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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2020-10-16
    Description: The radioactive nature of radon makes it a powerful tracer for fluid movements in the crust, and a potentially effective marker to study processes connected with earthquakes preparatory phase. To explore the feasibility of using soil radon variations as earthquakes precursor, we analyse the radon concentration data recorded by two stations located close to the epicentre of the strongest mainshock (Mw 6.5 on October 30, 2016) of the seismic sequence which affected central Italy from August 2016. The two stations CTTR and NRCA operate in the framework of the permanent Italian Radon monitoring Network and recorded almost continuously since 2012 and 2016, respectively, the latter being installed just after the first mainshock of the sequence (Mw 6.0 on August 24, 2016). An increase of radon emanation is clearly visible about 2 weeks before the Mw 6.5 event on both the time series, more pronounced on NRCA, nearer to the epicentre, suggesting the possibility of a direct association with the earthquake occurrence. An independently developed detection algorithm aimed at highlighting the connections between radon emission variations and major earthquakes occurrence succeeds in forecasting the Mw 6.5 mainshock on NRCA time series. The resulting time advance of the alarm is consistent with that obtained using a Bayesian approach to compute the a posteriori probability of multiple change points on the radon time series of NRCA. Moreover, it is in agreement with the delay time which maximizes the correlation between radon and seismic anomalies. Applying the detection algorithm to CTTR time series returns alarms for both the Mw 6.0 event, with epicentre closer to this station, and the stronger Mw 6.5 event, but with a higher number of false detections. Finally, we found that a preliminary correction of the bias introduced by variations of meteorological parameters does not affect our main finding of an increase in radon concentration before the major mainshocks. Our study confirms that, although much work is still needed, a monitoring approach based on a permanent dense network is crucial for making radon time series analysis an effective complement to traditional seismological tools.
    Description: Published
    Description: id 13137
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: radon ; monitoring network ; seismicity ; precursor ; 05.01. Computational geophysics
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Since the late the late ’60s-early ’70s era seismologists started developed theories that included variations of the elastic property of the Earth crust and the state of stress and its evolution crust prior to the occurrence of a large earthquake. Among the others the theory of the dilatancy (Scholz et al., 1973): when a rock is subject to stress, the rock grains are shifted generating micro-cracks, thus the rock itself in- creases its volume. Inside the fractured rock, fluid saturation and pore pressure play an important role in earthquake nucleation, by modulating the effective stress. Thus measuring the variations of wave speed and of anisotropic parameter in time can be highly informative on how the stress leading to a major fault failure builds up. In 80s and 90s such kind of research on earthquake precursor slowed down and the priority was given to seismic hazard and ground motions studies, which are very important since these are the basis for the building codes in many countries. Today we have dense and sophisticated seismic networks to measure wave-fields characteristics: we archive continuous waveform data recorded at three components broad-band seismometers, we almost routinely obtain high resolution earthquake locations. Therefore we are ready to start to systematically look at seismic-wave propagation properties to possibly reveal short-term variations in the elastic properties of the Earth crust. In active fault areas and volcanoes, tectonic stress variation influences fracture field orientation and fluid migration processes, whose evolution with time can be monitored through the measurement of the anisotropic parameters (Piccinini et al., 2006) and of the relative velocity variations through the ambient seismic noise cross-correlation analysis (Campillo, 2006). Through the study of S waves anisotropy it is therefore potentially possible to measure the presence, migration and state of the fluid in the rock traveled by seismic waves, thus providing a valuable route to understanding the seismogenic phenomena and their precursors (Crampin & Gao, 2010). Variations of anisotropic parameter and of the ratio between the compressional (P-wave) and the shear (S-wave) seismic velocities, the Vp/Vs (Nur, 1972) have been recently observed and measured during the preparatory phase of a major earthquake (Lucente et al. 2010). The seismic noise cross-correlation analysis has shown remarkable results in studying strong earthquakes (Brenguier et al., 2008). The sudden decrease of relative velocity variations occurring at the same time of the mainshock has been interpreted as due to the modification of the coseismic stress field (Zaccarelli et al., 2011). This study has been developed by the Research Unit 2 inside the “INGV-DPC S3-Project 2012-2013: Short term earthquake prediction and preparation”. The RU 2 is composed by two Work Packages (WP1 and WP2), aimed to study the variations of seismic waves velocities using different techniques: the cross-correlation of seismic noise (WP1) in the area Po Plain before and after the 2012 Emilia seismic sequence, and as well as the seismic activity of the last few years in the Pollino region (southern Apennines) and the anisotropy of S waves (WP2) to all events recorded during the ongoing seismic sequence in the Pollino area and to compare their temporal trends to other seismic observable as the ratio Vp / Vs.
    Description: Published
    Description: Trieste, Italia
    Description: 2T. Tettonica attiva
    Description: 3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
    Description: open
    Keywords: Earthquake precursos, shear wave splitting, cross correlation,
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Poster session
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2019-10-28
    Description: We evaluate the polar drift of a stratified viscoelastic Earth, generated by 20 years of global seismicity (from the Centroid Moment Tensor catalog, 1977–1997). Our estimate is better than that of Soldati and Spada [1999] because it accounts for the effects, previously neglected, of earthquakes at depths larger than 80 km. In fact, we show that deep focus and intermediate‐depth focus seismic events tend to affect the Earth's inertia tensor more significantly than shallow ones; specifically, we find that the mean rate of polar drift (evaluated over a 6‐year time interval immediately following the seismic event) due to a vertical dip‐slip source at the bottom of the asthenosphere (280 km depth in our model) is 5 times larger than that generated by an analogous source, located at the boundary between lithosphere and asthenosphere (80 km depth). We conclude, nevertheless, that global seismic activity is not able to alter significantly the rotational parameters of the Earth: according to our computations, the changes that it induces in the inertia tensor result in an average polar drift that is still significantly smaller than the observed one.
    Description: Published
    Description: 6761-6767
    Description: 1T. Struttura della Terra
    Description: JCR Journal
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Variations in seismic velocity, ratio of P -to S-wave speed (Vp/Vs), and seismic anisotropy were heralded in the 1970s and 1980s as proxies to examine the buildup of stress preceding large earthquakes. The idea is that high pressures could cause rocks to “dilate,” changing the elastic properties of the crust by increasing crack numbers and/or dimensions, thus affecting the seismic waves propagation velocities. Rock dilatancy causes the rock to undersaturate, which will strongly reduce Vp. but will have little effect on Vs. resulting in the drop of the Vp/Vs ratio (Sholz et al., 1973). Furthermore, the formation and propagation of cracks within the rock affects its anisotropic characteristic. Several studies reported changes between properties recorded before and after mainshock occurrences. A recent example is provided by Lucente et al. (2010), who reported some clear variations in the seismic wave propagation characteristics approaching a mainshock: the elastic properties of the crustal rocks in the fault region underwent a sharp change about a week before the 6 April 2009, Mw 6.3 l’Aquila earthquake. Back in the seventies, it was hoped that these kinds of studies would allow earthquake prediction to be “just around the corner” (Savage, 2010). Over the subsequent decades, this “corner” is progressively drifted away, nevertheless for seismologists, the understanding of the processes that preside over the earthquakes nucleation and the mechanics of faulting, represents a big step toward the ability to predict earthquakes. In this regard, the integration of the monitoring of the crustal proprieties variations into middle and long term forecasting tools could help in the definition of priority areas where risk reduction interventions are more urgent, with a consequent improvement in the emergency preparedness. In the framework of the guidelines defined in the general agreement DPC-INGV for the period 2012-2022, we formed a Research Unit (UR) with the aim to study the seismic property changes occurring around the fault zones to better understand the physics of the earthquake. Our final goal is to eventually provide effective, practical tools to be applied for monitoring purposes and decision making. The UR includes two Working Packages (WP) that will investigate the variation of seismic wave velocities through different approaches. The first WP will analyze the ambient seismic noise cross-correlations to estimate the relative velocity variations occurred in the Po Plain before and after the 2012 seismic sequence, and in the Pollino region (southern Apennines) shaken by multiple seismic sequences during the last years. The second WP will focus on the shear wave seismic anisotropy temporal fluctuation, through the application of a systematic study to all events recorded during the ongoing seismic sequence in the Pollino area.
    Description: Published
    Description: Potenza
    Description: 2T. Tettonica attiva
    Description: 3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
    Description: open
    Keywords: Shear Wave Velocities, earthquakes precursor, crustal deformation, cross correlation, shear wave splitting ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.09. Waves and wave analysis ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk ; 04. Solid Earth::04.07. Tectonophysics::04.07.05. Stress
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Oral presentation
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Since the late the late ’60s-early ’70s era seismologists started developed theories that included variations of the elastic property of the Earth crust and the state of stress and its evolution crust prior to the occurrence of a large earthquake. Among the others the theory of the dilatancy (Scholz et al., 1973): when a rock is subject to stress, the rock grains are shifted generating micro-cracks, thus the rock itself increases its volume. Inside the fractured rock, fluid saturation and pore pressure play an important role in earthquake nucleation, by modulating the effective stress. Thus measuring the variations of wave speed and of anisotropic parameter in time can be highly informative on how the stress leading to a major fault failure builds up. In 80s and 90s such kind of research on earthquake precursor slowed down and the priority was given to seismic hazard and ground motions studies, which are very important since these are the basis for the building codes in many countries. Today we have dense and sophisticated seismic networks to measure wave-fields characteristics: we archive continuous waveform data recorded at three components broad-band seismometers, we almost routinely obtain high resolution earthquake locations. Therefore we are ready to start to systematically look at seismic-wave propagation properties to possibly reveal short-term variations in the elastic properties of the Earth crust. One seismological quantity which, since the ‘70s, is recognized to be diagnostic of the level of fracturation and/or of the pore pressure in the rock, hence of its state of stress, is the ratio between the compressional (P-wave) and the shear (S-wave) seismic velocities, the Vp/Vs (Nur, 1972; Kisslinger and Engdahl, 1973). Variations of this ratio have been recently observed and measured during the preparatory phase of a major earthquake (Lucente et al. 2010). In active fault areas and volcanoes, tectonic stress variation influences fracture field orientation and fluid migration processes, whose evolution with time can be monitored through the measurement of the anisotropic pa- rameters (Miller and Savage, 2001; Piccinini et al., 2006). Through the study of S waves anisotropy it is therefore potentially possible to measure the presence, migration and state of the fluid in the rock traveled by seismic waves, thus providing a valuable route to understanding the seismogenic phenomena and their precursors (Crampin & Gao, 2010). In terms of determination of Earth crust elastic properties, recent studies (Brenguier et al., 2008; Chen et al., 2010; Zaccarelli et al., 2011) have shown how it is possible to estimate the relative variations in the wave speed through the analysis of the crosscorrelation of ambient seismic noise. In this paper we analyze in detail two seismological methods dealing with shear wave splitting and seismic noise cross correlation: a short historical review, their theoretical bases, the problems, learnings, limitations and perspec- tives. Moreover we discuss the results of these methods already applied on the data recorded in the L’Aquila region, before and after the destructive earthquake of April 6th 2009, represent their self an interesting case study.
    Description: Published
    Description: Vienna, Austria
    Description: 2T. Tettonica attiva
    Description: 3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
    Description: open
    Keywords: Earthquake precursos, shear wave splitting, cross correlation,
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Poster session
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2020-03-03
    Description: All’interno dei percorsi forma vi di Alternanza Scuola­Lavoro un gruppo di ricercatori dell’Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia ha proposto e sviluppato con una terza classe del Liceo Scientifico Cavour di Roma un progetto riguardante l’avvicinamento degli studenti al mondo della ricerca scientifica, allo scopo di affrontarla e svilupparla in tu e le sue fasi. Dopo aver spiegato e condiviso l’obiettivo della ricerca con gli alunni, la prima fase del progetto ha riguardato la raccolta dei da tramite l’utilizzo di strumenti di misura; si è in seguito proceduto all’analisi dei dati ottenuti , attraverso un foglio elettronico di calcolo, la produzione di grafici e mappe tema che e infine la scrittura di un articolo scientifico (parte essenziale del lavoro del ricercatore) con la descrizione della ricerca svolta e dei risultati ottenuti . La ricerca ha riguardato la distribuzione del radon indoor in alcuni rioni di Roma. Gli studenti hanno avuto la possibilità di misurare il radon indoor tramite strumenti specifici nelle loro abitazioni e nella loro scuola, di analizzarne la distribuzione spaziale e temporale e di individuare dei casi particolarmente anomali. Sono stati quindi evidenziati i legami tra i valori misura , la geologia del sottosuolo e le tipologie abitative, illustrate per mezzo di mappe tematiche, facendo confluire il tutto o nella scrittura di un articolo scientifico. Il presente rapporto tecnico è stato introdotto dai ricercatori e sviluppato dagli studenti .
    Description: Published
    Description: 1-24
    Description: 1TM. Formazione
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Keywords: radon ; 05.09. Miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2020-02-06
    Description: This article has been accepted for publication in Geophysical Journal International ©: The Authors 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Royal Astronomical Society. All rights reserved. Uploaded in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy.
    Description: We investigate the temporal changes of crustal velocity associated to the seismic sequence of 2016–2017, which struck central Italy with a series of moderate to large earthquakes. We cross- correlate continuous recordings of 2 yr of ambient seismic noise from a network of 28 stations within a radius of 90 km around Amatrice town. We then map the spatio-temporal evolution of the velocity perturbations under the effect of subsequent earthquakes. Coinciding with each of the three main shocks of the sequence we observe a sudden drop of seismic velocity which tends to quickly recover in the short term. After the end of the strongest activity of the sequence, the coseismic velocity changes display gradual healing towards pre-earthquake conditions following a quasi-linear trend, such that by the end of 2017 about 75 per cent of the perturbation is recovered. The spatial distribution of the velocity drop fluctuates with time, and the area that shows the most intense variations beyond the ruptured fault system elongates in the NE direction. This zone roughly corresponds to a region of foredeep sedimentary deposits consisting of highly hydrated and porous sandstones, which respond to the passage of seismic waves with increased pore pressure and crack number, leading to a reduction of the effective relative velocity.
    Description: Published
    Description: 2165–2173
    Description: 7T. Variazioni delle caratteristiche crostali e precursori sismici
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: seismic noise cross-correlations ; noise-based monitoring ; seismic velocity variations ; 04. Solid Earth ; 04.06. Seismology ; 05.01. Computational geophysics
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2022-06-07
    Description: We present the results of an experiment taking place inside the geophysical museum of Rocca di Papa (Rome, Italy), where the high radon levels detected might pose a risk to the health of workers and of the public audience. As a first step towards the mitigation of potential exposure risk, four active sensors were installed at different floors of the building, in order to continuously monitor not only radon exhalation from the soil but also its transport from the ground up to elevated floors. Collecting more than three years of data of radon concentration enables us to identify fluctuations over both short and seasonal scales and to elucidate the relation between radon variations and changes of internal temperature and relative humidity. The analysis of such dataset reveals how the healthiness of indoor environments in terms of radon concentration is controlled by a number of factors, including the environmental conditions and the use of heating and ventilation systems. Finally, the continuous radon monitoring at different levels of the building provides a unique chance to trace the vertical radon diffusion, allowing to make a first-order estimate of upward radon velocity.
    Description: Published
    Description: 106919
    Description: 7A. Geofisica per il monitoraggio ambientale
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: indoor radon, gas diffusion ; 05.01. Computational geophysics
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2022-12-13
    Description: Il 09 novembre 2022 alle ore 06:07 UTC (07:07 ora italiana) un terremoto di magnitudo ML 5.7 (MW 5.5) è stato localizzato dal sistema di sorveglianza sismica dell’Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV). L'epicentro è stato localizzato nel Mar Adriatico ad una distanza di circa 30 km dalla costa marchigiana in provincia di Pesaro e Urbino, a circa 31 km dalla città di Fano e 35 km dal capoluogo di provincia Pesaro. Il mainshock è stato seguito da una replica di ML 5.2 a un minuto di distanza. I due terremoti sono stati ben avvertiti in tutta la regione Marche, e anche in tutto il centro Italia fino a Roma e nelle regioni del nord Italia. Il Presidente dell’INGV, come previsto nel Protocollo di Ente per le emergenze sismiche e da maremoto, ha prontamente convocato l’Unità di Crisi e attivato tutti i Gruppi Operativi. Tra questi SISMIKO, che coordina le reti sismiche mobili INGV in emergenza, si è attivato immediatamente preparando la strumentazione necessaria per l’installazione di una rete sismica temporanea e per l’integrazione dei dati in acquisizione nel sistema di monitoraggio e sorveglianza sismica dell’INGV. Parallelamente alle attività di coordinamento e gestione dell’emergenza sono state attivate tutte le procedure inerenti la divulgazione (report, siti web, ecc) e l’analisi dei dati preliminari. La rete temporanea in emergenza è stata installata nelle prime 24 ore dalla scossa principale ad integrazione della rete sismica permanente dell’INGV in area epicentrale. La rete temporanea di SISMIKO, costituita da 8 stazioni sismiche trasmesse in tempo reale, ha permesso di migliorare il monitoraggio dell’evoluzione della sequenza, abbassando la soglia di detezione degli eventi sismici in area epicentrale e consentendo quindi una migliore localizzazione da parte del servizio di sorveglianza sismica nazionale. La gestione dell’emergenza sismica è avvenuta a pochi giorni di distanza dall’ esercitazione nazionale denominata “EXE Sisma dello Stretto 2022” svoltasi dal 4 al 6 Novembre 2022 nel territorio della Regione Calabria e della Regione Sicilia. L’esercitazione è stata coordinata dal Dipartimento della Protezione Civile. Le attività svolte durante EXE 2022 sono state per l’istituto, e in particolare per SISMIKO, propedeutiche per il buon esito di tutte le azioni messe in campo dall’INGV sin dai primi minuti dall’accadimento del mainshock del 9 Novembre.
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
    Description: Published
    Description: 4T. Sismicità dell'Italia
    Description: 1SR TERREMOTI - Sorveglianza Sismica e Allerta Tsunami
    Description: 2SR TERREMOTI - Gestione delle emergenze sismiche e da maremoto
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Keywords: SISMIKO ; Rete sismica mobile ; Seismic networks temporary ; Seismic emergency ; Emergenza sismica ; 05.04. Instrumentation and techniques of general interest ; 04.06. Seismology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: report
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2022-12-13
    Description: Da venerdì 4 novembre a domenica 6 novembre 2022, si è tenuta una esercitazione nazionale denominata “Exe Sisma dello Stretto 2022” in un'area del territorio della Regione Calabria e della Regione Sicilia caratterizzata da una elevatissima pericolosità sismica. L’esercitazione è stata indetta e coordinata dal Dipartimento della Protezione Civile e aveva l’obiettivo di verificare la risposta operativa a un evento sismico significativo del Servizio Nazionale della Protezione Civile, di cui anche l’Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia fa parte. Durante le tre giornate, l’INGV ha avuto modo di testare tutte le procedure che l’Istituto ha codificato a partire da quelle del “Protocollo di Ente per le emergenze sismiche e da maremoto”. Dopo che INGV ha dato l’avvio all’intera esercitazione simulando il terremoto di magnitudo MW 6.2 (ML 6.0) alle ore 09:00 UTC in provincia di Reggio Calabria (5 km a SW dal comune di Laganadi), e ha, quindi, inviato il messaggio per il potenziale maremoto con un livello di allerta arancione; inoltre, il Presidente INGV ha prontamente convocato l’Unità di Crisi e attivato tutti Gruppi Operativi. Questi ultimi, nell’ambito dello scenario esercitativo, hanno verificato che i flussi di comunicazione interna e tutte le attività necessarie in emergenza sismica, presenti nei relativi protocolli operativi, risultassero rispettati. L’obiettivo primario dell’esercitazione è stato quindi quello di validare le attività previste e di aggiornare il personale afferente ai Gruppi Operativi stessi. Tra di essi, SISMIKO, che rappresenta il GO dedicato al coordinamento delle reti sismiche mobili INGV in emergenza, nelle settimane precedenti l’esercitazione ha predisposto tutte le attività che intendeva testare, descrivendole brevemente nel Documento d’impianto INGV e con maggior dettaglio in quello del Gruppo Operativo. A pochi giorni dalla chiusura dell’esercitazione, un terremoto di magnitudo ML 5.7 (MW 5.5) registrato alle ore 06:07 UTC del 09 novembre 2022 ha spostato l’attenzione dalla simulazione alla realtà.
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
    Description: Published
    Description: 4T. Sismicità dell'Italia
    Description: 2SR TERREMOTI - Gestione delle emergenze sismiche e da maremoto
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Description: 4IT. Banche dati
    Keywords: SISMIKO ; Esercitazione ; Exercise ; Rischio Sismico Seismic risk ; Seismic risk ; 05.04. Instrumentation and techniques of general interest
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: report
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