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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1996
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 101, No. C7 ( 1996-07-15), p. 16585-16599
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 101, No. C7 ( 1996-07-15), p. 16585-16599
    Abstract: The annual cycle of the plankton dynamics in the central Black Sea is studied by a one‐dimensional vertically resolved physical‐biological upper ocean model, coupled with the Mellor‐Yamada level 2.5 turbulence closure scheme. The biological model involves interactions between the inorganic nitrogen (nitrate, ammonium), phytoplankton and herbivorous zooplankton biomasses, and detritus. Given a knowledge of physical forcing, the model simulates main observed seasonal and vertical characteristic features, in particular, formation of the cold intermediate water mass and yearly evolution of the upper layer stratification, the annual cycle of production with the fall and the spring blooms, and the subsurface phytoplankton maximum layer in summer, as well as realistic patterns of particulate organic carbon and nitrogen. The computed seasonal cycles of the chlorophyll and primary production distributions over the euphotic layer compare reasonably well with the data. Initiation of the spring bloom is shown to be critically dependent on the water column stability. It commences as soon as the convective mixing process weakens and before the seasonal stratification of surface waters begins to develop. It is followed by a weaker phytoplankton production at the time of establishment of the seasonal thermocline in April. While summer nutrient concentrations in the mixed layer are low enough to limit production, the layer between the thermocline and the base of the euphotic zone provides sufficient light and nutrient to support subsurface phytoplankton development. The autumn bloom takes place sometime between October and December depending on environmental conditions. In the case of weaker grazing pressure to control the growth rate, the autumn bloom shifts to December–January and emerges as the winter bloom, or, in some cases, is connected with the spring bloom to form one unified continuous bloom structure during the January–March period. These bloom structures are similar to the year‐to‐year variabilities present in the data.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1996
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1996
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 101, No. C12 ( 1996-12-15), p. 28457-28472
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 101, No. C12 ( 1996-12-15), p. 28457-28472
    Abstract: The problem of estimating boundary and initial conditions for a regional open‐ocean model is addressed here. With the objective of mimicking the Synoptic Ocean Prediction (SYNOP) experiment in the Gulf Stream system, a meandering jet is modeled by the fully nonlinear barotropic vorticity equation. Simulated velocity observations are taken using current meters and acoustic tomography; twin experiments are then performed in which the adjoint method is used to reconstruct the flow field. The estimated flow is forced to resemble the true flow by minimizing a cost function with respect to some control variables. First, the vorticity initial conditions are used as control variables, and the boundary conditions are specified. The strong flow is found to induce strong dependence of the model/data misfit upon the specified boundary conditions. Second, the boundary values of stream function and vorticity are then included among the control variables. Various choices of a priori information about the control variables are employed, using various observational strategies. The major new result obtained is the successful estimation of the complete set of initial and boundary conditions, which is necessary to integrate the vorticity equation forward in time. From a time‐invariant first guess for the boundary conditions the assimilation is able to create temporal variations at the boundaries that make the interior flow match well the velocity observations.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1996
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1995
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 100, No. C4 ( 1995-04-15), p. 6777-6793
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 100, No. C4 ( 1995-04-15), p. 6777-6793
    Abstract: A practical method of data assimilation for use with large, nonlinear, ocean general circulation models is explored. A Kaiman filter based on approximations of the state error covariance matrix is presented, employing a reduction of the effective model dimension, the error's asymptotic steady state limit, and a time‐invariant linearization of the dynamic model for the error integration. The approximations lead to dramatic computational savings in applying estimation theory to large complex systems. We examine the utility of the approximate filter in assimilating different measurement types using a twin experiment of an idealized Gulf Stream. A nonlinear primitive equation model of an unstable east‐west jet is studied with a state dimension exceeding 170,000 elements. Assimilation of various pseudomeasurements are examined, including velocity, density, and volume transport at localized arrays and realistic distributions of satellite altimetry and acoustic tomography observations. Results are compared in terms of their effects on the accuracies of the estimation. The approximate filter is shown to outperform an empirical nudging scheme used in a previous study. The examples demonstrate that useful approximate estimation errors can be computed in a practical manner for general circulation models.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1995
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1995
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 100, No. C12 ( 1995-12-15), p. 24773-24796
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 100, No. C12 ( 1995-12-15), p. 24773-24796
    Abstract: The primary objective of this paper is to assess the relative effectiveness of data sets with different space coverage and time resolution when they are assimilated into an ocean circulation model. We focus on obtaining realistic numerical simulations of the Gulf Stream system typically of the order of 3‐month duration by constructing a “synthetic” ocean simultaneously consistent with the model dynamics and the observations. The model used is the Semispectral Primitive Equation Model. The data sets are the “global” Optimal Thermal Interpolation Scheme (OTIS) 3 of the Fleet Numerical Oceanography Center providing temperature and salinity fields with global coverage and with bi‐weekly frequency, and the localized measurements, mostly of current velocities, from the central and eastern array moorings of the Synoptic Ocean Prediction (SYNOP) program, with daily frequency but with a very small spatial coverage. We use a suboptimal assimilation technique (“nudging”). Even though this technique has already been used in idealized data assimilation studies, to our knowledge this is the first study in which the effectiveness of nudging is tested by assimilating real observations of the interior temperature and salinity fields. This is also the first work in which a systematic assimilation is carried out of the localized, high‐quality SYNOP data sets in numerical experiments longer than 1–2 weeks, that is, not aimed to forecasting. We assimilate (1) the global OTIS 3 alone, (2) the local SYNOP observations alone, and (3) both OTIS 3 and SYNOP observations. We assess the success of the assimilations with quantitative measures of performance, both on the global and local scale. The results can be summarized as follows. The intermittent assimilation of the global OTIS 3 is necessary to keep the model “on track” over 3‐month simulations on the global scale. As OTIS 3 is assimilated at every model grid point, a “gentle” weight must be prescribed to it so as not to overconstrain the model. However, in these assimilations the predicted velocity fields over the SYNOP arrays are greatly in error. The continuous assimilation of the localized SYNOP data sets with a strong weight is necessary to obtain local realistic evolutions. Then assimilation of velocity measurements alone recovers the density structure over the array area. However, the spatial coverage of the SYNOP measurements is too small to constrain the model on the global scale. Thus the blending of both types of datasets is necessary in the assimilation as they constrain different time and space scales. Our choice of “gentle” nudging weight for the global OTIS 3 and “strong” weight for the local SYNOP data provides for realistic simulations of the Gulf Stream system, both globally and locally, on the 3‐ to 4‐month‐long timescale, the one governed by the Gulf Stream jet internal dynamics.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1995
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 1998
    In:  Journal of Physical Oceanography Vol. 28, No. 5 ( 1998-05), p. 902-922
    In: Journal of Physical Oceanography, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 28, No. 5 ( 1998-05), p. 902-922
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0022-3670 , 1520-0485
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 1998
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 1995
    In:  Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers Vol. 42, No. 3 ( 1995-3), p. 389-423
    In: Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, Elsevier BV, Vol. 42, No. 3 ( 1995-3), p. 389-423
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0967-0637
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 1995
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1996
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 101, No. C7 ( 1996-07-15), p. 16551-16569
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 101, No. C7 ( 1996-07-15), p. 16551-16569
    Abstract: The seasonal variability of the Black Sea circulation is studied using an eddy‐resolving primitive equation model. A series of numerical experiments is carried out to determine the relative importance of wind stress, air‐sea thermohaline fluxes, and river‐induced lateral buoyancy forcing in driving the circulation on the monthly and seasonal timescales. A synthesis is made of the results with those obtained under yearly climatological conditions by Oguz et al. [1995] to assess whether the major circulation features are a response to the yearly forcings or are dominated by the seasonal cy cle. The model experiments indicate that under all forcing mechanisms, the overall basin circulation is characterized by a very strong seasonal cycle dominating the yearly signal described by Oguz et al. [1995]. The purely wind‐driven circulation reveals most of the observed circulation features including a well‐defined meandering boundary current system and subbasin scale cyclonic gyres forming the interior flow structure of the basin. Topography obviously remains a crucial factor in controlling the pattern of the persistent rim current system all year long. The dynamical instabilities of the rim current produce strong meandering and mesoscale eddies which often modulate the basin and subbasin scale structures of the circulation. The surface thermohaline fluxes generate simpler circulation patterns with a comparable strength but mostly in the opposite direction to the wind‐driven circulation. Two important by‐products emerge from the present work. First is the necessity of reanalyzing the heat flux climatology. The existing surface thermohaline fluxes, even though not affecting critically the general characteristics of the surface circulation patterns, may induce rather unrealistic horizontal temperature distributions and water mass properties in the surface layer. Second, the role of the northwestern shelf in the cold intermediate water (CIW) mass formation process is shown to be secondary during moderate‐to‐high winter discharge conditions from the northwestern rivers. In these conditions the freshwater outflow reduces the density of the cold water formed on the shelf by about 1 kg/m 3 as compared with that of the basin interior, which is the major reservoir for the formation of the winter CIW.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1996
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 1999
    In:  Journal of Marine Systems Vol. 20, No. 1-4 ( 1999-4), p. 279-300
    In: Journal of Marine Systems, Elsevier BV, Vol. 20, No. 1-4 ( 1999-4), p. 279-300
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0924-7963
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 1999
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1996
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 101, No. C12 ( 1996-12-15), p. 28473-28488
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 101, No. C12 ( 1996-12-15), p. 28473-28488
    Abstract: In a companion paper by Gunson and Malanotte‐Rizzoli [this issue], the problem of estimating boundary and initial conditions for a regional open‐ocean model from sparse data is addressed using the adjoint method. Here the estimation of error covariances for the estimated boundary and initial conditions and interior fields, in the presence of strongly nonlinear dynamics, is investigated. The evaluation of the full error covariance matrix for the estimated control variables from the inverse Hessian matrix is presented along with its dependence upon the degree of nonlinearity in the dynamics. Major new results here obtained are the availability of off‐diagonal covariances, the successful calculation of error covariances for all boundary and initial conditions, and the estimation of errors for interior fields. The role of the Hessian matrix is assessed in gauging the sensitivity of the estimated boundary and initial conditions to the data.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1996
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1996
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Vol. 101, No. C3 ( 1996-03-15), p. 6487-6500
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 101, No. C3 ( 1996-03-15), p. 6487-6500
    Abstract: Massachusetts and Cape Cod Bays form a semienclosed coastal basin that opens onto the much larger Gulf of Maine. Subtidal circulation in the bay is driven by local winds and remotely driven flows from the gulf. The local‐wind forced flow is estimated with a regional shallow water model driven by wind measurements. The model uses a gravity wave radiation condition along the open‐ocean boundary. Results compare reasonably well with observed currents near the coast. In some offshore regions, however, modeled flows are an order of magnitude less energetic than the data. Strong flows are observed even during periods of weak local wind forcing. Poor model‐data comparisons are attributable, at least in part, to open‐ocean boundary conditions that neglect the effects of remote forcing. Velocity measurements from within Massachusetts Bay are used to estimate the remotely forced component of the flow. The data are combined with shallow water dynamics in an inverse‐model formulation that follows the theory of Bennett and McIntosh [1982], who considered tides. We extend their analysis to consider the subtidal response to transient forcing. The inverse model adjusts the a priori open‐ocean boundary condition, thereby minimizing a combined measure of model‐data misfit and boundary condition adjustment. A “consistency criterion” determines the optimal trade‐off between the two. The criterion is based on a measure of plausibility for the inverse solution. The “consistent” inverse solution reproduces 56% of the average squared variation in the data. The local‐wind‐driven flow alone accounts for half of the model skill. The other half is attributable to remotely forced flows from the Gulf of Maine. The unexplained 44% comes from measurement errors and model errors that are not accounted for in the analysis.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0148-0227
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1996
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    SSG: 16,13
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