories could reflect heterogeneous pathological mechanisms of progression.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3050 , 1468-330X
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2022-329987
    RVK:
    XA 10000
    Language: English
    Publisher: BMJ
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1480429-3
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Effectiveness of multiple disease-modifying therapies in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: causal inference to emulate a multiarm randomised trial
    BMJ ; 2023
    In:  Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry
    Details
    In: Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, BMJ
    Abstract: Simultaneous comparisons of multiple disease-modifying therapies for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) over an extended follow-up are lacking. Here we emulate a randomised trial simultaneously comparing the effectiveness of six commonly used therapies over 5 years. Methods Data from 74 centres in 35 countries were sourced from MSBase. For each patient, the first eligible intervention was analysed, censoring at change/discontinuation of treatment. The compared interventions included natalizumab, fingolimod, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, interferon beta, glatiramer acetate and no treatment. Marginal structural Cox models (MSMs) were used to estimate the average treatment effects (ATEs) and the average treatment effects among the treated (ATT), rebalancing the compared groups at 6-monthly intervals on age, sex, birth-year, pregnancy status, treatment, relapses, disease duration, disability and disease course. The outcomes analysed were incidence of relapses, 12-month confirmed disability worsening and improvement. Results 23 236 eligible patients were diagnosed with RRMS or clinically isolated syndrome. Compared with glatiramer acetate (reference), several therapies showed a superior ATE in reducing relapses: natalizumab (HR=0.44, 95% CI=0.40 to 0.50), fingolimod (HR=0.60, 95% CI=0.54 to 0.66) and dimethyl fumarate (HR=0.78, 95% CI=0.66 to 0.92). Further, natalizumab (HR=0.43, 95% CI=0.32 to 0.56) showed a superior ATE in reducing disability worsening and in disability improvement (HR=1.32, 95% CI=1.08 to 1.60). The pairwise ATT comparisons also showed superior effects of natalizumab followed by fingolimod on relapses and disability. Conclusions The effectiveness of natalizumab and fingolimod in active RRMS is superior to dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide, glatiramer acetate and interferon beta. This study demonstrates the utility of MSM in emulating trials to compare clinical effectiveness among multiple interventions simultaneously.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3050 , 1468-330X
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2023-331499
    RVK:
    XA 10000
    Language: English
    Publisher: BMJ
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1480429-3
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Disability accrual in primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis
    BMJ ; 2023
    In:  Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry Vol. 94, No. 9 ( 2023-09), p. 707-717
    Details
    In: Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, BMJ, Vol. 94, No. 9 ( 2023-09), p. 707-717
    Abstract: Some studies comparing primary and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS, SPMS) report similar ages at onset of the progressive phase and similar rates of subsequent disability accrual. Others report later onset and/or faster accrual in SPMS. Comparisons have been complicated by regional cohort effects, phenotypic differences in sex ratio and management and variable diagnostic criteria for SPMS. Methods We compared disability accrual in PPMS and operationally diagnosed SPMS in the international, clinic-based MSBase cohort. Inclusion required PPMS or SPMS with onset at age ≥18 years since 1995. We estimated Andersen-Gill hazard ratios for disability accrual on the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), adjusted for sex, age, baseline disability, EDSS score frequency and drug therapies, with centre and patient as random effects. We also estimated ages at onset of the progressive phase (Kaplan-Meier) and at EDSS milestones (Turnbull). Analyses were replicated with physician-diagnosed SPMS. Results Included patients comprised 1872 with PPMS (47% men; 50% with activity) and 2575 with SPMS (32% men; 40% with activity). Relative to PPMS, SPMS had older age at onset of the progressive phase (median 46.7 years (95% CI 46.2–47.3) vs 43.9 (43.3–44.4); p 〈 0.001), greater baseline disability, slower disability accrual (HR 0.86 (0.78–0.94); p 〈 0.001) and similar age at wheelchair dependence. Conclusions We demonstrate later onset of the progressive phase and slower disability accrual in SPMS versus PPMS. This may balance greater baseline disability in SPMS, yielding convergent disability trajectories across phenotypes. The different rates of disability accrual should be considered before amalgamating PPMS and SPMS in clinical trials.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3050 , 1468-330X
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2022-330726
    RVK:
    XA 10000
    Language: English
    Publisher: BMJ
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1480429-3
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Early predictors of disability in paediatric multiple sclerosis: evidence from a multi-national registry
    BMJ ; 2022
    In:  Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry
    Details
    In: Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, BMJ
    Abstract: Early recognition of markers of faster disability worsening in paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) is a key requisite of personalised therapy for children with MS at the earliest possible time. Objective To identify early predictors of rapid disability accrual in patients with paediatric-onset MS. Methods Using the global MSBase registry, we identified patients who were 〈 18 years old at the onset of MS symptoms. The clinico-demographic characteristics examined as predictors of future MS Severity Score (MSSS) included sex, age at symptom onset, absence of disability at the initial assessment, maximum Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, relapse frequency and presence of brainstem, pyramidal, visual or cerebellar symptoms in the first year. A Bayesian log-normal generalised linear mixed model adjusted for cumulative proportion of time on higher-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) was used to analyse the data. Results 672 patients (70% female) contributing 9357 visits were included. The median age at symptom onset was 16 (quartiles 15–17) years. Older age at symptom onset (exp(β)=1.10 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.17)), higher EDSS score (1.22 (1.12 to 1.34)) and pyramidal (1.31 (1.11 to 1.55)), visual (1.25 (1.10 to 1.44)) or cerebellar (1.18 (1.01 to 1.38)) symptoms in the first year were associated with higher MSSS. MSSS was reduced by 4% for every 24% increase in the proportion of time on higher-efficacy DMTs (0.96 (0.93 to 0.99)). Conclusions A relatively later onset of MS in childhood, higher disability and pyramidal, visual or cerebellar symptoms during the first year predicted significant worsening in disability in patients with paediatric-onset MS. Persistent treatment with higher-efficacy DMTs was associated with a reduced rate of disability worsening.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3050 , 1468-330X
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2022-329713
    RVK:
    XA 10000
    Language: English
    Publisher: BMJ
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1480429-3
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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    Online Resource
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