Note: Intro -- Climate Change -- Inferences from Paleoclimate and Regional Aspects -- Logos of the Major Financial Contributorsto the Milankovitch Anniversary Symposium, 2009, Belgrade, Serbia -- Preface -- Contents -- List of Contributors -- Part I: Climate Change at Present -- Science, Politics, and Public Perceptions of Climate Change -- Introduction -- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Its 2007 Report -- The International Scientific Congress in Copenhagen in March, 2009 -- How The Copenhagen Diagnosis Came to Be Written -- Main Findings of The Copenhagen Diagnosis -- COP15 in Copenhagen, December 2009 -- Public Perceptions and the Politics of Climate Change -- A Scientific Response to Climate Skeptics -- References -- Part II: Paleoclimate -- Paleoclimate Implications for Human-Made Climate Change -- Introduction -- Cenozoic Climate Change -- Climate Sensitivity -- Milankovitch Climate Oscillations -- Fast-Feedback Climate Sensitivity -- Charney Climate Sensitivity and Aerosols -- Slow Climate Feedbacks -- Climate Sensitivity Including Slow Feedbacks -- What Is the Dangerous Level of Global Warming? -- Ice Cores vs. Ocean Cores -- Ice Cores -- Ocean Cores -- Holocene vs. Prior Interglacial Periods and the Pliocene -- Sea Level -- Paleoclimate Data -- Sea Level Change Estimates for Twenty-First Century -- Ice Sheet Mass Loss -- Iceberg Cooling Effect -- Discussion -- How Warm Were Recent Interglacial Periods and the Pliocene? -- How Slow Are Slow Feedbacks? -- How Much Warming Is Too Much? -- References -- Simulation of Glacial Cycles with an Earth System Model -- Introduction -- Model and Experimental Setup -- Results -- Temporal Dynamics -- The Role of Individual Forcings and Feedbacks -- Discussion and Conclusions -- References -- Modeling the Interglacials of the Last 1 Million Years -- Introduction. , Precession and Obliquity During the Interglacials -- Latitudinal and Seasonal Distribution of Insolation -- Modeling the Response to Astronomical and GHG Forcings -- Causes for the Difference Between the Post-MBE and the Pre-MBE Interglacials -- Conclusion -- References -- Relating the Astronomical Timescale to the Loess-Paleosol Sequences in Vojvodina, Northern Serbia -- Introduction -- Study Sections and Methods -- Results and Discussion -- Chronostratigraphic Interpretation -- Orbital Timescale -- Spectral Analysis -- Comparison with Other Global Paleoclimatic Records -- References -- A Spatial View on Temperature Change and Variability During the Last Deglaciation: A Model Analysis -- Introduction -- Experimental Setup -- Model Description -- Deglacial Forcings -- Analysis Method -- Results for Surface Air Temperature Evolution -- Annual Mean -- Seasonal Means -- Impact of Interannual Variability -- Discussion -- References -- Perspectives of Parameter and State Estimation in Paleoclimatology -- Introduction -- Material and Methods -- Energy Balance-Climate Model -- Data -- Cost Function -- Optimization Algorithm -- Experimental Setup -- Results -- Discussion -- References -- A Brief History of the Astronomical Theories of Paleoclimates -- Introduction to the Astronomical Theory -- Early Theories of Quaternary Glaciations -- Pioneers of the Astronomical Theory -- The Milankovitch Era -- Milankovitch´s Life -- The Milankovitch Debate -- The Milankovitch Renaissance -- Milankovitch Follow-Up -- About the Astronomical Solutions -- About Insolation -- References -- Canon of Eccentricity: How Milanković Built a General Mathematical Theory of Insolation -- References -- Exaggerated Milankovitch-Like Eccentricity Cycles and Extreme Exoplanet Climate Variation -- References -- Part III: Ecohydrology, Water Resources and Climate Change. , Aquatic Vegetation in River Floodplains: Climate Change Effects, River Restoration and Ecohydrology Aspects -- Introduction -- The Aquatic Vegetation in the Danube River -- Climate Change Effects and the Aquatic Vegetation -- Atmospheric CO2 Concentration -- Temperature -- Precipitation and Discharge -- Species Migration and Alien Species -- River Restoration Strategies and Ecohydrology -- References -- Canadian Regional Climate Model as a Tool for Assessing Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change at the Watershed Scale -- Introduction -- Methods for Evaluation of a Watershed Hydrological Response to Global Climate Change -- Investigation of a Watershed Hydrology as Simulated by the Canadian GCM and RCM and Related Uncertainty: Experimental Design -- Simulated and Observed Annual Means of Hydro-meteorological Variables: Upper Peace Watershed -- Hydrological Change Signal at a Watershed Scale: Upper Peace, Fraser, Campbell and Columbia Watersheds -- Summary and Conclusions -- References -- Analysis of the Changes of the Streamflows in Serbia Due to Climate Changes -- Introduction -- Some Global Change Conclusions of the Available Literature -- General -- Observed and Predicted Hydrologic Changes -- Temperature Trends and Predictions for Southeast Europe -- Discharge Trends and Predictions for Southeast Europe -- Records of Streamflows and Trends in Serbia -- General -- Average Trend of Streamflows in Serbia -- Average Dependence of the Streamflow and Precipitation on Temperature -- The Methodology Used -- Results -- References -- Part IV: Regional Climate Modeling -- Considerations of Domain Size and Large-Scale Driving for Nested Regional Climate Models: Impact on Internal Variability and Ability at Developing Small-Scale Details -- Introduction -- Dynamical Downscaling and Potential Added Value -- RCM Validation Issue: Big-Brother Experiment. , Internal Variability -- Development of Fine Scales -- Impact of Imperfect Lateral Boundary Conditions -- Nesting Technique: Driving Through LBC Versus Large-Scale Spectral Nudging -- Discussion and Conclusions -- References -- Value Added in Regional Climate Modeling: Should One Aim to Improve on the Large Scales as Well? -- Introduction -- The Pros and Cons of Large-Scale (Spectral) Nudging -- Experiment Design -- Results -- Discussion and Conclusions -- References -- Eta Model Simulations and AMSR Images to Study an Event of Polynya at Terra Nova Bay, Antarctica -- Introduction -- AMSR-Derived SIC Maps -- Eta Model Simulations Design -- Results -- References -- Some Indicators of the Present and Future Climate of Serbia According to the SRES-A1B Scenario -- Introduction -- Methods -- The Global Model -- The Regional Model -- Data -- Indices -- Results -- Simulation -- Climate Indices -- The Reference Period (1961-1990) -- The Future Period (2071-2100) -- References -- Index.

Note: Auch als gedr. Ausg. vorhanden , Zugl.: Karlsruhe, Inst. für Technologie, Diss., 2011 , Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat reader.

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