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  • 1
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    Classification of Mount Etna (Italy) Volcanic Activity by Machine Learning Approaches (2019)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-10-15
    Description: Assessment of the ongoing activity of volcanoes is one of the key factors to reduce volcanic risks. In this paper, two Machine Learning (ML) approaches are presented to classify volcanic activity using multivariate geophysical data, namely the Decision Tree (DT) and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN). The models were implemented using a data set recorded at Mount Etna (Italy), in the period 01 January 2011 – 31 December 2015, encompassing lava fountain events and intense Strombolian activity. Here a data set consisting of five geophysical features, namely the root-mean-square of seismic tremor (RMS) and its source depth, counts of clustered infrasonic events, radar RMS backscattering power and tilt derivative, was considered. Model performances were assessed by using a set of statistical indices commonly considered for classification approaches. Results show that between the investigated approaches the DT model is the most appropriate for classification of volcano activity and is suitable for early warning systems applications. Furthermore, the comparison with a different classifier approach, reported in literature, based on Bayesian Network (BN), is performed.
    Description: Published
    Description: VO231
    Description: 1V. Storia eruttiva
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 2
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    A New GNSS-Based Approach for Volcanic Crater Location During Lava Fountains (2019)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-03-19
    Description: Recent studies have focused on the capability of the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) instruments to detect volcanic plumes by means of either variation in signal-to-noise ratio or products from positioning processing. These new approaches can be extremely useful for volcanoes worldwide, which may not have advanced monitoring systems or during bad weather conditions when other techniques may fail. In this letter, we show how the GNSS stations can provide a new tool to locate the volcanic crater during highly explosive events. The proposed method has been tested on the lava fountains at Mt. Etna (Italy) that has characterized most of the eruptive activity from different craters since 2011. Our results confirm that not only there are evidences of detectable interaction between volcanic plumes and GNSS data but also, for the first time on a large data set, we are able to discriminate the erupting crater with great precision.
    Description: Published
    Description: 697-701
    Description: 6V. Pericolosità vulcanica e contributi alla stima del rischio
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 3
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    Temporal Changes of Seismic Velocity Caused by Volcanic Activity at Mt. Etna Revealed by the Autocorrelation of Ambient Seismic Noise (2019)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-05-25
    Description: On active volcanoes, ambient noise-based seismic interferometry can be a very useful monitoring tool as it allows to detect very slight variations in seismic velocity associated with magma transport towards the surface. In this work, we performed the autocorrelation of ambient seismic noise recorded at Mt. Etna volcano, by three stations located close to the active summit craters, during April 2013 - October 2014. Such an interval was chosen because of the number and variety of eruptions. In place of the classical cross-correlation, we implemented the phase cross-correlation of each component with itself, which does not require normalization of the signals. The detected seismic velocity variations were very consistent for all three stations throughout the study period, mainly ranging between 0.3 and -0.2%, and were time-related to both sequences of paroxysmal eruptions and more effusive activities. In particular, we observed seismic velocity decreases accompanying paroxysmal eruptions, suggesting an intense pressurization within the plumbing system, which created an area of extensional strain with crack openings. It is worth noting that classical cross-station approach failed to detect seismic velocity changes related to volcano activity. In addition, seismic velocity variations over time were integrated with ground deformation data recorded by GPS stations and volcanic tremor centroid locations. Finally, we showed that, although the investigated frequency band (1-2 Hz) contains most of the volcanic tremor energy, our results did not indicate a particular contamination of seismic velocity variation measurements by variations of tremor sources.
    Description: Published
    Description: 5V. Dinamica dei processi eruttivi e post-eruttivi
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: volcano monitoring, ambient seimic noise, autocorrelation, Mt. Etna volcano, seismic noise interferometry, volcanic tremor, seismic velocity variation
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 4
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    Insights Into Mount Etna December 2018 Eruption From Joint Inversion of Deformation and Gravity Data (2020)
    Wiley Agu
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-10-16
    Description: We present results of the joint analysis of ground deformation and superconducting gravity data encompassing Etna's December 2018 eruption. The horizontal ground deformation points to a mechanism of dike opening. Accordingly, we consider forward analytical models describing the effects of a tensile dislocation and use two data inversion approaches, based on heuristic and probabilistic methods. The observed changes can be explained assuming the intrusion of a fluid lighter than bubble‐free magma, along a dike‐like structure. However, the poor fit to the vertical deformation and the discrepancy between bulk volume increase, deduced by the data inversion (some tens of millions of m3), and volume emitted through effusive activity (∼1 × 106m3) suggest that a more complex mechanism led to the eruption, involving partial inelastic accommodation of the strain and the formation of void space through increase in the fracturing rate of the medium.
    Description: Published
    Description: e2020GL087786
    Description: 5V. Processi eruttivi e post-eruttivi
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 5
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    The NEWTON-g Gravity Imager: Toward New Paradigms for Terrain Gravimetry (2021)
    Frontiers
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-01-07
    Description: Knowledge of the spatio-temporal changes in the characteristics and distribution of subsurface fluids is key to properly addressing important societal issues, including: sustainable management of energy resources (e.g., hydrocarbons and geothermal energy), management of water resources, and assessment of hazard (e.g., volcanic eruptions). Gravimetry is highly attractive because it can detect changes in subsurface mass, thus providing a window into processes that involve deep fluids. However, high cost and operating features associated with current instrumentation seriously limits the practical field use of this geophysical method. The NEWTON-g project proposes a radical change of paradigm for gravimetry through the development of a fieldcompatible measuring system (the gravity imager), able to real-time monitor the evolution of the subsurface mass changes. This system includes an array of lowcosts microelectromechanical systems-based relative gravimeters, anchored on an absolute quantum gravimeter. It will provide imaging of gravity changes, associated with variations in subsurface fluid properties, with unparalleled spatio-temporal resolution. During the final ∼2 years of NEWTON-g, the gravity imager will be field tested in the summit of Mt. Etna volcano (Italy), where frequent gravity fluctuations, easy access to the active structures and the presence of a multiparameter monitoring system (including traditional gravimeters) ensure an excellent natural laboratory for testing the new tools. Insights from the gravity imager will be used to i) improve our knowledge of the causeeffect relationships between volcanic processes and gravity changes observable at the surface and ii) develop strategies to best incorporate the gravity data into hazards assessments and mitigation plans. A successful implementation of NEWTON-g will open new doors for geophysical exploration.
    Description: Published
    Description: 573396
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 6
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    Shallow conduit dynamics fuel the unexpected paroxysms of Stromboli volcano during the summer 2019 (2021)
    Nature P.G.
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-01-20
    Description: Open conduit basaltic volcanoes can be potentially hazardous as the eruptive activity may turn suddenly from a steady state to highly explosive. Unexpected changes in explosion intensity are recurrent at Stromboli volcano, where major explosions and large-scale paroxysms sometimes break off the ordinary, Strombolian activity with little or no warning. Two powerful paroxysmal eruptions took place at Stromboli volcano during the summer 2019, causing widespread fires, consistent damages across the island, injuries and one fatality. Prediction of similar events is really challenging for the modern volcanology, though models propaedeutic to early-warning monitoring systems are not properly assessed yet in many volcanoes worldwide. Here, we present a multi-parametric study that combines petrological and geophysical data to investigate processes generating the two paroxysms. The time information derived by Li enrichments in plagioclase crystals correlates with tilt time series derived by seismometers installed on the island, highlighting the dominant role of shallow conduit processes in triggering the 2019 paroxysmal activity. Our dataset conceives a mechanism of gas slug formation and fast upward migration that finally triggered the eruptions in very limited times. The proposed model questions our capability to forecast such kind of paroxysms in times that are rapid enough to allow mitigation of the associated risk.
    Description: Published
    Description: 266
    Description: 5V. Processi eruttivi e post-eruttivi
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 7
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    The 24 December 2018 Eruptive Intrusion at Etna Volcano as Revealed by Multidisciplinary Continuous Deformation Networks (CGPS, Borehole Strainmeters and Tiltmeters) (2020)
    Wiley Agu
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-09-11
    Description: We have modeled the fast dike intrusion that started on 24 December 2018 at Mount Etna. The intrusion was accompanied by an intense seismicity swarm that also continued the following day. Since previous studies did not detail the overall chain of events in time during the magma ascent, here we propose a combined analytical and FEM modeling of all available continuous deformation data, focusing on the signals over 2 days (24–25 December) when the continuous deformation networks recorded clear variations directly related to the dike ascent. High‐rate GPS enabled obtaining an early and reliable source model. Borehole instruments (strainmeters and tiltmeters) highlighted clear variations, starting about 1 hr before those recorded by GPS, and moreover, made it possible to improve the dike ascent modeling. In particular, our continuous deformation data clearly revealed not one but two dikes and showed how they evolved in time. We inferred one dike that began propagating in the first kilometer above sea level, continued to rise with a maximum opening of 1.9mand increased its horizontal dimension until reaching the ground surface. Soon after, continuous deformation networks revealed a new elongated intrusion in the southern flank, matching the south shifted position of the seismic swarm. This second dike, with a thicker opening of 4.9 m, started from a depth of about −3 km (below sea level) but did not reach the ground surface. This proposed multiparametric modeling of continuous deformation data has therefore enabled disentangling the complexity of the real volcanic processes.
    Description: Published
    Description: e2019JB019117
    Description: 4V. Processi pre-eruttivi
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 8
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    Slab Detachment, Mantle Flow, and Crustal Collision in Eastern Sicily (Southern Italy): Implications on Mount Etna Volcanism (2020)
    Wiley Agu
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-09-11
    Description: New data and interpretations of the geodynamics of eastern Sicily point to deep crustal shortening taking place in the area. Reconstructions of the lithospheric system, seismicity distribution, and stress state in the crust indicate that deformation is expressed by a large thrust‐ramp cutting through the entire lower plate. The tectonic structure is propagating directly beneath the Mount Etna volcano, one of the few active volcanoes in Europe. Geostructural interpretation of tomographic sections allows for interpretations of the compressional structure as originating in response to trench‐parallel breakoff of the Ionian slab. Following the simple assumption that if a slab retreats, it must either be compensated or alternatively pushed by the fore‐arc mantle, we argue that the opening of a gateway in the slab has encouraged the fore‐arc mantle to flow toward the Mount Etna region. Mantle mobilization has had a twofold influence on both magmatic source mixing and the inception of underplating processes beneath the Mount Etna. A shortening prevailing over extension in the crust below the volcano seems to have a significant impact on the dynamics of the Mount Etna volcanic system, which manifested through anomalous signals over the last thousands of years. Since a tectonic inversion of previous dilatational magma pathways is expected in such a converging setting, the documented variations are believed to be consistent with a volcano experiencing a declining phase. Comparison with other extinct volcanic systems in the southern Tyrrhenian margin, lying atop a detached slab and involved in contraction, provides insights into the evolution of Mount Etna.
    Description: Published
    Description: e2020TC006188
    Description: 2V. Struttura e sistema di alimentazione dei vulcani
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 9
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    Absolute and Relative Gravity Measurements at Volcanoes: Current State and New Developments Under the NEWTON-g Project (2021)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-01-08
    Description: Gravity changes associated with volcanic processes occur over a wide range of time scales, from minutes to years and with magnitudes between a few and a few hundred microGal.High-precision instruments are needed to detect such small signals and both timelapse surveys along networks of stations, and continuous measurements at single points, are accomplished. Continuous volcano gravimetry is mostly carried out through relative gravimeters, either superconducting instruments, providing higher quality data, or the more widely used spring meters. On the other hand, time-lapse surveys can be carried out with relative (spring) gravimeters, that measure gravity differences between pairs of stations, or by absolute gravimeters, capable of measuring the absolute value of the gravitational acceleration at the observation point. Here we present the state-of-the-art of terrestrial gravity measurements to monitor and study active volcanoes and the possibilities of new gravimeters that are under development. In particular, we present data from a mini array of three iGrav superconducting gravimeters (SGs) atMount Etna (the first network of SGs ever installed on an active volcano). A comparison between continuous gravity measurements recorded through the iGrav#016 superconducting gravimeter at Serra La Nave station (1730 m a.s.l.) and absolute gravity data collected with the Microg LaCoste FG5#238 gravimeter in the framework of repeated campaigns is also presented. Furthermore, we introduce the Horizon 2020 NEWTON-g project (New Tools for Terrain Gravimetry), funded under the FET-OPEN Research and Innovation Actions call, Work Programme 2016–2017 (Grant Agreement No 801221). In the framework of this project, we aim to develop a field-compatible gravity imager, including an array of low-costs Micro-Electro- Mechanical Systems (MEMS)-based relative gravimeters, anchored on an absolute quantum gravimeter. After the design and production phases, the gravity imager will be field-tested at Mt. Etna (Italy) during the last 2 years of the project.
    Description: Published
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: book chapter
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  • 10
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    Online detection of offsets in GPS time series (2021)
    Springer
    Details
    Publication Date: 2021-02-23
    Description: This paper deals with the online offset detection in GPS time series recorded in volcanic areas. The interest for this problem lies in the fact that an offset can indicate the opening of eruptive fissures. A Change Point Detection algorithm is applied to carry out, in an online framework, the offset detection. Experimental results show that the algorithm is able to recognize the offset generated by the Mount Etna eruption, occurred on December 24, 2018, with a delay of about 4 samples, corresponding to 40 min, compared to the best offline detection. Furthermore, analysis of the trade-off between success and false alarms is carried out and discussed.
    Description: Published
    Description: 267–276
    Description: 2T. Deformazione crostale attiva
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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