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  • 551  (5)
  • 2020-2022  (5)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2021-07-05
    Description: Defining effective measures to reduce nitrate pollution in heterogeneous mesoscale catchments remains challenging when based on concentration measurements at the outlet only. One reason for this is our limited understanding of the subcatchment contributions to nitrate export and their importance at different time scales. While upstream subcatchments often disproportionally contribute to runoff generation and in turn to nutrient export, agricultural areas (which are typically found in downstream lowlands) are known to be a major source of nitrate pollution. To examine the interplay of different subcatchments, we analyzed seasonal long‐term trends and event dynamics of nitrate concentrations, loads, and the concentration–discharge relationship in three nested catchments within the Selke catchment (456 km2), Germany. The upstream subcatchments (40.4% of total catchment area, 34.5% of N input) had short transit times and dynamic concentration–discharge relationships with elevated nitrate concentrations during wet seasons and events. Consequently, the upstream subcatchments dominated nitrate export during high flow and disproportionally contributed to overall annual nitrate loads at the outlet (64.2%). The downstream subcatchment was characterized by higher N input, longer transit times, and relatively constant nitrate concentrations between seasons, dominating nitrate export during low‐flow periods. Neglecting the disproportional role of upstream subcatchments for temporally elevated nitrate concentrations and net annual loads can lead to an overestimation of the role of agricultural lowlands. Nonetheless, constantly high concentrations from nitrate legacies pose a long‐term threat to water quality in agricultural lowlands. This knowledge is crucial for an effective and site‐specific water quality management.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: To efficiently remove nitrate pollution, we need to understand how it is transported, mobilized, and stored within large and heterogeneous catchments. Previous studies have shown that upstream catchments often have a disproportional impact on nutrient export, while agriculture (a major nitrate source) is often located in downstream lowlands. To understand which parts of a catchment contribute most to nitrate export and when, we analyzed long‐term (1983–2016) and high‐frequency (2010–2016) data in the Selke catchment (Germany) at three locations. The mountainous upstream part dominated nitrate transport during winter, spring, and rain events. It had a surprisingly high contribution to annual nitrate loads. The agricultural downstream part of the catchment dominated nitrate export during summer and autumn, with relatively constant concentrations between seasons. Here, nitrogen inputs needed more than a decade to travel through the subsurface of the catchment, which causes a time lag between measures to reduce nitrate pollution and their measurable effect. The resulting storage of nitrate in the groundwater threatens drinking water quality for decades to come. While the role of agricultural lowlands for nitrate export can be overestimated if neglecting the disproportional role of upstream subcatchments, their impact poses a long‐term threat to water quality.
    Description: Key Points: Analyzing the CQ relationship across time scales allows the disentanglement of the impact of catchment heterogeneity on nitrate export. Mountainous upstream subcatchments can dominate nitrate export during high flows and disproportionally contribute to nitrate loads. Agricultural downstream subcatchments can dominate nitrate export during low flow and pose a long‐term threat to water quality.
    Description: DFG collaborative research center (SFB) 1253 “CAMPOS”
    Description: Helmholtz Research Program, Integrated Project “Water and Matter Flux Dynamics in Catchments”
    Description: Initiative and Networking Fund of the Helmholtz Association through the project Advanced Earth System Modelling Capacity (ESM)
    Keywords: 551 ; concentration–discharge relationships ; event dynamics ; long‐term trends ; nitrate ; nutrient export ; water quality
    Type: article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2021-07-05
    Description: The continental expression of global cooling during the Miocene Climate Transition in Central Asia is poorly documented, as the tectonically active setting complicates the correlation of Neogene regional and global climatic developments. This study presents new geochemical data (CaSO4 content, carbonate δ13C and δ18O) from the endorheic alluvial‐lacustrine Aktau succession (Ili Basin, south‐east Kazakhstan) combined with findings from the previously published facies evolution. Time series analysis revealed long‐eccentricity forcing of the paleohydrology throughout the entire succession, split into several facies‐dependent segments. Orbital tuning, constrained by new laser ablation U‐Pb dates and a preexisting magnetostratigraphy, places the succession in a 5.0 Ma long interval in the middle to late Miocene (15.6 to 10.6 Ma). The long‐term water accumulation in the Ili Basin followed the timing of the Miocene Climate Transition, suggesting increased precipitation in the catchment area in response to climate cooling and stronger westerly winds. This was paced by minima of the 2.4 Ma eccentricity cycle, which favored the establishment of a discharge playa (~14.3 Ma) and a perennial lake (12.6 to 11.8 Ma). Furthermore, low obliquity amplitudes (nodes) caused a transient weakening of the westerlies at ~13.7 to 13.5 Ma and at ~12.7 Ma, resulting in negative hydrological budgets and salinization. Flooding of the windward Ili Basin coeval with aridification in the leeward basins suggests that the Tian Shan was a climate boundary already in the middle Miocene. Our results emphasize the impact of climate fluctuations on the westerlies' strength and thus on Central Asian hydrology.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The global climate changed from an exceptional warm to a colder state in the middle Miocene epoch, representing a milestone in the evolution of today's climate. This study focuses on the, so far fragmentary, understanding of the Central Asian climate response to this global climate transition by investigating deposits of a former (salt) lake in the Ili Basin, southeast Kazakhstan. Regular sediment alternations represent cycles of low and high water level, overprinted by a long‐term lake expansion. Time series analysis of climate sensitive geochemical and environmental parameters, together with the determination of absolute rock ages, enabled the identification of sedimentary cycles (405 ka and 1.2 Ma long), which are equivalent to climate influencing variations of the Earth's orbit and tilt angle. We conclude that water level maxima are linked to periods of low seasonal climate differences reoccurring every 405 ka. The lake expansion is caused by more precipitation due to strengthened westerly winds, in response to global cooling. Westerly winds were transiently weakened during periods of low variability of the Earth's tilt angle, promoting high evaporation and salinization. Our results emphasize the impact of climate change on the westerlies' strength and thus on Central Asian moisture supply.
    Description: Key Points: The endorheic Miocene Ili Basin features orbital control of its hydrological budget by long eccentricity and obliquity amplitude modulation. Obliquity amplitude modulation affected the westerlies' strength during the Miocene Climate Transition. The Miocene global cooling led to strengthening of the westerlies reflected by groundwater accumulation and lake expansion in the Ili Basin.
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Keywords: 551 ; orbital forcing ; continental climate ; Central Asia ; Miocene cooling ; integrated stratigraphy
    Type: article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2021-07-21
    Description: Lahars are among the most hazardous mass flow processes on earth and have caused up to 23 000 casualties in single events in the recent past. The Cotopaxi volcano, 60 km southeast of Quito, has a well‐documented history of massively destructive lahars and is a hotspot for future lahars due to (i) its ~10 km2 glacier cap, (ii) its 117–147‐year return period of (Sub)‐Plinian eruptions, and (iii) the densely populated potential inundation zones (300 000 inhabitants). Previous mechanical lahar models often do not (i) capture the steep initial lahar trajectory, (ii) reproduce multiple flow paths including bifurcation and confluence, and (iii) generate appropriate key parameters like flow speed and pressure at the base as a measure of erosion capacity. Here, we back‐calculate the well‐documented 1877 lahar using the RAMMS debris flow model with an implemented entrainment algorithm, covering the entire lahar path from the volcano edifice to an extent of ~70 km from the source. To evaluate the sensitivity and to constrain the model input range, we systematically explore input parameter values, especially the Voellmy–Salm friction coefficients μ and ξ. Objective selection of the most likely parameter combinations enables a realistic and robust lahar hazard representation. Detailed historic records for flow height, flow velocity, peak discharge, travel time and inundation limits match best with a very low Coulomb‐type friction μ (0.0025–0.005) and a high turbulent friction ξ (1000–1400 m/s2). Finally, we apply the calibrated model to future eruption scenarios (Volcanic Explosivity Index = 2–3, 3–4, 〉4) at Cotopaxi and accordingly scaled lahars. For the first time, we anticipate a potential volume growth of 50–400% due to lahar erosivity on steep volcano flanks. Here we develop a generic Voellmy–Salm approach across different scales of high‐magnitude lahars and show how it can be used to anticipate future syneruptive lahars.
    Description: A generic model approach is developed to simulate massive syneruptive lahars at Cotopaxi from initiation on the steep volcano flanks to distal reaches. Evaluation of 14 calibration constraints shows that the Voellmy–Salm model reliably reproduces bulk behaviour of syneruptive lahars. Estimations of lahar erosivity on the volcano flanks anticipate an erosion‐related volume increase for future Cotopaxi lahars between 50 and 400%.
    Description: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Keywords: 551 ; debris flow erosion ; lahar ; model calibration ; numerical model ; predictive modelling
    Type: article
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2021-07-04
    Description: Modeling soil hydraulic properties requires an effective representation of capillary and noncapillary storage and conductivity. This is made possible by using physically comprehensive yet flexible soil hydraulic property models. Such a model (Brunswick [BW] model) was introduced by Weber et al. (2019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024584), and it overcomes some core deficiencies present in the widely used van Genuchten‐Mualem (VGM) model. We first compared the performance of the BW model to that of the VGM model in its ability to describe water retention and hydraulic conductivity data on a set of measurements of 402 soil samples with textures covering the entire range of classes. Second, we developed a simple transfer function to predict BW parameters based on VGM parameters. Combined with our new function, any existing pedotransfer function for the prediction of the VGM parameters can be extended to predict BW model parameters. Based on information criteria, the smaller variance of the residuals, and a 40% reduction in mean absolute error in the hydraulic conductivity over all samples, the BW model clearly outperforms VGM. This is possible as the BW model explicitly accounts for hydraulic properties of dry soils. With the new pedotransfer function developed in this study, better descriptions of water retention and hydraulic conductivities are possible. We are convinced that this will strengthen the utility of the new model and enable improved field‐scale simulations, climate change impact assessments on water, energy and nutrient fluxes, as well as crop productivity in agroecosystems by soil‐crop and land‐surface modeling. The models and the pedotransfer function are included in an R package spsh (https://cran.r‐project.org/package=spsh).
    Description: Plain Language Summary: Soil hydraulic property models are mathematical functions, which describe the relationship between the soil water pressure head and the state of soil water saturation, on the one hand, and the soil water pressure head and the unsaturated soil hydraulic conductivity, on the other. These types of mathematical functions are flexible by adjustable parameters. With one set of model equations, the hydraulic properties of soils which may have very different properties due to their vast natural variability can be described. The models treated in this work are (i) the van Genuchten‐Mualem model, a model with well‐known problems, but still frequently applied, and (ii) a relatively new physical comprehensive model, named the Brunswick model. First of all, in a data‐based comparison of model performance, we demonstrate that the Brunswick model has systematic advantages. Second, knowledge about these above‐mentioned parameters can be determined through other mathematical functions, so‐called hydro‐pedotransfer functions, which empirically relate these parameters to observed soil properties. The information about these soil properties can be measured in the laboratory and is also recorded in soil maps. We created a new pedotransfer function to facilitate the prediction of model parameters for the new Brunswick model.
    Description: Key Points: A pedotransfer function is established to relate van Genuchten‐Mualem (VGM) to Brunswick (BW) soil hydraulic property model parameters. The BW model overcomes the structural deficiencies in VGM and leads to considerably better descriptions of retention and conductivity data. With the new pedotransfer function, soil properties and information in soil maps can be used to predicted BW model parameters.
    Description: German Research Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100007450
    Description: Collaborative Research Center 1253 CAMPOS
    Keywords: 551 ; hydraulic conductivity ; model comparison ; model improvement ; pedotransfer functions ; soil hydraulic properties ; water retention
    Type: article
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2021-10-07
    Description: This paper presents evidence for a limnological response to the Laacher See eruption (LSE) as detected in lake sediments from Nahe, northern Germany. The sediment section of the Allerød period dating to between 13 422 and 12 708 cal. a BP is preserved in annual laminations. Within this section, the LSE was identified as a cryptotephra layer (12 944±44 cal. a BP). Microfacies analysis, continuous high-resolution geochemical measurements and pollen analyses enabled a high-resolution reconstruction of environmental change. The older part of the Allerød (c. 13 422 to 12 943 cal. a BP) was characterized by relatively stable sedimentation conditions. Evidence for windier conditions dating to c. 13 160 to 13 080 cal. a BP probably reflects the Gerzensee oscillation. Pronounced changes of the lake sedimentation followed the LSE. Four unusually thick varves with increased amounts of allochthonous material indicate serious disturbance of the local environment immediately after the LSE, related to increased storminess and/or the occurrence of high intensity rainfall events. A pronounced reduction of biogenic silica accumulation for c. 60 years after the LSE could reflect a period of acidification. Indications of a simultaneous lake level increase until c. 60 years after the LSE are in line with the supposed reduced evapotranspiration associated with cooler conditions. About 120 years after the LSE, increased oxygen access at the lake bottom, allochthonous input and Cl fluxes point to an onset of increasingly stronger westerly winds, probably as a long-term response to the LSE. This supports the idea of a southward shift of the mid-latitude westerlies wind system within the interval between the LSE and the beginning of the Younger Dryas. The pace of the southwards shift of this wind system decreased from 10 km a−1 in the initial phase (40–120 years after LSE) to 6 km a−1 in the later phase (120–200 years after LSE).
    Keywords: 551 ; Laacher See eruption (LSE) ; lake sediments
    Language: English
    Type: map
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