Collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalization incidences in Germany
Fig 13
Performance based on the alternative target with a maximum delay of 40 days.
Shown are the mean WIS with absolute errors (top) and the empirical coverage (bottom) computed with respect to a revised target defined as the number of hospitalizations reported with a delay of up to 40 days. For the ILM model we used the revised model with a maximum delay of 42 days and also recomputed the ensembles with these revised nowcasts. For the other models, the assumed maximum delays are approximately aligned with the redefined target, see Table 1.