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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York :Cambridge University Press,
    Keywords: Runoff. ; Electronic books.
    Description / Table of Contents: Based on the prestigious IAHS PUB initiative, this full colour book synthesises world-wide research on catchment hydrology, providing a one-stop resource for hydrologists in developed and developing countries. It is a key resource for researchers and professionals in the fields of hydrology, geography, soil science, and environmental and civil engineering.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    Pages: 1 online resource (492 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9781107057975
    DDC: 551.488
    Language: English
    Note: Intro -- Contents -- Contributors -- Foreword -- Prediction in ungauged basins: context, challenges, opportunities -- Preface -- Abstract -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Why we need runoff predictions -- 1.2 Runoff predictions in ungauged basins are difficult -- 1.3 Fragmentation in hydrology -- 1.4 The Prediction in Ungauged Basins initiative: a response to the challenge of fragmentation -- 1.5 What this book aims to achieve: synthesis across processes, places and scales -- 1.5.1 Synthesis across processes -- 1.5.2 Synthesis across places -- 1.5.3 Synthesis across scales -- 1.6 How to read the book and what to get out of it -- 2 A synthesis framework for runoff prediction in ungauged basins -- 2.1 Catchments are complex systems -- 2.1.1 Co-evolution of catchment characteristics -- 2.1.2 Signatures: a manifestation of co-evolution -- 2.2 Comparative hydrology and the Darwinian approach -- 2.2.1 Generalisation through comparative hydrology -- 2.2.2 Hydrological similarity -- Climate similarity -- Catchment similarity -- Runoff similarity -- 2.2.3 Catchment grouping: exploiting the similarity concept for PUB -- Transferring information from gauged to ungauged locations -- 2.3 From comparative hydrology to predictions in ungauged basins -- 2.3.1 Statistical methods of predictions in ungauged basins -- 2.3.2 Process-based methods of predictions in ungauged basins -- 2.4 Assessment of predictions in ungauged basins -- 2.4.1 Comparative assessment as a means of synthesis -- 2.4.2 Performance measures -- 2.4.3 Level 1 and Level 2 assessments -- 2.5 Summary of key points -- 3 A data acquisition framework for runoff prediction in ungauged basins -- 3.1 Why do we need data? -- 3.2 A hierarchy of data acquisition -- 3.2.1 Assessment based on global data sets -- 3.2.2 Assessment based on national hydrological network and national surveys. , 3.2.3 Assessment based on local field visits including reading the landscape -- 3.2.4 Assessment based on dedicated measurements -- 3.3 Runoff data -- 3.3.1 What runoff data are needed for PUB? -- 3.3.2 What runoff data are there? -- 3.3.3 How valuable are runoff data for PUB? -- 3.4 Meteorological data and water balance components -- 3.4.1 What meteorological data and water balance components are needed for PUB? -- 3.4.2 Precipitation -- 3.4.3 Snow cover data -- 3.4.4 Potential evaporation -- 3.4.5 Remotely sensed data for calculating actual evaporation -- 3.4.6 Remote sensing of soil moisture and basin storage -- 3.5 Catchment characterisation -- 3.5.1 Topography -- 3.5.2 Land cover and land use -- 3.5.3 Soils and geology -- 3.6 Data on anthropogenic effects -- 3.7 Illustrative examples of hierarchical data acquisition -- 3.7.1 Understanding process controls on runoff (Tenderfoot Creek, Montana, USA) -- 3.7.2 Runoff predictions using rainfall-runoff models (Chicken Creek, Germany) -- 3.7.3 Forensic analysis of magnitude and causes of a flood (Selska Sora, Slovenia) -- 3.8 Summary of key points -- 4 Process realism: flow paths and storage -- 4.1 Predictions: right for the right reasons -- 4.2 Process controls on flow paths and storage -- 4.3 Inference of flow paths and storage from response characteristics -- 4.3.1 Inference from runoff -- Learning from temporal patterns of runoff in one catchment -- Learning from spatial patterns of runoff in many catchments -- 4.3.2 Inference from tracers -- Learning from temporal patterns of tracers in one catchment -- Learning from spatial patterns of tracers in many catchments -- 4.4 Estimating flow paths and storage in ungauged basins -- 4.4.1 Distributed process-based models -- 4.4.2 Index methods -- 4.4.3 Methods based on proxy data -- 4.5 Informing predictions of runoff in ungauged basins. , 4.5.1 Process-based (rainfall-runoff) methods -- 4.5.2 Statistical methods -- 4.5.3 Role of field visits, reading the landscape, photos and other proxy data -- 4.5.4 Regional interpretation and similarity -- 4.6 Summary of key points -- 5 Prediction of annual runoff in ungauged basins -- 5.1 How much water do we have? -- 5.2 Annual runoff: processes and similarity -- 5.2.1 Processes -- Climate forcing -- Catchment (physical) processes -- Catchment (biological) processes -- Effects of global change -- 5.2.2 Similarity measures -- 5.2.3 Catchment grouping -- 5.3 Statistical methods of predicting annual runoff in ungauged basins -- 5.3.1 Regression methods -- Mean annual runoff -- Inter-annual variability -- 5.3.2 Index methods -- Mean annual runoff -- Budyko-type models -- Inter-annual variability -- Budyko-type models -- Probability distribution of annual runoff -- 5.3.3 Geostatistics and proximity methods -- 5.3.4 Estimation from short records -- Correlation with longer runoff record -- Rainfall-runoff modelling -- 5.4 Process-based methods of predicting annual runoff in ungauged basins -- 5.4.1 Derived distribution methods -- 5.4.2 Continuous models -- Annual runoff and inter-annual variability -- 5.4.3 Proxy data on annual runoff processes -- Tree ring chronology and paleoclimatology -- Remote sensing -- 5.5 Comparative assessment -- 5.5.1 Level 1 assessment -- How good are the predictions in different climates? -- Which method performs best? -- How does data availability impact performance? -- Main findings of Level 1 assessment -- 5.5.2 Level 2 assessment -- To what extent does runoff prediction performance depend on climate and catchment characteristics? -- Which method performs best? -- Global scale results vs. local scale results -- Main findings of Level 2 assessment -- 5.6 Summary of key points. , 6 Prediction of seasonal runoff in ungauged basins -- 6.1 When do we have water? -- 6.2 Seasonal runoff: processes and similarity -- 6.2.1 Processes -- Climate forcing -- Catchment processes: storage in snow, ice and glaciers -- Catchment processes: storage in soil and groundwater -- Land surface processes and vegetation phenology -- Inter-annual variability in the flow regime -- Change (human impacts) -- 6.2.2 Similarity measures -- Runoff similarity indices -- Climate similarity indices -- Catchment similarity indices -- Visualisation of multidimensional indices -- 6.2.3 Catchment grouping -- Grouping based on runoff-regime types -- Grouping based on runoff: statistical approaches -- Grouping based on catchment characteristics and climate: contiguous region -- Grouping based on catchment characteristics and climate: non-contiguous regions -- 6.3 Statistical methods of predicting seasonal runoff in ungauged basins -- 6.3.1 Regression methods -- 6.3.2 Index methods -- 6.3.3 Geostatistical and proximity methods -- 6.3.4 Runoff estimation from short records -- 6.4 Process-based methods of predicting seasonal runoff in ungauged basins -- 6.4.1 Derived distribution methods -- 6.4.2 Continuous models -- 6.5 Comparative assessment -- 6.5.1 Level 1 assessment -- How good are the predictions in different climates? -- Which method performs best? -- How does data availability impact performance? -- Main findings of Level 1 assessment -- 6.5.2 Level 2 assessment -- To what extent does runoff prediction performance depend on climate and catchment characteristics? -- Which method performs best? -- Main findings of Level 2 assessment -- 6.6 Summary of key points -- 7 Prediction of flow duration curves in ungauged basins -- 7.1 For how long do we have water? -- 7.2 Flow duration curves: processes and similarity -- 7.2.1 Processes -- Climate forcing. , Catchment characteristics -- Environmental change -- 7.2.2 Similarity measures -- Runoff similarity -- Climate similarity -- Catchment similarity -- 7.2.3 Catchment grouping -- 7.3 Statistical methods of predicting flow duration curves in ungauged basins -- 7.3.1 Regression methods -- 7.3.2 Index flow methods -- Parametric methods -- Rescaled flow duration curve -- 7.3.3 Geostatistical methods -- 7.3.4 Estimation from short records -- 7.4 Process-based methods of predicting flow duration curves in ungauged basins -- 7.4.1 Derived distribution methods -- 7.4.2 Continuous models -- 7.5 Comparative assessment -- 7.5.1 Level 1 assessment -- How good are the predictions in different climates? -- Which method performs best? -- How does data availability impact performance? -- Main findings of Level 1 assessment -- 7.5.2 Level 2 assessment -- To what extent does runoff prediction performance depend on climate and catchment characteristics? -- Which method performs best? -- Main findings of Level 2 assessment -- 7.6 Summary of key points -- 8 Prediction of low flows in ungauged basins -- 8.1 How dry will it be? -- 8.2 Low flows: processes and similarity -- 8.2.1 Processes -- Climate -- Catchment processes -- 8.2.2 Similarity measures -- Runoff similarity -- Climate similarity -- Catchment similarity -- 8.2.3 Catchment grouping -- Cluster analysis based on catchment/climate characteristics -- Residual pattern approach based on runoff and catchment/climate characteristics -- Regression trees -- Seasonality approach -- 8.3 Statistical methods of predicting low flows in ungauged basins -- 8.3.1 Regression methods -- 8.3.2 Index low flow methods -- 8.3.3 Geostatistical methods -- 8.3.4 Estimation from short records -- 8.4 Process-based methods of predicting low flows in ungauged basins -- 8.4.1 Derived distribution methods -- 8.4.2 Continuous models. , 8.4.3 Proxy data on low flow processes.
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2019-07-17
    Description: Der Klimawandel, die Globalisierung der Märkte, der demografische Wandel, die rasanten technologischen Entwicklungen sowie die Veränderungen der Landnutzung sind verschiedene Facetten des sogenannten Globalen Wandels. Welchen Einfluss der Globale Wandel auf die verfügbaren Wasserressourcen hat, ist von Region zu Region unterschiedlich. In jedem Fall steigt der Nutzungsdruck auf die Georessource Wasser weiter an; bereits jetzt zeichnen sich regionale Konkurrenzen und Konflikte bei der Nutzung ab. So wird sich beispielsweise der Bewässerungsbedarf der Landwirtschaft durch die steigende globale Nachfrage nach Nahrungsmitteln und Rohstoffen weiter erhöhen. Infolge des Globalen Wandels und der Veränderungen der Flusslandschaften ist auch vermehrt mit Hochwasserereignissen zu rechnen. Ausreichende Wasserressourcen in hinreichender Qualität zu sichern, sowie der Gewässerschutz und die Hochwasservorsorge sind daher zentrale Anliegen unserer Gesellschaft. Innovative Anpassungsstrategien und neue Technologien können hierbei nicht nur zu einer nachhaltigen Wasser- und Bodenbewirtschaftung führen, sondern gleichzeitig auch wirtschaftliche Chancen auf dem Weltmarkt eröffnen. Gerade durch die Entwicklung und den Export von Technologien und Verfahrensweisen kann Deutschland einen Beitrag zur Lösung globaler Wasserprobleme leisten.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Book , peerRev
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2021-09-27
    Description: The magnitudes of river floods in Europe have been observed to change, but their alignment with changes in the spatial coverage or extent of individual floods has not been clear. We analyze flood magnitudes and extents for 3,872 hydrometric stations across Europe over the past five decades and classify each flood based on antecedent weather conditions. We find positive correlations between flood magnitudes and extents for 95% of the stations. In central Europe and the British Isles, the association of increasing trends in magnitudes and extents is due to a magnitude-extent correlation of precipitation and soil moisture along with a shift in the flood generating processes. The alignment of trends in flood magnitudes and extents highlights the increasing importance of transnational flood risk management.
    Keywords: 551.48 ; flood ; synchrony ; magnitude ; climate change ; classification ; spatial statistics
    Language: English
    Type: map
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2022-09-02
    Description: Risk management has reduced vulnerability to floods and droughts globally, yet their impacts are still increasing. An improved understanding of the causes of changing impacts is therefore needed, but has been hampered by a lack of empirical data. On the basis of a global dataset of 45 pairs of events that occurred within the same area, we show that risk management generally reduces the impacts of floods and droughts but faces difficulties in reducing the impacts of unprecedented events of a magnitude not previously experienced. If the second event was much more hazardous than the first, its impact was almost always higher. This is because management was not designed to deal with such extreme events: for example, they exceeded the design levels of levees and reservoirs. In two success stories, the impact of the second, more hazardous, event was lower, as a result of improved risk management governance and high investment in integrated management. The observed difficulty of managing unprecedented events is alarming, given that more extreme hydrological events are projected owing to climate change.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: application/pdf
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