Description: Gas hydrate dissociation is often considered as a precursor or triggering factor for submarine slope failures occurring in relatively deep waters where the bulk of the gas hydrate is found in fine-grained sediments. However, there are actually relatively few studies that focus on the effect of gas hydrate dissociation on the behavior of clays, and very few on what physically happens to clay during and after the dissociation process and how gas hydrate dissociation affects the geotechnical properties of clays. In this paper, we illustrate the effects of hydrate dissociation in clays from laboratory strength tests (direct simple shear) combined with visualization including very-high-resolution 3D imaging (computed tomography), using R11 as the hydrate forming fluid in both laponite and Onsøy clay. The test results reveal that the hydrate dissociation creates bubbles in the surrounding clay matrix and around pipe/well models. In addition, we use CO2-saturated water as the pore fluid in soft clay, and test results show that cracks may develop, allowing gas migration to take place after reducing back pressure in an oedometer cell. Direct simple shear tests show that the undrained shear strength decreases by up to ∼15% due to this process. The test results were then implemented in a 2D finite element model to assess the influence of hydrate dissociation on submarine slope stability. We chose a slope segment west of Svalvard—an area where methane gas bubbles escape from the seabed. The gas bubbling in this area is likely due to climate-controlled hydrate-dissociation (warming of bottom water masses). In the finite-element model, we include the change of methane hydrate stability zone (MHSZ) with time as well as the hydrate-dissociation-induced failure zone, which may be a potential leakage pathway. The numerical study indicates that the hydrate dissociation caused by bottom water warming is unlikely to be the main cause generating a leakage pathway or failure plane. However, the hydrate dissociation causing the reduction in shear strength facilitates a potentially unstable condition. The results imply that the hydrate dissociation may contribute to slope failure as a secondary driver, but are unlikely the main driving force. The aim of this study was to improve our understanding of the physical processes of gas expansion, migration and effect of hydrate dissociation through visualization and a finite element model. In addition, this study discussed methods to detect gas hydrate through a case study, and it was found possible to predict average gas hydrate saturation at sites where the sulfate-methane transition depth is known.

Description: Gas hydrate dissociation is often considered as a precursor or triggering factor for submarine slope failures occurring in relatively deep waters where the bulk of the gas hydrate is found in fine-grained sediments. However, there are actually relatively few studies that focus on the effect of gas hydrate dissociation on the behavior of clays, and very few on what physically happens to clay during and after the dissociation process and how gas hydrate dissociation affects the geotechnical properties of clays. In this paper, we illustrate the effects of hydrate dissociation in clays from laboratory strength tests (direct simple shear) combined with visualization including very-high-resolution 3D imaging (computed tomography), using R11 as the hydrate forming fluid in both laponite and Onsøy clay. The test results reveal that the hydrate dissociation creates bubbles in the surrounding clay matrix and around pipe/well models. In addition, we use CO2- saturated water as the pore fluid in soft clay, and test results show that cracks may develop, allowing gas migration to take place after reducing back pressure in an oedometer cell. Direct simple shear tests show that the undrained shear strength decreases by up to ∼15% due to this process. The test results were then implemented in a 2D finite element model to assess the influence of hydrate dissociation on submarine slope stability. We chose a slope segment west of Svalvard—an area where methane gas bubbles escape from the seabed. The gas bubbling in this area is likely due to climate-controlled hydrate-dissociation (warming of bottom water masses). In the finite-element model, we include the change of methane hydrate stability zone (MHSZ) with time as well as the hydrate-dissociation-induced failure zone, which may be a potential leakage pathway. The numerical study indicates that the hydrate dissociation caused by bottom water warming is unlikely to be the main cause generating a leakage pathway or failure plane. However, the hydrate dissociation causing the reduction in shear strength facilitates a potentially unstable condition. The results imply that the hydrate dissociation may contribute to slope failure as a secondary driver, but are unlikely the main driving force. The aim of this study was to improve our understanding of the physical processes of gas expansion, migration and effect of hydrate dissociation through visualization and a finite element model. In addition, this study discussed methods to detect gas hydrate through a case study, and it was found possible to predict average gas hydrate saturation at sites where the sulfate-methane transition depth is known.

Description: Highlights • The Danube deep-sea fan offers best conditions for hydrate production. • Gas production out of a hypothetical methane hydrate reservoir was simulated. • Hazard assessment to investigate the hazard of production-induced slope failures. • Factor of Safety against slope failure is not affected by the production process. • Mobilized mass could hit the production site if landslide were to happen. Methane production from gas hydrate reservoirs is only economically viable for hydrate reservoirs in permeable sediments. The most suitable known prospect in European waters is the paleo Danube deep-sea fan in the Bulgarian exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea where a gas hydrate reservoir is found 60 m below the seafloor in water depths of about 1500 m. To investigate the hazards associated with gas production-induced slope failures we carried out a slope stability analysis for this area. Screening of the area based on multibeam bathymetry data shows that the area is overall stable with some critical slopes at the inner levees of the paleo channels. Hydrate production using the depressurization method will increase the effective stresses in the reservoir beyond pre-consolidation stress, which results in sediment compaction and seafloor subsidence. The modeling results show that subsidence would locally be in the order of up to 0.4 m, but it remains confined to the immediate vicinity above the production site. Our simulations show that the Factor of Safety against slope failure (1.27) is not affected by the production process, and it is more likely that a landslide is triggered by an earthquake than by production itself. If a landslide were to happen, the mobilized sediments on the most likely failure plane could generate a landslide that would hit the production site with velocities of up to 10 m s-1. This case study shows that even in the case of production from very shallow gas hydrate reservoirs the threat of naturally occurring slope failures may be greater than that of hydrate production itself and has to be considered carefully in hazard assessments.

Description: Trough mouth fans (TMFs) are environments characterized by high sediment supply during glacial stages and repeated slope failure. The Tampen Slide, which removed ∼1800 km3 of sediment at ∼130 ka BP, is one of several paleo-slides at the North Sea TMF deposited at the outlet of the Norwegian Channel, SE Nordic Sea margin. Here we use 2D Finite Element Modeling to evaluate the effects of variations in sedimentation rates and sediment properties on overpressure generation and slope stability of this TMF system. The model domain, 40 km in length and 2 km in height, is dominated by deposits of glacigenic debris flows and glacimarine processes. We use geotechnical values measured on samples of glacial debris and (glaci)marine deposits from over the Ormen Lange gas field area. Slope stability has been modeled for constant temporal sediment loading, episodic changes in sedimentation rates and abrupt pulses in sediment delivery for the 61 ka of marine isotope stage 6. The models show that increased sedimentation rates during glacial stages generate insufficient overpressure to trigger the Tampen Slide. Furthermore, the simulated overpressures do not significantly differ at the end of the model runs characterized by different sedimentation patterns. The results also highlight the importance of a basal glacimarine layer underneath the rapidly-deposited sediments for the build-up of overpressure. Consequently, this glacimarine layer has the inherited potential to act as a weak layer facilitating instability. However, as overpressure due to sediment deposition alone does not result in slope failure, we couple the preconditioned slope with earthquake ground shaking. Based on attenuation models, an earthquake of M6.9 or larger at a short distance from the Tampen Slide headwall could have triggered the Tampen Slide. Therefore we suggest glacial sedimentation and a glacimarine layer to represent preconditioning factors, and seismic shaking as the controlling factor for the Tampen Slide.