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  • 1
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 46 S , graph. Darst
    Series Statement: Technical report / European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 44
    Language: English
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Newark :John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated,
    Keywords: Emergency management. ; Electronic books.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 online resource (345 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9781119359173
    Language: English
    Note: Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- CONTENTS -- CONTRIBUTORS -- PREFACE -- Section I Introduction -- Chapter 1 Concepts and Methodologies of Environmental Hazards and Disasters -- 1.1. INTRODUCTION -- 1.2. HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL HAZARDS IN AGRICULTURE -- 1.3. BIOPHYSICAL HAZARDS IN AGRICULTURE -- 1.4. SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 2 Indigenous Knowledge for Disaster Solutions in the Hilly State of Mizoram, Northeast India -- 2.1. INTRODUCTION -- 2.2. TRADITIONAL PRACTICES FOR LANDSLIDE PREVENTION -- 2.3. BAMBOO‐BASED HOUSING IN EARTHQUAKE PRONE ZONE -- 2.4. COMMUNITY-BASED EFFORTS TO COMBAT FOREST FIRES -- 2.5. LOCAL WATER HARVESTING SYSTEMS IN MIZORAM -- 2.6. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 3 Urban Risk and Resilience to Climate Change and Natural Hazards: A Perspective from Million‐Plus Cities on the Indian Subcontinent -- 3.1. BACKGROUND -- 3.2. URBAN SYSTEM IN CHANGING CLIMATIC CONDITIONS -- 3.3. URBAN HAZARDS AND RISK -- 3.4. URBAN RESILIENCE AND ADAPTATION -- 3.5. CONCLUSION -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 4 The Contribution of Earth Observation in Disaster Prediction, Management, and Mitigation: A Holistic View -- 4.1. INTRODUCTION -- 4.2. EARTH OBSERVATION (EO) FOR NATURAL DISASTER PREDICTION -- 4.3. EARTH OBSERVATION (EO) FOR NATURAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT AND MITIGATION -- 4.4. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Section II Atmospheric Hazards and Disasters -- Chapter 5 Tropical Cyclones Over the North Indian Ocean in Changing Climate -- 5.1. INTRODUCTION -- 5.2. DATA AND METHODOLOGY -- 5.3. RESULT AND ANALYSIS -- 5.4. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTs -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 6 Simulation of Intensity and Track of Tropical Cyclones Over the Arabian Sea Using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Modeling System: with Different Initial Conditions (ICs) -- 6.1. INTRODUCTION. , 6.2. SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONES -- 6.3. DESCRIPTION OF THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECAST MODEL AND NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS -- 6.4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION -- 6.5. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 7 Development of a Soft Computing Model from the Reanalyzed Atmospheric Data to Detect Severe Weather Conditions -- 7.1. INTRODUCTION -- 7.2. METHODOLOGY -- 7.3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION -- 7.4. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 8 Lightning, the Global Electric Circuit, and Climate -- 8.1. INTRODUCTION -- 8.2. LIGHTNING DISCHARGES -- 8.3. LIGHTNING DISCHARGES AND THE GLOBAL ELECTRIC CIRCUIT -- 8.4. ATMOSPHERIC DISCHARGES AND CLIMATE -- 8.5. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATION -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 9 An Exploration of the Panther Mountain Crater Impact Using Spatial Data and GIS Spatial Correlation Analysis Techniques -- 9.1. INTRODUCTION -- 9.2. MATERIALS -- 9.3. METHODOLOGY -- 9.4. RESULTS -- 9.5. DISCUSSION -- 9.6. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Section III Land Hazards and Disasters -- Chapter 10 Satellite Radar Interferometry Processing and Elevation Change Analysis for Geoenvironmental Hazard Assessment -- 10.1. INTRODUCTION -- 10.2. STUDY AREA -- 10.3. GEOENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING -- 10.4. RADAR INTERFEROMETRY -- 10.5. MULTITEMPORAL ELEVATIONS CHANGE ANALYSIS -- 10.6 CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 11 Assessing the Use of Sentinel-2 in Burnt Area Cartography: Findings from a Case Study in Spain -- 11.1. INTRODUCTION -- 11.2. MATERIALS AND METHODS -- 11.3. RESULTS -- 11.4. DISCUSSION -- 11.5. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 12 Assimilating SEVIRI Satellite Observation into the Name-III Dispersion Model to Improve Volcanic Ash Forecast -- 12.1. INTRODUCTION -- 12.2. NAME DISPERSION MODEL -- 12.3. DATA AND METHODOLOGY. , 12.4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS -- 12.5. CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 13 Geoinformation Technology for Drought Assessment -- 13.1. INTRODUCTION -- 13.2. STUDY AREA -- 13.3. MATERIALS AND METHODS -- 13.4. METHODOLOGY -- 13.5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS -- 13.6. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 14 Introduction to Landslides -- 14.1. INTRODUCTION -- 14.2. MORPHOLOGY OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.3. SLOPE FAILURE -- 14.4. CAUSES OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.5. TYPES OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.6. CLASSIFICATION OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.7. IDENTIFICATION OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.8. GROUND OBSERVATION -- 14.9. MEASUREMENT OF LANDSLIDES -- 14.10. LANDSLIDE HAZARD ZONATION MAPPING -- 14.11. LANDSLIDE HAZARD MITIGATION -- 14.12. SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 15 Probabilistic Landslide Hazard Assessment using Statistical Information Value (SIV) and GIS Techniques: A Case Study of Himachal Pradesh, India -- 15.1. INTRODUCTION -- 15.2. STATISTICAL INFORMATION VALUE (SIV) MODEL -- 15.3. LANDSLIDE CONDITIONING FACTORS -- 15.4. METHODOLOGY -- 15.5. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION -- 15.6. CONCLUSION -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 16 One-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Modeling of the River Tapi: The 2006 Flood, Surat, India -- 16.1. INTRODUCTION -- 16.2. STUDY AREA AND DATA USED -- 16.3. METHODOLOGIES -- 16.4. RESULTS -- 16.5. VALIDATION OF SIMULATED FLOW -- 16.6. SENSITIVITY OF STAGE RELATION WITH TIDAL CONDITION -- 16.7. RECOMMENDATIONS AND SUGGESTION FOR FLOOD PREVENTION -- 16.8. DISCUSSIONS -- 16.9. CONCLUSIONS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTs -- REFERENCES -- Section IV Ocean Hazards and Disasters -- Chapter 17 Tropical Cyclone-Induced Storm Surges and Wind Waves in the Bay of Bengal -- 17.1. INTRODUCTION -- 17.2. METHODOLOGY -- 17.3. TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN -- 17.4. STUDIES ON TROPICAL CYCLONE-INDUCED STORM SURGES FOR THE BAY OF BENGAL. , 17.5. CHARACTERISTICS OF OCEAN WIND WAVES AND THEIR ROLE DURING EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS -- 17.6. COUPLED WAVE‐HYDRODYNAMIC MODELS -- 17.7 STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION MODELING FOR CYCLONE THANE -- 17.8. STORM SURGE AND INUNDATION MODELING FOR CYCLONE AILA -- 17.9. COUPLED MODELING SYSTEM FOR CYCLONE PHAILIN -- 17.10. COUPLED MODELING SYSTEM FOR CYCLONE HUDHUD -- 17.11. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 18 Space-Based Measurement of Rainfall Over India and Nearby Oceans Using Remote Sensing Application -- 18.1. INTRODUCTION -- 18.2. RAINFALL ESTIMATION USING INFRARED OBSERVATIONS -- 18.3. RAINFALL ESTIMATION USING MICROWAVE OBSERVATIONS -- 18.4. RAINFALL ESTIMATION USING MERGED IR AND MICROWAVE OBSERVATIONS -- 18.5. CONCLUSION -- ACKNOWLEDGMENT -- REFERENCES -- Chapter 19 Modeling Tsunami Attenuation and Impacts on Coastal Communities -- 19.1. INTRODUCTION -- 19.2. MODELING TSUNAMIS -- 19.3. TSUNAMI DEFENSE STRUCTURES -- 19.4. TSUNAMI-BORNE DEBRIS -- 19.5. INFRASTRUCTURE -- 19.6. SUMMARY -- REFERENCES -- INDEX -- EULA.
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht :Springer Netherlands,
    Keywords: Cyclones -- Indian Ocean Region. ; Electronic books.
    Description / Table of Contents: This book advances the science of climate change impacts on tropical cyclones, and includes papers on operational Forecasting and Warning Systems as well as numerical weather prediction modeling systems for cyclone predictions in the Indian Ocean region.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 online resource (435 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9789400777200
    DDC: 551.55/209165
    Language: English
    Note: Intro -- Preface -- About the Editors -- Contents -- PART I Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change -- Construction and Quality of Best Tracks Parameters for Study of Climate Change Impact on Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Characteristics of Best Tracks in Satellite Era -- 2.1 Satellite Observations of CDs -- 2.2 IMD's Use of Weather Satellites for CD Monitoring -- 2.3 Methods Used to Interpret Genesis, Location and Intensity of CDs -- 2.4 Errors in Estimation of Location and Intensity during Satellite Era -- 3. Frequency of CD, CS, SCS and VSCS -- 4. Trends in Frequency in Satellite Era -- 4.1 Trend in Frequency of CD -- 4.2 Trend in Frequency of CS or Higher Intensity Storms -- 4.3 Trend in Frequency of SCS or Higher Intensity Storms -- 4.4 Trend in Frequency of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) or Higher Intensity Storms -- 5. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Climate Change and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones" International Initiative - Progress since the First International Con -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Archive -- 3. Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Trends -- 4. Historical Cyclone Data Portal -- 5. Future Work - Prospects for Improving Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones -- 6. Summary -- Acknowledgement -- REFERENCES -- Climate Change in Tropical Cyclones and Monsoon Depressions of North Indian Ocean -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Climate Change in Annual Frequency of TC and MD -- 3. FDO in Cyclones, Equatorial Wind and SST of Indian Ocean -- 4. Decreasing Trend in MD Frequency and Monsoon LLJ -- 5. Climate Change in the Intensity of Cyclones -- 6. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Mechanism of the Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Frequency Changes due to Global Warming -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Hypothesis -- 3. Model and Experiment -- 4. Global TC Frequency Changes. , 5. Regional TC Frequency Changes -- 6. Indian Ocean TC Frequency Changes -- 7. Discussion -- 8. Conclusions -- Acknowledgement -- REFERENCES -- Recent Research at GFDL on Surface Temperature Trends and Simulations of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Indian Ocean Region -- 1. Introduction and Overview -- 2. Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends in the Indian Ocean/Southern Asia Region -- Summary -- 3. Simulations of Northern Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Activity -- Summary -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- PART II Climatological Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones and Future Projection -- Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Indian Ocean Projected by the New HighResolution MRI-AGCM -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Models and Experimental Design -- 3. Results -- 3.1 Projected Future Changes in TC Genesis Number -- 3.2 Projected Future Changes in TC Frequency -- 3.3 Mechanisms of Future Changes in TC Genesis Frequency -- 4. Summary -- REFERENCES -- Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Indian Ocean in the Warmer Climate -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data and Methodology and Discussion -- 3. Results and Discussion -- 3.1 Frequency of Genesis -- 3.2 Area of Genesis of TC -- 3.3 Duration of TC Season over NIO -- 3.4 Energy Metrics of TCs over NIO -- 4. Conclusion -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- An Analysis of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity over the Bay of Bengal during 1981-2010 -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data -- 3. Effect of Translational Speed on Intensification -- 3.1 Translational Speed (TS) Group and Intensification -- 3.2 Translational Speed and Relative Intensification -- 4. Effect of Vertical Wind Shear on Intensification -- 5. Concluding Remarks -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- Analysis of Cyclone Tracks of North Indian Ocean Using Cluster Analysis -- 1. Introduction. , 2. Pertinent Literature -- 3. Data -- 4. Methodology -- 5. Results -- 5.1 Regression Mixture Models -- 5.2 Properties of the Clusters -- 6. Conclusion and Future Work -- REFERENCES -- Characteristics of Cyclogenesis over the Indian Region during 1891-2011 with Special Emphasis on Bay of Bengal vis-à-vis Arabian -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data and Methodology -- 3. Inter-decadal Climate Shifts of Frequencies and Intensity of Cyclogenesis during 1891-2011 for Indian Region, BoB and AS Usin -- 4. Intensification Ratio in Indian Region, BoB and AS and Cyclogenesis Capability of AS to BoB and Identification of Their Corre -- 5. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- PART III Tropical Cyclone Predictability: Status and Plan for Operational Forecasting -- Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones Using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data and Methods -- 2.1 Model Forecasts -- 2.2 Tropical Cyclone Tracking Scheme -- 3. Results and Discussion -- 3.1 Tropical Cyclone Formation and Pre-genesis Forecasts -- 3.2 Post-genesis Tropical Cyclone Forecasts -- 4. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Prospects for Improving the Operational Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Southern Hemisphere -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data and Methodology -- 3. Results -- 3.1 Correlation between the Annual Number of TCs and the ENSO Indices -- 3.2 Multiple Regression Models -- 3.3 Statistical-dynamical Model-based Approach for TC Seasonal Prediction -- 4. Discussion and Conclusions -- Acknowledgement -- REFERENCES -- Extended Range Tropical Cyclone Predictions for East Coast of India -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Extended Range Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclones -- Methodology -- 3. Medium Range Forecasts for Cyclone Genesis Potential and Tracks in South and Central Bay of Bengal (2007-2010). , 3.1 Cyclone Sidr (12th -16th Nov 2007) -- 3.2 Cyclone Nargis (27th April-3rd May 2008) -- 3.3 Cyclone Khai-Muk (13th-16th November 2008) -- 4. Summary and Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- Status and Plans for Operational Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Warning Systems in the North Indian Ocean Region -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Broad Responsibility of IMD for TC Forecasting and Warning Services (RSMC, 2012) -- 3. Recent Initiatives and Outcomes -- 4. Current Status of Monitoring and Forecasting -- 4.1 Observational Systems for Cyclone Monitoring -- 4.2 Analysis and Forecasting -- 4.3 Decision Making Process -- 5. Early Warning System-Organizational Structure -- 6. Bulletins and Products -- 6.1 Tropical Weather Outlook -- 6.2 Tropical Cyclone Advisories -- 6.3 Tropical Cyclone Advisories for Aviation -- 6.4 Bulletin for India Coast -- 6.5 Wind Forecast for Different Quadrants -- 6.6 User Specific Bulletins -- 7. Conclusions and Future Scope -- REFERENCES -- Advancing Tropical Cyclone Forecasts Using Aircraft Observations -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Flight-level Observations -- 3. Airborne Expendables -- 3.1 GPS Dropwindsondes -- 3.2 Expendable Ocean Probes -- 4. Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer (SFMR) -- 5. Airborne Doppler Radar -- 6. Improved Use of Observations-Hurricane Forecast and Improvement Project (HFIP) -- REFERENCES -- Estimation of Centre and Intensity of Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean Using Microwave Imageries -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Data and Methodology -- 3. Results and Discussion -- 3.1 Comparison of Intensity of CDs -- 3.2 Comparison of Location of Centre of CDs -- 4. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Multi-model Ensemble Based Extended Range Forecast of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the North Indian Ocean -- 1. Introduction -- 2 Coupled Models Output Considered for Preparing Multi-model Ensemble Forecast. , 2.1 ECMWF Monthly Forecast System -- 2.2 NCEP's Climate Forecast System -- 2.3 Multi-model Ensemble (MME) Forecast -- 3. MME Forecast of Cyclogenesis during 2011 Post-monsoon Season -- 3.1 Observed Cyclonic Storm during 2011 Post-monsoon Season -- 3.2 MME Outlook of Cyclonic Storm during 2011 Post-monsoon Season -- 4. Summary and Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- PART IV NWP Modelling for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting -- Improvement in Track and Intensity Prediction of Indian Seas Tropical Cyclones with Vortex Assimilation -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Model Description and Numerical Experiments -- 3. Synoptic Situations of Aila and Gonu -- 3.1 Case 1 (Aila) -- 3.2 Case 2 (Gonu) -- 4. Results and Discussion -- 4.1 Improvement in Track Simulation -- 4.2 Improvement in Intensity Prediction -- 5. Conclusions -- Acknowledgement -- REFERENCES -- NWP Forecast Guidance during Phet at Oman Meteorological Service -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1 Historical Tropical Cyclones in Arabian Sea -- 1.2 Tropical Cyclone Phet -- 2. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) Simulation -- 2.1 Modelling Capabilities at Oman Meteorological Department -- 2.2 Preliminary Results -- 3. Conclusion and Future Work -- REFERENCES -- Impact of Variational Data Assimilation for Simulating Tropical Cyclones over Bay of Bengal Using WRF-ARW -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Numerical Experiments -- 3 Data and Methodology -- 4 Results and Discussion -- 5. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Improved Track and Intensity Predictions Using Cyclone Bogusing and Regional Assimilation -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Model Description, Cyclone Bogusing and Experiments -- 3. Summary of Results -- 3.1 Impact on Initial Conditions -- 3.2 Impact on forecast tracks -- 3.3 Impact of DWR Data Assimilation -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- Role of Surface Roughness Length on Simulation of Cyclone Aila -- 1. Introduction. , 2. Data Used and Methodology.
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dordrecht :Springer Netherlands,
    Keywords: Geology. ; Electronic books.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 online resource (762 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9789402408966
    DDC: 551.5513015118
    Language: English
    Note: Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Part 1: State-of-the-art Observations for Advancing TC Research -- 1: Advancing the Understanding and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Using Aircraft Observations -- 1. Introduction -- 2. P-3 Aircraft -- 3. Flight-level Observations -- 4. Airborne Expendables -- a. GPS Dropwindsondes -- b. Expendable Ocean Probes -- 5. Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer (SFMR) -- 6. Airborne Doppler Radar -- 7. Improved Use of Observations: Hurricane Forecast and Improvement Programme (HFIP) -- a. Improving Initialization -- b. Improved Model Evaluation -- 8. Future Observing Technologies -- 9. Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 2: Use of Satellite Observations in Tropical Cyclone Studies -- 1. Overview -- 2. Visible/Infrared Sensors -- 3. Microwave Sensors -- 3.1 Passive Microwave Sensors -- 3.2 Active Microwave Sensors -- 3.3 Microwave Sounders -- 4. Some Interesting Applications of Satellite Data in Tropical Cyclone Research -- 4.1a Prediction of Tropical Cyclogenesis Based on Infrared Images -- 4.1b Prediction of Tropical Cyclogenesis Using Scatterometer Observations -- 4.2 Initialization of Cyclonic Vortex in NWP Models -- 4.3 Assimilation of Satellite Observations of Atmospheric Ozone in NWP Models -- REFERENCES -- Part 2: Advances in Numerical Weather Predictions for Tropical Cyclones -- 3: Overview of the NOAA/NCEP Operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) Modelling System -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Atmospheric Model Components of HWRF -- 2.1 Dynamic Core and Model Equations -- 2.2 Moving Nest Algorithm -- 2.3 Terrain Treatment and Topography -- 2.4 Fine Grid Initialization and Mass Balancing -- 2.5 Lateral Boundary Conditions -- 2.6 Nest-to-Parent Feedback -- 3. HWRF Vortex Initialization and Relocation -- 3.1 HWRF Cycling System. , 3.2 Bogus Vortex Used to Correct Weak Storms -- 3.3 Improvement of Vortex Representation: Storm Size Correction -- 3.4 Improvement of Vortex Representation: Storm Intensity Correction -- 4. HWRF Data Assimilation System (HDAS) -- 4.1 Hybrid EnKF-3DVAR Algorithm -- 5. Physics in the HWRF Model -- 5.1 Surface Layer Physics Parameterization -- 5.2 Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) Parameterization -- 5.3 Land Surface Model: The GFDL Slab Model -- 5.4 Radiation Parameterization: GFDL Radiation Scheme -- 5.5 Cumulus Parameterization: The Simplified Arakawa-Schubert (SAS) Scheme -- 5.6 Microphysics Parameterization: The Ferrier Microphysics Scheme -- 6. Performance of the Operational HWRF -- 6.1 HWRF Model Performance for the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Basins -- 6.2 HWRF Model Performance for the North Western Pacific Basin -- 6.3 HWRF Model Performance for the North Indian Ocean Basin -- 7. Summary and Future Work -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 4: Physical Processes in Tropical Cyclone Models -- 1. An Overview of Physical Processes Required to be Included in TC Models -- 1.1 Importance of Cloud Parameterization in TC Models -- 1.2 Cloud Microphysics Parameterization -- 1.3 General Concepts in Sub-Grid Cloud Parameterization -- 1.4 Other Physical Processes in TC Models -- 2. Sensitivity of Simulated TC Intensification to Parameterized Physical Processes -- 2.1 Experimental Design -- 2.2 Metrics for Comparing the Sensitivity Experiments -- 2.3 Results -- 3. Summary and Discussion -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 5: Sub-Grid Vertical Turbulent Mixing in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer -- 1. Parameterization of Sub-Grid Vertical Turbulent Mixing -- 1.1 Description of Sub-Grid Motions -- 1.2 Grid-resolved Variables and Sub-Grid Turbulent Fluxes -- 1.3 A Diagnostic Local Mixing Parameterization -- 1.4 Prognostic Mixing Parameterizations. , 1.5 Non-Local Mixing Parameterizations -- 1.6 Summary and Final Remarks -- 2. A Non-sigular Realization of the 1.5-Order TKE Scheme with Prognostic Mixing Length -- 2.1 The Vertical Turbulent Mixing Scheme -- 2.2 The Closure Constants of the η2l Equation -- 2.3 Constraints on the Length Scale -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 6: Air-Sea Turbulent Flux Parameterizations in Tropical Cyclone Models -- 1. An Overview of Physical Processes near the Air-Sea Interface -- 1.1 Parameterizations of Air-Sea Fluxes under High Wind Conditions -- 1.2 Sea Surface Roughness Parameterization -- 1.3 The Parameterization of Roughness Lengths for Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes -- 1.4 The Spray Contribution to Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes from the Ocean -- 2. Parameterizations of Sea-Spray Impact on the Air-Sea Momentum and Heat Fluxes -- 2.1 Dynamical and Thermal Effect of Sea Spray -- 2.2 Parameterization of the Sea-spray Effect on the Heat Fluxes -- 2.3 Parameterization of the Sea-spray Effect on the Momentum Flux -- 2.4 The Physics of the Parameterized Sea-spray Effect -- 2.5 Sensitivity of an NWP Model to the Parameterizations -- 3. Summary and Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 7: Present State of Knowledge of Electrification and Lightning within Tropical Cyclones and Their Relationships to Microphysics and Storm Intensity -- 1. Lightning Morphology within Tropical Cyclones and Relationships with Storm Intensity -- 2. Lightning, Convection and Microphysics within Tropical Cyclones -- 3. Modelling of Tropical Cyclone Electrification -- REFERENCES -- 8: The Role of Land Surface Processes on Tropical Cyclones: Introduction to Land Surface Models -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Surface Energy Budget -- 2.1 Examples of Energy Balance over Different Landscapes -- 3. Boundary Layer -- 4. Air-surface Exchange -- 5. Land Surface Models. , 6. Challenges in Land Surface Modelling -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 9: The Role of Land Surface Processes on Extreme Weather Events: Land Data Assimilation System -- 1. Land Surface and PBL Processes -- 2. Improving Land State Representation Using Land Data Assimilation System -- 3. Impact of Land Data on Monsoon Depressions and Numerical Experiments -- 4. Impact of Improved Land Fields on Mesoscale Convection over Indian Region -- 5. Future Directions -- 6. Summary -- Acknowledgements -- REFERENCES -- 10: Ocean Component of the HWRF Coupled Model and Model Evaluation -- 1. Introduction -- 2. History of Ocean Component of Coupled HWRF Model -- 2.1 Configuration of POM-TC -- 2.2 POM-TC Initialization -- 2.3 POM-TC Coupling to the HWRF Atmosphere (2007-2013 HWRF Operational Implementation) -- 3. Results -- 3.1 Retrospective 2013 Version HWRF-POM-TC Model Forecast Analysis -- 3.2 Retrospective 2013 Version HWRF-POM-TC Model Ocean Analysis -- 3.3 Hurricane Earl -- 3.4 Hurricane Igor -- 3.5 Hurricane Irene -- 3.6 Subsurface Ocean Temperature Analysis (Hurricane Irene) -- 3.7 AXBT Summary -- 4. Summary -- Annexure 1: Description of MPIPOM-TC -- Annexure 2: Model Initialization and Configuration (MPIPOM-TC) -- Annexure 3: Model Evaluation (MPIPOM-TC) -- REFERENCES -- Part 3: Advanced Assimilation and Vortex Initialization Techniques -- 11: Introduction to Data Assimilation Techniques and Ensemble Kalman Filter -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Purpose of Data Assimilation -- 3. Quality Control (QC) of Meteorological Observations -- 4. Definition and Notations Used in Data Assimilation -- 5. Minimization Algorithms -- 5.1 Cost Function -- 5.2 Newton Algorithm -- 5.3 Quasi-Newton Algorithm -- 6. Different Methods of Assimilation -- 6.1 The Optimal Least-Squares Estimator -- 6.2 Variational Approach-3DVAR -- 6.3 Variational Approach-4DVAR. , 6.4 Kalman Filter (KF) -- 6.5 Ensemble KF (EnKF) -- REFERENCES -- 12: Data Assimilation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Why Lack of Progress in Intensity Forecast? -- 3. Ensemble Performance and Predictability -- 3.1 EnKF for Limited-area Models: Assimilation of Doppler Radar Observations -- 3.2 Hurricane Initialization and Prediction Using Doppler Radar Observation with EnKF -- 3.3 Summary on Performance of the EnKF Assimilation of Inner-core Airborne Doppler Radar Observations (Zhang et al., 2011) -- 3.4 Hurricane Predictability under Different Shear(Zhang and Tao, 2013) -- 4. Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- 13: Data Assimilation: Comparison and Hybridization between Ensemble and Variational Methods -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Basic Algorithms of 3DVAR, 4DVAR and EnKF -- 2.1 Variational Algorithms -- 2.2 EnKF Algorithm -- 3. Advantages and Limitations of Different Data Assimilation Methods -- 3.1 Advantages and Limitations of Variational Assimilation System -- 3.2 Advantages and Limitations of Ensemble Assimilation System -- 4. Inter-comparison of 3DVAR, 4DVAR and EnKF -- 4.1 Experimental Design -- 4.2 Results and Discussion -- 5. Coupling and Hybrid of EnKF with 3DVAR/4DVAR -- 5.1 Hybrid Formulation within WRF-Var -- 5.2 Comparison of Different Assimilation Methods -- Conclusions -- REFERENCES -- Part 4: Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones -- 14: Operational ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification and Structure Diagnostics -- 1. Introduction -- 2. System Configuration -- 3. Vortex Specification and Validation -- 4. 4DVAR Initialization -- 5. Verification -- 6. Illustrative Example of Forecast Vortex Structure Change: TC Yasi -- 7. Summary and Future Plans -- REFERENCES -- 15: Physical Initialization in Tropical Cyclone Forecasting -- 1. Introduction -- 1.1 Yanai Fluxes. , 1.2 Reverse Similarity Theory.
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  • 5
    Keywords: Earth sciences ; Earth Sciences ; Natural disasters ; Physical geography ; Atmospheric sciences ; Environmental sciences
    Description / Table of Contents: This book deals primarily with monitoring, prediction and understanding of Tropical Cyclones (TCs). It was envisioned to serve as a teaching and reference resource at universities and academic institutions for researchers and post-graduate students. It has been designed to provide a broad outlook on recent advances in observations, assimilation and modeling of TCs with detailed and advanced information on genesis, intensification, movement and storm surge prediction. Specifically, it focuses on (i) state-of-the-art observations for advancing TC research, (ii) advances in numerical weather prediction for TCs, (iii) advanced assimilation and vortex initialization techniques, (iv) ocean coupling, (v) current capabilities to predict TCs, and (vi) advanced research in physical and dynamical processes in TCs. The chapters in the book are authored by leading international experts from academic, research and operational environments. The book is also expected to stimulate critical thinking for cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, and graduate and post-graduate students to carry out future research in the field of TCs
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: Online-Ressource (Approx. 450 p. 150 illus., 30 illus. in color, online resource)
    ISBN: 9789402408966
    Series Statement: SpringerLink
    Language: English
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  • 6
    Type of Medium: Book
    Pages: 47 S , graph. Darst
    Series Statement: Technical report / European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts 52
    Language: English
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cham : Springer International Publishing | Cham : Imprint: Springer
    Keywords: Environment. ; Agriculture. ; Physical geography.
    Description / Table of Contents: Panorama -- Climate Variability and Food Security -- Hierarchy of Agromet Forecast -- Weather and Climate Forecast -- Status of Monthly and Seasonal Forecast -- Generation of Regional Scale Monthly and Seasonal Forecast -- Disaggregation of Monthly and Seasonal Forecasts -- Crop Modelling and Simulation Concept -- Generation of Climate Risk Matrices -- Lessons from the Farmers on the Application of Weather Forecasts -- Hands-on Practice.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 Online-Ressource(XXIX, 354 p. 87 illus., 69 illus. in color.)
    Edition: 1st ed. 2024.
    ISBN: 9783031518621
    Language: English
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  • 8
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Key words: Numerical simulation, summer monsoon, circulation, land surface, parameterization.
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract —The influence of soil moisture and vegetation variation on simulation of monsoon circulation and rainfall is investigated. For this purpose a simple land surface parameterization scheme is incorporated in a three-dimensional regional high resolution nested grid atmospheric model. Based on the land surface parameterization scheme, latent heat and sensible heat fluxes are explicitly estimated over the entire domain of the model. Two sensitivity studies are conducted; one with bare dry soil conditions (no latent heat flux from land surface) and the other with realistic representation of the land surface parameters such as soil moisture, vegetation cover and landuse patterns in the numerical simulation. The sensitivity of main monsoon features such as Somali jet, monsoon trough and tropical easterly jet to land surface processes are discussed.¶Results suggest the necessity of including a detailed land surface parameterization in the realistic short-range weather numerical predictions. An enhanced short-range prediction of hydrological cycle including precipitation was produced by the model, with land surface processes parameterized. This parameterization appears to simulate all the main circulation features associated with the summer monsoon in a realistic manner.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 9
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Pure and applied geophysics 155 (1999), S. 33-55 
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Key words: PBL parameterisation, TKE closure, Indian summer monsoon, monsoon depression, medium-range forecast.
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract —The present study emphasizes the importance of proper representation of boundary layer physics in a general circulation model. The Turbulent Kinetic Energy (TKE) closure scheme incorpo rates important processes of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) compared to a simplistic first-order closure model. Hence the model which has the TKE closure scheme is capable of simulating important weather systems associated with summer monsoon, such as monsoon depressions and lows that form over the Indian subcontinent quite well compared to the first-order closure model. The present study indicates better performance of the global model with the TKE scheme in the prediction of the monsoon circulation, including the tracks of the depressions over the Indian subcontinent. Medium-range weather prediction has also improved with the use of the TKE closure. However further studies are necessary to improve the forecast, with emphasis on boundary layer processes.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 10
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Pure and applied geophysics 149 (1997), S. 601-622 
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Key words: Atmospheric radiative transfer, circulation, Indian summer monsoon, thermal forcing.
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract —The radiative-convective feedback and land-sea thermal forcing play significant roles in maintenance of the summer monsoon circulation over the Indian sub-continent. In this study, the role of radiative transfer in maintaining the monsoon circulation is examined with numerical sensitivity experiments. For this purpose, a sixteen layer primitive equation limited area model is used to perform numerical simulations with and without atmospheric radiative transfer processes parameterized in the model. The initial values and boundary conditions for the numerical integrations of the model are derived from operational analyses of the ECMWF, UK. The results show that the radiative transfer is essential in maintaining the intensity of the low level Somali Jet as well as the upper level Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) over the Indian sub-continent and adjoining seas. The meridional circulation over the region is also well simulated. As a result, enough moisture transports from the warm equatorial region to simulate more realistic orographic precipitation in the windward side of the mountains along the West coast of India. Without radiative transfer processes in the model atmosphere the simulated monsoon circulation weakens, moisture transport decreases and the precipitation lessens.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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