Description: Landscape-scale impacts of climate change in the Arctic include increases in growing season length, shrubby vegetation, winter river discharge, snowfall, summer and winter water temperatures, and decreases in river and lake ice thickness. Combined, these changes may have created conditions that are suitable for beaver colonization of low Arctic tundra regions. We developed a semi-automated workflow that analyzes Landsat imagery time series to determine the extent to which beavers may have colonized permafrost landscapes in arctic Alaska since 1999. We tested this approach on the Lower Noatak, Wulik, and Kivalina river watersheds in northwest Alaska and identified 83 locations representing potential beaver activity. Seventy locations indicated wetting trends and 13 indicated drying trends. Verification of each site using high-resolution satellite imagery showed that 80 % of the wetting locations represented beaver activity (damming and pond formation), 11 % were unrelated to beavers, and 9 % could not readily be distinguished as being beaver related or not. For the drying locations, 31 % represented beaver activity (pond drying due to dam abandonment), 62 % were unrelated to beavers, and 7 % were undetermined. Comparison of the beaver activity database with historic aerial photography from ca. 1950 and ca. 1980 indicates that beavers have recently colonized or recolonized riparian corridors in northwest Alaska. Remote sensing time series observations associated with the migration of beavers in permafrost landscapes in arctic Alaska include thermokarst lake expansion and drainage, thaw slump initiation, ice wedge degradation, thermokarst shore fen development, and possibly development of lake and river taliks. Additionally, beaver colonization in the Arctic may alter channel courses, thermal regimes, hyporheic flow, riparian vegetation, and winter ice regimes that could impact ecosystem structure and function in this region. In particular, the combination of beaver activity and permafrost dynamics may play an important role in the formation of habitats conducive to colonization by Pacific salmon. Beaver activity in arctic tundra regions may amplify the effects of climate change on permafrost landscapes and lead to landscape-scale responses not currently being considered in ecosystem models.

Description: Ice-wedges are common permafrost features formed over hundreds to thousands of years of repeated frost cracking and ice vein growth. We used field and remote sensing observations to assess changes in areas dominated by ice-wedges, and we simulated the effects of those changes on snow accumulation and runoff. We show that top melting of ice-wedges and subsequent ground subsidence has occurred at multiple sites in the North American and Russian Arctic. At most sites, melting ice-wedges have initially resulted in increased wetness contrast across the landscape, evident as increased surface water in the ice-wedge polygon troughs and somewhat drier polygon centers. Most areas are becoming more heterogeneous with wetter troughs, more small ponds (themokarst pits forming initially at ice-wedge intersections and then spreading along the troughs) and drier polygon centers. Some areas with initial good drainage, such as near creeks, lake margins, and in hilly terrain, highcentered polygons form an overall landscape drying due to a drying of both polygon centers and troughs. Unlike the multi-decadal warming observed in permafrost temperatures, the ice-wedge melting that we observed appeared as a sub-decadal response, even at locations with low mean annual permafrost temperatures (down to -14 °C). Gradual long-term air and permafrost warming combined with anomalously warm summers or deep snow winters preceded the onset of the ice-wedge melting. To assess hydrological impacts of ice-wedge melting, we simulated tundra water balance before and after melting. Our coupled hydrological and thermal model experiments applied over hypothetical polygon surfaces suggest that 1. ice-wedge melting that produces a connected trough-network reduces inundation and increases runoff, and that 2. changing patterns of snow distribution due to differential ground subsidence has a major control on ice-wedge polygon tundra water balance despite an identical snow water equivalent at the landscape-scale. These decimeter-scale geomorphic changes are expected to continue in permafrost regions dominated by ice-wedge polygons, with implications for landatmosphere and land-ocean fluxes of water, carbon, and energy.

Description: A rise in global air temperatures is expected to increase permafrost thaw and alter ecosystem carbon and water cycles in Arctic regions. The coupling between the soil temperature in the active layer (soil between the ground surface and permafrost) and air temperature is a key component in understanding permafrost stability and ecosystem change. Vegetation can affect soil temperature through a variety of mechanisms such as canopy shading, impacts on soil thermal conductivity via soil organic inputs or soil water uptake, albedo, and winter snow trapping. However, the relative importance of the vegetative effects on soil temperature is uncertain across large spatial scales and across different vegetative communities and ecosystem types. We compiled data on a Pan-Arctic scale pairing air and soil temperature with vegetation and ecosystem data to examine the impacts of vegetation on the decoupling of air and soil temperatures. We analyzed the summer thawing degree days, winter freezing degree days, and n factors (degree days soil/degree days air) from sites across the Arctic. Our results indicate that the decoupling between summer air and soil temperatures is more variable in boreal ecosystems than tundra ecosystems, and boreal ecosystems have lower winter n-factors than tundra ecosystems. Summer n-factors were more variable than winter n-factors, and had high variability within study sites. Vegetative and ecosystem characteristics can be key drivers of spatial and temporal variability in active layer soil temperature, particularly during the summer. Quantifying the impacts of vegetation on active layer temperature is critical to understanding how changes in vegetation under climate change can further affect permafrost stability and soil temperature.