Keywords:
Environmental economics.
;
Economic forecasting.
;
Electronic books.
Type of Medium:
Online Resource
Pages:
1 online resource (170 pages)
Edition:
1st ed.
ISBN:
9781351752527
URL:
https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/geomar/detail.action?docID=5224510
DDC:
333.7
Language:
English
Note:
Cover -- Half Title -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of figures and tables -- Acknowledgments -- 1 Forecasting for sustainability -- Projecting the shadow of humanity on the environment of the Earth -- The why and how of forecasting alternative futures -- Is there a tradeoff between economy and the environment? -- Economic development paths and their ecological impacts -- Our project: Forecasting Kentucky's environmental futures -- 2 Process overview and rationale -- The policy context: Opportunities and constraints -- Task definition: Opportunities and constraints -- Identifying key areas of concern -- Data scanning -- Project modeling elements -- Establishing the economy-environment links -- Identifying possible alternative development paths -- 3 Scanning context and setting priorities -- Kentucky - a brief socioeconomic sketch -- The state of the environment in Kentucky -- The policy context -- Setting priorities: The initial issue scanning survey -- Summary -- 4 Social research for forecasting: Nominal group techniques in scenario building -- Scenario forecasting -- The nominal group technique -- Identification of significant environmental issues -- Choosing impact priority from significant issues -- Developing scenarios: Social, economic and environmental narratives -- Summary of findings -- 5 Environmental impact modeling from scenario projections -- Forecasting economic conditions and activities -- The Kentucky regions analyzed - definitions and utility -- Baseline and restructured projections: Imagining a different mix of economic activities -- POLESTAR scenarios: Technology, policy and behavior change and the environment -- 6 Comparing the effects of economic activity, technologies and practices on environmental impacts -- The baseline economy projection: Can past trends continue? -- Adjusting for probable and possible change.
,
The environmental consequences of economic restructuring -- The range of change: Baseline status quo vs. restructured combined change -- Implications for current policy: Sources of challenge, sources of hope -- Conclusions -- 7 Forecasting for sustainability conclusions, findings and potential -- Forecasting for sustainability -- Forecasting Kentucky's environmental futures: A summary -- Environmental research for the policy process: Context and credibility -- Issues in measurement and valuation -- Prospects: The potential contribution of environmental forecasts -- Bibliography -- Appendix One: Current trends in Kentucky -- List of acronyms.
