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Trade in Virtual Water: Do Property Rights Matter?

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A Correction to this article was published on 19 April 2018

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Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of virtual water trade – embodied in agricultural products – and tests the relationship between property rights and the export of water-intensive products. Using two different measures of property rights protection, I show that countries with weaker property rights have an apparent comparative advantage in the export of water-intensive products. After controlling for economic size, natural resource endowments and bilateral trade determinants, the trade flow of virtual water is negatively and significantly correlated with the property rights index of the exporting country. The results are robust across different estimation methods.

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  • 19 April 2018

    Due to an oversight, Figure 2a was incorrectly captured in the original publication.

Notes

  1. More recently, Copeland and Taylor (2009) further explain the relationship between trade and property rights in a dynamic model whereby the degree of property rights enforcement is endogenously determined by three forces: the regulator’s enforcement power, the extent of harvesting capacity, and the ability of the resource to generate competitive returns without being extinguished.

  2. For example, Acemoglu and Johnson (2005) defines “property rights institutions” as institutions constraining government and elite expropriation, which are “intimately linked to the distribution of political power in society because they regulate the relationship between ordinary private citizens and the politicians or elites with access to political power”.

  3. The correlation between the property rights index and per capita GDP of a country is 0.747; the correlation between the property rights index and the natural log of per capita GDP is 0.738.

  4. The correlation between NRPI and per capita GDP of a country is 0.145; the correlation between NRPI and the natural log of per capita GDP is 0.162.

  5. The database is developed by French research institute Centre d’Études Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales (CEPII), based on bilateral trade data provided by the United Nations Statistical Division. See Gaulier and Zignago (2010) for more details.

  6. Values of foreign contents in the exports of agricultural products are relatively low. The OECD-WTO Trade in Value Added (TiVA) database indicates that share of foreign content of gross exports in 2005 for “Agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing” industry is 13.79%, and for “Food products, beverages and tobacco” industry is 20.15%.

  7. Although data are available for all years covered in the study, in some years the data might be missing for certain countries. Where necessary, I replace the missing data with observations of the country from the previous or subsequent year.

  8. Clustering at the country-pair level allows the variance to differ across importer-exporter pair, permits an unstructured covariance within the clusters to control for correlation over time.

  9. The summary statistics indicate that the dependent variable “bilateral virtual water trade” has more than 10% zero values.

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Acknowledgments

I would like to thank Professor Richard Baldwin, Professor Nicolas Berman, Professor Jaime de Melo, Professor Andrea Fracasso, Martina Bozzola, Derek Eaton, Lys Kulamadayil, Arun Jacob, Maria Matthew, Joëlle Noailly, David Trouba and Christos Zoumides for their helpful comments on earlier versions of the paper.

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Correspondence to Ankai Xu.

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This paper represents the opinions of the author, and is the product of professional research. It is not meant to represent the position or opinions of the WTO or its Members, nor the official position of any staff members. Any errors are the fault of the authors.

The original version of this article was revised: Due to an oversight, Figure 2a was incorrectly captured in the original publication. The correct Figure 2a image is reloaded in this version.

Appendix

Appendix

1.1 Proof: Resource Supply and Property Rights

Suppose the supply of environmental resources is price-dependent, i.e. Es = Es(p E ), where p E is the price of the environmental resources. Assume that environmental resource E is extracted from a resource pool using an input x which has opportunity cost q. Under an unregulated common-property regime, the extraction of the input E is carried out by N farmers, indexed i = 1,...,N. Let x i be the input of harvester i, and let \(x={\sum }_{i = 1}^{N}{x_{i}}\).

The total harvest can be expressed as a function E = F(x) of the total input. I assume F(0) = 0, F(x) > 0, and F(x) is strictly concave, so there are strictly diminishing returns. The concavity assumption is realistic in the case of exhaustible natural resources. The diminishing returns arise from the use of an increasing amount of input x to a fixed body of natural resources.

Assume also that all farmers are symmetric, so that each farmer obtains as its output a fraction of the total output equal to the fraction that it supplies of the total input, E i = F(x)(x i /x). Each farmer chooses its input level x i to maximize the value of its share of output net of costs, p E E i (x i ) − qx i , here p E is the market-induced price of the resources, and q is the “opportunity cost” of the input x i .

The private-property marginal product of the input is denoted MPP and the common-property marginal product is MPC. Denote \(x_{-i}={\sum }_{j\neq i} x_{j}\), the marginal product under common property rights regime is:

$$ M{P^{C}_{i}}=d{F(x)(x_{i}/x)}/d{x_{i}}\\ =F(x)/x+(x_{i}/x)[F^{\prime}(x)-F(x)/x] $$
(7)

The marginal product of input is F(x), the average product is F(x)/x. When N, x i /x → 0, and the common-property marginal product becomes the average product.

Under private property rights regime, on the other hand, the individual marginal product of input equals the aggregated marginal product, hence \(M{P_{i}^{P}}=F^{\prime }(x)\). The difference between the common-property marginal product and the marginal product under private property regime would be:

$$\begin{array}{@{}rcl@{}} M{P^{C}_{i}}-M{P^{P}_{i}}&=&F^{\prime}(x)-F(x)/x-(x_{i}/x)[F^{\prime}(x)-F(x)/x]\\ &=&[F^{\prime}(x)-F(x)/x]-[1-x_{i}/x] <0 \end{array} $$
(8)

The last inequality is derived from the strict concavity, whereby F(x)/x > F(x). Therefore, the common-property marginal product is always lower than the private-property marginal product.

For each PE, the farmer’s objective is to find x i which optimizes p E E i (x i ) − qx i . For each fixed q, the solution to this problem, denoted x i (p E ,q), is an increasing function of p E : as the market price of E increases, the marginal productivity of x i which maximizes the objective function of the farmer must satisfy p E (E i /x i ) = q. For each p E and q, this maximization problem defines E i = E i (x i (p E ,q)).

Under common-property regimens, more is supplied at any given price.

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Xu, A. Trade in Virtual Water: Do Property Rights Matter?. Water Resour Manage 32, 2585–2609 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-018-1941-5

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