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Model assessment of the role of natural variability in recent global warming (1994)

Stouffer, R. J. ; Manabe, S. ; Vinnikov, K. Ya.

[s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group

Nature 367 (1994), S. 634-636

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ISSN: 1476-4687

Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009

Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics

Notes: [Auszug] The coupled model6 consists of general circulation models of the atmosphere and oceans, and a simple model of land surfaces (see Fig. 1 for the model description.) This model has been used for other studies of climate variability7 and to study the transient response of climate to a gradual increase ...

Type of Medium: Electronic Resource

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/367634a0

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Statistically correct determination of long-period trends in geophysical data series (1976)

Karol, I. L. ; Polyak, I. I. ; Vinnikov, K. Ya.

Springer

Pure and applied geophysics 114 (1976), S. 965-974

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ISSN: 1420-9136

Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000

Topics: Geosciences , Physics

Notes: Abstract Linear trend analysis of geophysical time series is considered in connection with the problem of determining long-period variations (possibly of man-made origin) in the presence of short period noise of larger amplitude. Criteria for testing hypotheses about linear trends are presented for the cases of independent observations and of the observations whose correlation function is known. The possibility of increasing the precision of the results using area-averaged values is investigated. Examples are given of the long time series analysis of air temperature, carbon dioxide and water vapor content. Time series of total atmospheric ozone content at some stations are also considered, and conditions for correct statistical analysis of such data are given.