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  • 1
    In: Geology, Boulder, Colo. : Soc., 1973, 36(2008), 1, Seite 11-14, 0091-7613
    In: volume:36
    In: year:2008
    In: number:1
    In: pages:11-14
    Description / Table of Contents: It is highly debated whether global warming contributed to the strong hurricane activity observed during the last decade. The crux of the recent debate is the limited length of the reliable instrumental record that exacerbates the detection of possible long-term changes in hurricane activity, which naturally exhibits strong multidecadal variations that are associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). The AMO, itself a major mode of climate variability, remains also poorly understood because of limited data. Here, we present the fi rst coral-based proxy record (Delta 18 O) that clearly captures multidecadal variations in the AMO and the hurricane activity. Our record, obtained from a brain coral situated in the Atlantic hurricane domain, is equally sensitive to variations in sea surface temperature (SST) and seawater Delta 18 O, with the latter being strongly linked to precipitation, by this means amplifying large-scale climate signals in coral Delta 18 O. The SST and precipitation signals in the coral provide the longest, thus far, continuous proxy-based record of hurricane activity that interestingly exhibits a long-term increase over the last century. As multidecadal SST variations in this region are closely related to the AMO, this study raises new possibilities to extend the limited observations and to gain new insights into the mechanisms underlying the AMO and long-term hurricane variations.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: graph. Darst., Kt
    ISSN: 0091-7613
    Language: English
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  • 2
    In: Climatic change, Dordrecht [u.a.] : Springer Science + Business Media B.V, 1977, (2009), 1573-1480
    In: year:2009
    In: extent:12
    Description / Table of Contents: The ability of modern climate models to simulate ice season length in the Arctic, its recent changes and navigation season on Arctic marine routes along the Eurasian and the North American coastlines is evaluated using satellite ice cover observations for 19792007. Simulated mean sea ice season duration fits remarkably well to satellite observations and so do the simulated 20th century changes using historical forcing. This provides confidence to extend the analysis to projections for the twenty-first century. The navigation season for the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and Northwest Passage (NWP), alternative sea routes from the North Atlantic to Asia, will considerably increase during this century. The models predict prolongation of the season with a free passage from 3 to 6 months for the NSR and from 2 to 4 months for the NWP by the end of twenty-first century according to A1B scenario of the IPCC. This suggests that transit through the NSR from Western Europe to the Far East may be up to 15% more profitable in comparison to Suez Canal transit by the end of the twenty-first century.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 12 , graph. Darst
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Language: English
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  • 3
    In: Geophysical research letters, Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, 1974, 35(2008), 1944-8007
    In: volume:35
    In: year:2008
    In: extent:5
    Description / Table of Contents: Observed multidecadal variability (30 yr running means, trends, and moving standard deviations) of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) during the instrumental record is compared to that simulated by two different coupled general circulation models in extended-range control experiments. Simulated NAO exhibits strong low frequency fluctuations, even on multi-centennial time scale. Observed multi-decadal NAO variations agree well with the model variability. Trend probability distribution functions, observed and simulated, were not found to be different with statistical significance. Thus, multi-decadal NAO changes similar to those observed during the instrumental record, including the recent increase in 1965-1995, may be internally generated within the coupled atmosphere-ocean system without considering external forcing.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 5 , graph. Darst
    ISSN: 1944-8007
    Language: English
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  • 4
    In: Climate dynamics, Berlin : Springer, 1986, (2008), 1432-0894
    In: year:2008
    In: extent:26
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 26 , graph. Darst
    ISSN: 1432-0894
    Language: English
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  • 5
    In: Geophysical research letters, Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, 1974, 35(2008), 1944-8007
    In: volume:35
    In: year:2008
    In: extent:5
    Description / Table of Contents: It is shown that some important aspects of the space-time structure of multidecadal sea surface temperature (SST) variability can be explained by local air-sea interactions. A concept for Global Hyper Climate Modesʺ is formulated: surface heat flux variability associated with regional atmospheric variability patterns is integrated by the large heat capacity of the extra-tropical oceans, leading to a continuous increase of SST variance towards longer timescales. Atmospheric teleconnections spread the extra-tropical signal to the tropical regions. Once SST anomalies have developed in the Tropics, global atmospheric teleconnections spread the signal around the world creating a global hyper climate mode. A simple model suggests that hyper climate modes can vary on timescales longer than 1,000 years. Ocean dynamics may amplify theses modes and influence the regional expression of the variability, but are not at the heart of the mechanism which produces the hyper modes.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 5 , graph. Darst
    ISSN: 1944-8007
    Language: English
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  • 6
    Book
    Book
    Hamburg : Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie
    Type of Medium: Book
    Series Statement: Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie ...
    Language: English
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  • 7
    Book
    Book
    London : Haus
    Keywords: Climatic changes Environmental aspects ; Environmental protection ; Klimaänderung
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 205 S.
    Edition: 1 Auf.
    ISBN: 9781906598143
    DDC: 551.6425
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Note: Dt. Ausg. u.d.T.: Bringen wir das Klima aus dem Takt?
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  • 8
    Book
    Book
    Hamburg : Max-Planck-Inst. für Meteorologie
    Keywords: Forschungsbericht
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 44 S , graph. Darst., Kt , 30 cm
    Series Statement: Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie 140
    Language: English
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 39 - 44
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  • 9
    Book
    Book
    Hamburg : Max-Planck-Inst. für Meteorologie
    Keywords: Forschungsbericht
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 17 S , graph. Darst., Kt , 30 cm
    Series Statement: Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie 141
    Language: English
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 14 - 17
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  • 10
    In: Part 1
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 48 S
    Series Statement: Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie 73
    Language: English
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