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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2018-03-06
    Description: The biomass burning contribution to climate-carbon cycle feedback Sandy P. Harrison, Patrick J. Bartlein, Victor Brovkin, Sander Houweling, Silvia Kloster, and I. Colin Prentice Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., https//doi.org/10.5194/esd-2018-11,2018 Manuscript under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments) Temperature exerts strong controls on the incidence and severity of fire. Warming is thus expected to increase fire-related carbon emissions, and thereby atmospheric CO 2 . But the magnitude of this feedback is very poorly known. We use a single-box model of the land biosphere to quantify this positive feedback from satellite-based estimates of biomass burning emissions for 2000–2014 CE, and from sedimentary charcoal records for the millennium before the industrial period. We derive an estimate of the centennial-scale feedback strength of 6.5 ± 3.4 ppm CO 2 per degree of land temperature increase, based on the satellite data. However, this estimate is poorly constrained, and is largely driven by the well-documented dependence of tropical deforestation and peat fires on climate variability patterns linked to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Palaeodata from pre-industrial times provide the opportunity to assess the fire-related climate-carbon cycle feedback over a longer period, with less pervasive human impacts. Past biomass burning can be quantified based on variations in either the concentration and isotopic composition of methane in ice cores (with assumptions about the isotopic signatures of different methane sources) or the abundances of charcoal preserved in sediments, which reflect landscape-scale changes in burnt biomass. These two data sources are shown here to be coherent with one another. The more numerous data from sedimentary charcoal, expressed as normalized anomalies (fractional deviations from the long-term mean), are then used – together with an estimate of mean biomass burning derived from methane isotope data – to infer a feedback strength of 5.6 ± 3.2 ppm CO 2 per degree of land temperature and (for a climate sensitivity of 2.8 K) a gain of 0.09 ± 0.05. This finding indicates that the positive feedback from increased fire provides a substantial contribution to the overall climate-carbon cycle feedback on centennial time scales.
    Print ISSN: 2190-4979
    Electronic ISSN: 2190-4987
    Topics: Geosciences
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