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  • ddc:551  (2)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-12-05
    Description: The Arctic is warming much faster than the global average. This is known as Arctic Amplification and is caused by feedbacks in the local climate system. In this study, we explore a previously proposed hypothesis that an associated wind feedback in the Barents Sea could play an important role by increasing the warm water inflow into the Barents Sea. We find that the strong recent decrease in Barents Sea winter sea ice cover causes enhanced ocean‐atmosphere heat flux and a local air temperature increase, thus a reduction in sea level pressure and a local cyclonic wind anomaly with eastward winds in the Barents Sea Opening. By investigating various reanalysis products and performing high‐resolution perturbation experiments with the ocean and sea ice model FESOM2.1, we studied the impact of cyclonic atmospheric circulation changes on the warm Atlantic Water import into the Arctic via the Barents Sea and Fram Strait. We found that the observed wind changes do not significantly affect the warm water transport into the Barents Sea, which rejects the wind‐feedback hypothesis. At the same time, the cyclonic wind anomalies in the Barents Sea increase the amount of Atlantic Water recirculating westwards in Fram Strait by a downslope shift of the West Spitsbergen Current, and thus reduce Atlantic Water reaching the Arctic basin via Fram Strait. The resulting warm‐water anomaly in the Greenland Sea Gyre drives a local anticyclonic circulation anomaly.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The Barents Sea has been experiencing a rapid decrease in its winter sea ice extent during the last 30 years. The loss of sea ice creates new areas where, in winter, the relatively warm ocean loses heat to the cold atmosphere. As warm air rises, the warming reduces the sea level air pressure, changing the atmospheric circulation to develop a local anticlockwise wind system centered over the northern Barents Sea. The associated eastward winds in the Barents Sea Opening and southeastward winds in Fram Strait affect how warm water from the North Atlantic moves toward the Arctic. There has been a long debate on whether this wind anomaly can increase the warm Atlantic Water transport into the Barents Sea and thus cause a positive feedback mechanism for further reducing the sea ice through melting. We find that the observed atmospheric circulation changes have no significant impact on the Barents Sea warm water inflow and thus reject the wind feedback as a strong player in contributing to Arctic Amplification. However, strong anomalous southeastward winds in Fram Strait and the northern Nordic Seas cause a southward shift of the warm Atlantic Water recirculation and reduce its flow toward the Arctic.
    Description: Key Points: A hypothesis that a wind feedback contributes to Arctic Amplification is rejected by performing dedicated wind perturbation simulations. Winter sea ice retreat in the northern Barents Sea causes anomalous cyclonic winds by locally enhancing ocean heat loss. Anomalous cyclonic winds result in less Atlantic Water transport through Fram Strait.
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Description: North‐German Supercomputing Alliance
    Description: https://github.com/FESOM/fesom2
    Description: https://doi.org/10.7265/N5K072F8
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5065/D6HH6H41
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5065/D6WH2N0S
    Description: https://github.com/FESOM/pyfesom2
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7458143
    Keywords: ddc:551 ; Barents Sea ; Arctic Amplification ; feedback ; Atlantic water ; modeling ; Fram Strait
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2022-06-17
    Description: We examine the historical evolution and projected changes in the hydrography of the deep basin of the Arctic Ocean in 23 climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The comparison between historical simulations and observational climatology shows that the simulated Atlantic Water (AW) layer is too deep and thick in the majority of models, including the multi‐model mean (MMM). Moreover, the halocline is too fresh in the MMM. Overall our findings indicate that there is no obvious improvement in the representation of the Arctic hydrography in CMIP6 compared to CMIP5. The climate change projections reveal that the sub‐Arctic seas are outstanding warming hotspots, causing a strong warming trend in the Arctic AW layer. The MMM temperature increase averaged over the upper 700 m at the end of the 21st century is about 40% and 60% higher in the Arctic Ocean than the global mean in the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. Salinity in the upper few hundred meters is projected to decrease in the Arctic deep basin in the MMM. However, the spread in projected salinity changes is large and the tendency toward stronger halocline in the MMM is not simulated by all the models. The identified biases and projection uncertainties call for a concerted effort for major improvements of coupled climate models.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: Coupled climate models are crucial tools for understanding and projecting climate change, especially for the Arctic where the climate is changing at unprecedented rates. A cold fresh layer of water (aka halocline) has been protecting sea‐ice at the surface from the warm layer of water (aka Atlantic Water layer) which flows underneath and could potentially accelerate sea ice melting from below. Climate change disturbs this vertical structure by changing the temperature and salinity of the Arctic Ocean (in a process known as Atlantification and Pacification) which may lead to additional sea ice basal melting and accelerate sea ice decline. We examined the simulated temperature and salinity in the Arctic Ocean deep basin in state‐of‐the‐art climate model simulations which provided the basis for the IPCC Assessment Report. We found that although there are persistent inaccuracies in the representation of Arctic temperature and salinity, the Arctic Ocean below 100 m is subject to much stronger warming than the average global ocean. On the other hand, the upper Arctic Ocean salinity is projected to decrease, which on average may strengthen the isolation of sea ice from Atlantic Water heat in the Arctic deep basin area.
    Description: Key Points: A too deep and thick Arctic Atlantic Water layer continues to be a major issue in contemporary climate models contributing to the CMIP6. The Arctic Ocean below the halocline is subject to much stronger warming than the global mean during the 21st century. The multi‐model mean upper ocean salinity is projected to decrease in the future but with high uncertainty.
    Description: European union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme
    Description: German Helmholtz climate initiative REKLIM
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Description: https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/projects/esgf-dkrz/
    Description: http://psc.apl.washington.edu/nonwp_projects/PHC/Data3.html
    Keywords: ddc:551
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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