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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2021-07-23
    Description: Marine aquaculture holds great promise for meeting increasing demand for healthy protein that is sustainably produced, but reaching necessary production levels will be challenging. The ecosystem approach to aquaculture is a framework for sustainable aquaculture development that prioritizes multiple-stakeholder participation and spatial planning. These types of approaches have been increasingly used to help guide sustainable, persistent, and equitable aquaculture planning, but most countries have difficulties in setting or meeting longer-term development goals. Scenario analysis (SA) for future planning uses similar approaches and can complement holistic methods, such as the ecosystem approach to aquaculture framework, by providing a temporal analogue to the spatially robust design. Here we define the SA approach to planning in aquaculture, outline how SA can benefit aquaculture planning, and review how this tool is already being used. We track the use of planning tools in the 20 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea member nations, with particular attention given to Norway’s development goals to 2050. We conclude that employing a combination of an ecosystem framework with scenario analyses may help identify the scale of development aquaculture goals over time, aid in evaluating the feasibility of the desired outcomes, and highlight potential social-ecological conflicts and trade-offs that may otherwise be overlooked.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , isiRev
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2022-11-07
    Description: As the human population grows and climate change threatens the stability of seafood sources, we face the key question of how we will meetincreasing demand, and do so sustainably. Many of the 20 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) member nations havebeen global leaders in the protection and management of wild fisheries, but to date, most of these nations have not developed robust aqua-culture industries. Using existing data and documentation of aquaculture targets from government and industry, we compiled and analysedpast trends in farmed and wild seafood production and consumption in ICES nations, as well as the potential and need to increase aquacul-ture production by 2050. We found that the majority of ICES nations lacks long-term strategies for aquaculture growth, with an increasinggap between future domestic production and consumption—resulting in a potential 7 million tonne domestic seafood deficit by 2050, whichwould be supplemented by imports from other countries (e.g. China). We also found recognition of climate change as a concern for aquacul-ture growth, but little on what that means for meeting production goals. Our findings highlight the need to prioritize aquaculture policy toset more ambitious domestic production goals and/or improve sustainable sourcing of seafood from other parts of the world, with explicitrecognition and strategic planning for climate change affecting such decisions. In short, there is a need for greater concerted effort by ICES member nations to address aquaculture’s long-term future prospects.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , peerRev
    Format: application/pdf
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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