Description: This Wuppertal Paper analyses the energy transition models of Colombia and Germany. The emphasis of the exercise is on an analysis of options for the complete decarbonization of the energy system in Colombia as a Global South country. To this end, it analyses the current situation, projections, public policy and narratives, and contrasts it with Germany as one of the countries of the Global North with which Colombia has historically maintained energy trade relations and is currently collaborating in the exploration of energy alternatives for decarbonization. Detailed analysis of sectoral energy consumption in Colombia shows the sectors with the highest fossil energy consumption (in this order): transport (fuels), industry (gas, coal), electricity generation (gas, coal) and residential (gas). We show the projected increase in demand for fuels and electricity, and calculate the amount of electricity theoretically needed to substitute fossil sources in each sector. We estimate the total electricity required for decarbonization via sector coupling and derive a first estimation of the range of additional renewable energy capacities needed to supply this demand. We find that required capacities are expectedly large (56-110 GW), depending on decarbonization pathways, and that export capacity beyond national demand may be limited. Our analysis of the policy and scenario arena in both countries finds that Colombia is still lacking both sector-specific decarbonization strategies and an embedding in a systemic vision of a systemic energy transition. Germany has more advanced sector strategies and (national) systemic visions, but lacks embedding assumptions on energy imports in a global-system analysis, i.e. in the analysis of an energy transition in potential exporting countries like Colombia. We formulate requirements to close these gaps in our conclusions.

Description: The food system faces a multitude of challenges, including high greenhouse gas emissions, threats to biodiversity, increased diet-related diseases due to unbalanced diets, and socially problematic complex supply chains. This requires not only a transformation of the agricultural economy but also a change in the diet and lifestyles of all consumers. Developing and using digital and technological innovations can help to solve these challenges. In this context, the study provides impulses on how digitalisation can contribute to transforming production and consumption and which prerequisites have to be given to achieve this. The study describes the approaches for digitalisation along the value chain. These include optimising the use of resources in agriculture - for example with the help of smart farming - and supporting consumers with digital tools and assistance systems - such as apps designed to support grocery shopping. In addition, new business models and a better connection between production and consumption processes are also possible. This includes, for example, new digital sales channels or tracking and communicating sustainability indicators such as CO2 emissions across all steps of the value chain in order to enable all stakeholders to take reliable action.

Description: The adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015 and the passing of the Climate Action Law in Germany in 2019 established the legal need for the basic material industry in Germany to decarbonise. For the industry sector, the target is sets at a 49-51% GHG reduction by 2030 compared to 1990. Even though the sector specific targets are likely to become obsolete, a Hydrogen Strategy, Industry Strategy and Climate Protection Contracts are currently being developed or elaborated on. These are to further ensure and enable the basic material industry in Germany to decarbonise. These developments are emphasising the relevance of studying the industry decarbonisation at the time of conducting this research. As the institutionalisation of the industry decarbonisation is influenced by discourse, the analysis of the discourse is an important tool for studying the power effects produced by and built into the discourse. This is the first research aiming to provide a structured analysis of the discourse on industry decarbonisation in Germany. Drawing on discourse analysis and the Multilevel-Perspectives framework, this research investigated the power and dominance of storylines to influence the discourse of the industry transformation towards decarbonisation. In this research insights were obtained into the storylines used in this discourse, the actors who are part of this discourse, the frequency of storylines used and the percentage of actors making use of these storylines. Additionally, insights were generated into the discursive network and potential coalitions. This research made use of the Discourse Network Analysis software in combination with Visone and Excel for data collection, analysis, and visualisation. Based on 117 documents of various categories from the years 2012 to 2023, the discourse on German industry decarbonisation is discovered to be dominated by storylines of mainly technological or economic nature. The general sentiment discovered by the different actors is positive with the storylines focusing on establishing the conditions for the industry to decarbonise and no resistance being communicated. The discourse is furthermore dominated by most storylines. 18 out of 27 storylines are being used by more than 56% of all actors. The high overlap in storyline indicates discursive homogeneity. The homogeneity is further indicated through the lack of emerging discourse coalitions and the therewith connected lack of struggles for discursive dominance. One coalition can be defined with some actors being deeper involved and some being less involved in the discourse. As decisions on the transition path for Germany's industry to decarbonise are still to be taken the lack of discursive struggles has come to my surprise. In the discussion I reflect on how the positive sentiment, the discursive homogeneity and the great number of dominant storylines may come about.

Description: An increasingly globalised world has facilitated the movement of non-native species (NNS) via the poorly regulated international pet trade. While focus is increasingly being placed on preventative action to combat invasive NNS—often cheaper and less difficult than the management of established populations—successful prevention requires controlling potential pathways and obtaining baseline knowledge of species' availability. Here we performed an in-depth analysis of the freshwater pet trade as one major vector of NNS, compiling its species inventory and deriving threats of NNS release and establishment in the wild. With Germany as our study region, we surveyed pet stores, websites and the country's largest online classified portal, eBay Kleinanzeigen, recording the taxa encountered. For each species, we determined the likelihood of release based on availability and price (cheaper and/or more readily available species have been shown to be of greater risk), and the likelihood of establishment based on ecological niche breadth and niche overlap with environmental conditions in Germany. The survey revealed 669 species, of which 651 were non-native to Germany. Looking at release likelihood, more readily available species in pet stores and on websites proved to be cheaper. For websites, there was a significant effect of occurrence status (i.e. released, not released, native) on price, with released and native species being significantly cheaper. Species previously released in Germany and elsewhere demonstrated greater niche breadths and greater niche overlaps between their source regions and Germany; and for species released in Germany, there was a significantly positive relationship between the magnitude of niche overlap and the number of documented occurrences. Finally, we combined our release and establishment likelihood findings under ‘Release Risk’ metrics to highlight the species most worthy of prioritisation. We propose these metrics as proactive methods for screening species in the trade, which can inform future policy direction and intervention. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

Description: 1. Hydrothermal vent systems are important biodiversity hotspots that host a vast array of unique species and provide information on life's evolutionary adaptations to extreme environments. However, these habitats are threatened by both human exploitation and extreme natural events, both of which can rapidly disrupt the delicate balance of the food webs found in these systems. This is particularly true for shallow vent endemic animals due to their limited dietary niche and specialized adaptations to specific biogeochemical conditions. 2. In this study, we used the shallow hydrothermal vents of Kueishantao off the coast of Taiwan as a natural laboratory to examine the response of a benthic food web to a M5.8 earthquake and a C5 typhoon that led to a two-year “near shutdown” of the vents. These perturbations drastically altered the local biogeochemical cycle and the dietary availability of chemosynthetic versus photosynthetic food resources. 3. Our analysis of multiple stable isotopes, including those of sulphur, carbon, and nitrogen (δ34S, δ13C, and δ15N), from different benthic macrofauna reveals that endemic and non-endemic consumers exhibited different responses to sudden disruption in habitat and biogeochemical cycling. 4. The endemic vent crab, Xenograpsus testudinatus, continued to partially rely on chemosynthetic sulphur bacteria despite photosynthetic sources being the most dominant food source after the disruption. We posit that X. testudinatus has an obligate nutritional dependence on chemoautotrophic sources because the decrease in chemoautotrophic production was accompanied by a dramatic decrease in the abundance of X. testudinatus. The population decline rate was ~19 individuals per m2 per year before the perturbation, but the decline rate increased to 40 individuals per m2 per year after the perturbation. In contrast, the non-endemic gastropods exhibited much greater dietary plasticity that tracked the overall abundance of photo- and chemo-synthetic dietary sources. 5. The catastrophic events in shallow hydrothermal vent ecosystem presented a novel opportunity to examine dietary adaptations among endemic and non-endemic benthic macrofauna in response to altered biogeochemical cycling. Our findings highlight the vulnerability of benthic specialists to the growing environmental pressures exerted by human activities worldwide.

Description: Der Klimawandel wird zunehmend eine der größten Gesundheitsbedrohungen des 21. Jahrhunderts. Die Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) erwartet, dass durch die Folgen des Klimawandels zwischen den Jahren 2030 und 2050 rund 250.000 zusätzliche Todesfälle pro Jahr durch Mangelernährung, Malaria, Durchfallerkrankungen und Hitzestress verursacht werden. Allein für die direkten Gesundheitsschäden - also ohne beispielsweise indirekte Schäden, die in Sektoren wie der Landwirtschaft entstehen - werden bis 2030 Zusatzkosten von jährlich zwei bis vier Milliarden US-Dollar erwartet. Besonders betroffen sind Menschen in Gegenden mit einer schlechten Gesundheitsversorgung und Infrastruktur. Aber auch Deutschland ist von den Folgen des Klimawandels betroffen – heute und künftig. Aktuell liegt in der Forschung noch ein Fokus darauf, zu untersuchen, in welcher Art und Weise die Menschen dem Klimawandel ausgesetzt sind (Expositionswege) und wie sich diese Gesundheitseffekte messen lassen (etwa der Unterschied der Gesundheitsauswirkungen einer globalen Durchschnittserwärmung von 1,5 oder 2 Grad Celsius). Auch wird das klimawandelbedingte Gesundheitsrisiko verschiedener Bevölkerungsgruppen von zahlreichen nationalen und internationalen Akteuren erforscht. Einer der Forschungsschwerpunkte bildet dabei die Untersuchung unterschiedlicher Anfälligkeiten für klimabedingte Gesundheitsrisiken verschiedener Gruppen (bspw. ältere Menschen, Vorerkrankte, Einkommensschwache, Kinder). Andere Studien widmen sich dem Risiko, dem Menschen in ausgewählten geografischen Regionen (etwa Brasilien) oder Angehörige bestimmter Völker (bspw. Gesellschaften in der Arktis) ausgesetzt sind. Ein noch junges Forschungsfeld umfasst Untersuchungen zur Klimaangst (climate anxiety). Gemeinsam mit der gesetzlichen Krankenkasse BARMER hat das Wuppertal Institut sich zum Ziel gesetzt, innerhalb des Projekts "BARMER Explorationsstudie Klimawandel und Gesundheit" den aktuellen Forschungsstand zu den Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf die Gesundheit aufzubereiten. Die Aufarbeitung erfolgt über vier Arbeitspakete (Module) hinweg. Der vorliegende Projektbericht fasst die zentralen Projektergebnisse zusammen.

Description: Das Ernährungssystem steht vor einer Vielzahl von Herausforderungen, wie unter anderem: hoher Treibhausgas-Emissionen, der Gefährdung der Biodiversität, der vermehrten ernährungsbedingten Krankheiten durch unausgewogener Ernährung sowie sozial-problematischen komplexen Lieferketten. Das erfordert nicht nur eine Transformation der Agrarwirtschaft sondern auch einen Wandel in den Ernährungs- und Lebensstilen aller Konsumierenden. Digitale und technologische Innovationen zu nutzen und weiterzuentwickeln kann helfen, diese Herausforderungen zu lösen. Vor diesem Hintergrund liefert die vorliegende Studie des Wuppertal Instituts Impulse, wie die Digitalisierung dazu beitragen kann Produktion und Konsum umzugestalten und welche Voraussetzungen dafür gegeben sein müssen. Die Studie beschreibt die Ansatzpunkte für die Digitalisierung entlang der Wertschöpfungskette. Dazu zählen die Optimierung des Ressourceneinsatzes in der Landwirtschaft, etwa mithilfe von Smart Farming, die Unterstützung von Verbraucher*innen durch digitale Tools und Assistenzsysteme - beispielsweise mit Apps als Einkaufshilfe. Daneben erlauben auch neue Geschäftsmodelle und Rahmenbedingungen eine bessere Vernetzung von Produktions- und Konsumprozessen. Dazu gehören zum Beispiel neue digitale Absatzkanäle oder Prozessstufen-übergreifend Nachhaltigkeitskennzahlen wie beispielsweise CO2-Emissionen mitzuführen und zu kommunizieren, um allen Akteur*innen richtungssicheres Handeln zu ermöglichen.

Description: Um die Treibhausgasneutralität bis 2045 zu erreichen, wird unter anderem erforderlich sein, dass die Industrie klimaneutrale Produktionsweisen entwickelt und umsetzt. Damit einher gehen gesellschaftliche Aushandlungsprozesse darüber, welche neuen Technologien eingesetzt werden und welche Auswirkungen vor Ort akzeptiert werden. Das Ausmaß an Akzeptanz gegenüber Technologien oder Infrastrukturen beeinflusst neben anderen Faktoren die spezifische Ausgestaltung der Transformation. Mangelnde Akzeptanz kann die Entwicklung von Transformationspfaden verlangsamen oder gar verhindern, und zu Protesten, beispielsweise von lokalen Initiativen oder von etablierten Klimaschutz- und Umweltverbänden, führen. Dieses Wuppertal Paper stellt die Frage in den Fokus, welchen Einfluss Protestbewegungen auf öffentliche Akzeptanz haben bzw. haben könnten. Grundlage dafür sind empirische Ergebnisse aus dem Projekt Protanz.NRW zu Protesten und Akzeptanz im Kontext der Industrietransformation in NRW. Darauf aufbauend wird ein Protest-Akzeptanz-Modell entwickelt und es werden Hypothesen abgeleitet, wie unterschiedliche Protestgruppen die öffentliche Akzeptanz von Technologien für die Industrietransformation in NRW beeinflussen können. Abschließend werden Handlungsempfehlungen für Politik und Industrie abgeleitet sowie Forschungsbedarfe aufgezeigt.

Description: 1. Geolocating aquatic animals with acoustic tags has been ongoing for decades, relying on the detection of acoustic signals at multiple receivers with known positions to calculate a 2D or 3D position, and ultimately recreate the path of an aquatic animal from detections at fixed stations. 2. This method of underwater geolocation is evolving with new software and hardware options available to help investigators design studies and calculate positions using solvers based predominantly on time-difference-of-arrival and time-of-arrival. 3. We provide an overview of the considerations necessary to implement positioning in aquatic acoustic telemetry studies, including how to design arrays of receivers, test performance, synchronize receiver clocks and calculate positions from the detection data. We additionally present some common positioning algorithms, including both the free open-source solvers and the ‘black-box’ methods provided by some manufacturers for calculating positions. 4. This paper is the first to provide a comprehensive overview of methods and considerations for designing and implementing better positioning studies that will support users, and encourage further knowledge advances in aquatic systems.