GLORIA

GEOMAR Library Ocean Research Information Access

X
feed icon rss

Your email was sent successfully. Check your inbox.

An error occurred while sending the email. Please try again.

Proceed reservation?

Export
  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change (2000)
    [s.l.] : Macmillian Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 407 (2000), S. 617-620 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Forecasts of climate change are inevitably uncertain. It is therefore essential to quantify the risk of significant departures from the predicted response to a given emission scenario. Previous analyses of this risk have been based either on expert opinion, perturbation analysis of ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/35036559
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Causes of twentieth-century temperature change near the Earth's surface (1999)
    [s.l.] : Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 399 (1999), S. 569-572 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Observations of the Earth's near-surface temperature show a global-mean temperature increase of approximately 0.6 K since 1900 (ref. 1), occurring from 1910 to 1940 and from 1970 to the present. The temperature change over the past 30–50 years is unlikely to be entirely ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/21164
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Changing spatial structure of the thermohaline circulation in response to atmospheric CO 2 forcing in a climate model (1999)
    [s.l.] : Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 399 (1999), S. 572-575 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] The heat transported northwards by the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation warms the climate of western Europe. Previous model studies have suggested that the circulation is sensitive to increases in atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations, but such models have been criticised for the ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/21170
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 4
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Purpose and function of IPCC (1996)
    [s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group
    Nature 379 (1996), S. 109-109 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] SIR - It was reported in a recent News story (Nature 378, 329; 1995) that I declined a request from Pat Michaels for detailed output from a climate model, the details of which are cited in the second scientific assessment of the IPCC. He claimed that he needed the gridpoint data to review the IPCC ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/379109a0
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    No limit to global warming? (1991)
    [s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group
    Nature 353 (1991), S. 219-220 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] SIR - Ramanathan and Collins1 have proposed a mechanism which limits the warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean in the present climate. I would like to make two points. First, atmospheric water vapour and cloud, and hence greenhouse trapping and cloud forcing, tend to be reduced in regions of ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/353219b0
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Towards the Construction of Climate Change Scenarios (1999)
    Springer
    Climatic change 41 (1999), S. 547-581 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract Climate impacts assessments need regional scenarios of climate change for a wide range of projected emissions. General circulation models (GCMs) are the most promising approach to providing such information, but as yet there is considerable uncertainty in their regional projections and they are still too costly to run for a large number of emission scenarios. Simpler models have been used to estimate global-mean temperature changes under a range of scenarios. In this paper we investigate whether a fixed pattern from a GCM experiment scaled by global-mean temperature changes from a simple model provides an acceptable estimate of the regional climate change over a range of scenarios. Changes estimated using this approximate approach are evaluated by comparing them with results from ensembles of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Five specific emissions scenarios are considered. For increases in greenhouse gases only, the 'error' in annual mean temperature for the cases considered is smaller than the sampling error due to the model's internal variability. The method may break down for scenarios of stabilisation of concentrations, because the patterns change as the model approaches equilibrium. The inclusion of large local perturbations due to sulphate aerosols can lead to significant deviations of the temperature pattern from that obtained using greenhouse gases alone. Combining separate patterns for the responses to greenhouse gases and aerosols may improve the accuracy of approximation. Finally, the accuracy of the scaling approach is more difficult to assess for deriving changes in regional precipitation because many of the regional changes are not statistically significant in the climate change projections considered here. If precipitation changes are only marginally significant in other models, the apparent disagreement between different models may be as much due to sampling error as to genuine differences in model response.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1005466909820
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    Paper (German National Licenses)
    Fulltext
  • 7
    facet.materialart.
    Unknown
    6th session of the JSC/CLIVAR Working Group on Coupled Modelling (WGCM) (2003)
    CLIVAR
    In:  CLIVAR Exchanges, 26 (8 (1)). pp. 31-33.
    Details
    Publication Date: 2019-02-01
    Type: Article , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
    BibTip Others were also interested in ...
    OceanRep: Article in a Scientific Journal - without review
Close ⊗
This website uses cookies and the analysis tool Matomo. More information can be found here...