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  • 1
    In: Ecography, Wiley, Vol. 43, No. 7 ( 2020-07), p. 954-966
    Abstract: Habitat destruction and overexploitation are the main threats to biodiversity and where they co‐occur, their combined impact is often larger than their individual one. Yet, detailed knowledge of the spatial footprints of these threats is lacking, including where they overlap and how they change over time. These knowledge gaps are real barriers for effective conservation planning. Here, we develop a novel approach to reconstruct the individual and combined footprints of both threats over time. We combine satellite‐based land‐cover change maps, habitat suitability models and hunting pressure models to demonstrate our approach for the community of larger mammals (48 species 〉 1 kg) across the 1.1 million km 2 Gran Chaco region, a global deforestation hotspot covering parts of Argentina, Bolivia and Paraguay. This provides three key insights. First, we find that the footprints of habitat destruction and hunting pressure expanded considerably between 1985 and 2015, across ~40% of the entire Chaco – twice the area affected by deforestation. Second, both threats increasingly acted together within the ranges of larger mammals in the Chaco (17% increase on average, ± 20% SD, cumulative increase of co‐occurring threats across 465 000 km 2 ), suggesting large synergistic effects. Conversely, core areas of high‐quality habitats declined on average by 38%. Third, we identified remaining priority areas for conservation in the northern and central Chaco, many of which are outside the protected area network. We also identify hotspots of high threat impacts in central Paraguay and northern Argentina, providing a spatial template for threat‐specific conservation action. Overall, our findings suggest increasing synergistic effects between habitat destruction and hunting pressure in the Chaco, a situation likely common in many tropical deforestation frontiers. Our work highlights how threats can be traced in space and time to understand their individual and combined impact, even in situations where data are sparse.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0906-7590 , 1600-0587
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2024917-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1112659-0
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  • 2
    In: Ecography, Wiley, Vol. 43, No. 10 ( 2020-10), p. 1448-1463
    Abstract: Ecologically meaningful predictors are often neglected in plant distribution studies, resulting in incomplete niche quantification and low predictive power of species distribution models (SDMs). Because environmental data are rare and expensive to collect, and because their relationship with local climatic and topographic conditions are complex, mapping them over large geographic extents and at high spatial resolution remains a major challenge. Here, we propose to derive environmental data layers by mapping ecological indicator values in space. We combined ~6 million plant occurrences with expert‐based plant ecological indicator values (EIVs) of 3600 species in Switzerland. EIVs representing local soil properties (pH, moisture, moisture variability, aeration, humus and nutrients) and climatic conditions (continentality, light) were modelled at 93 m spatial resolution with the Random Forest algorithm and 16 predictors representing meso‐climate, land use, topography and geology. Models were evaluated and predictions of EIVs were compared with soil inventory data. We mapped each EIV separately and evaluated EIV importance in explaining the distribution of 500 plant species using SDMs with a set of 30 environmental predictors. Finally, we tested how they improve an ensemble of SDMs compared to a standard set of predictors for ca 60 plant species. All EIV models showed excellent performance (|r|  〉  0.9) and predictions were correlated reasonably (|r|  〉  0.4) to soil properties measured in the field. Resulting EIV maps were among the most important predictors in SDMs. Also, in ensemble SDMs overall predictive performance increased, mainly through improved model specificity reducing species range overestimation. Combining large citizen science databases to expert‐based EIVs is a powerful and cost–effective approach for generalizing local edaphic and climatic conditions over large areas. Producing ecologically meaningful predictors is a first step for generating better predictions of species distribution which is of main importance for decision makers in conservation and environmental management projects.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0906-7590 , 1600-0587
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2024917-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1112659-0
    SSG: 12
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  • 3
    In: Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, Frontiers Media SA, Vol. 6 ( 2018-6-12)
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2296-701X
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2745634-1
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  • 4
    In: Movement Ecology, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Vol. 1, No. 1 ( 2013-12)
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2051-3933
    Language: English
    Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2724975-X
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  • 5
    In: Journal of Animal Ecology, Wiley, Vol. 92, No. 1 ( 2023-01), p. 158-170
    Abstract: La dispersión es un rasgo clave del ciclo vital de la mayoría de las especies y es esencial para garantizar la conectividad y el flujo genético entre poblaciones y contribuir a la viabilidad de la población en contextos de ambiente variable. A pesar de que la dispersión es clave para estudiar los cambios en el área de distribución de las especies debido al cambio global, la dispersión es difícil de cuantificar, lo que limita la comprensión empírica de este rasgo fenotípico y su síntesis más amplia. Aquí introducimos un marco de trabajo estadístico para estimar de manera estandarizada los kernels de dispersión a partir de datos sesgados. Basándonos en este marco, comparamos los kernels de dispersión empíricos para las aves reproductoras europeas considerando la edad (dispersión media vital; natal, antes de la primera reproducción; y dispersión reproductora, entre los intentos de reproducción posteriores) y el sexo (hembras y machos), además de explorar si las diferentes propiedades de dispersión se conservan filogenéticamente. Estandarizamos y analizamos los datos de una extensa base de datos de anillamiento de aves en Europa (EURING), basada en voluntarios, teniendo en cuenta los sesgos relacionados con los diferentes umbrales de comunicación de las anillas entre países y con los movimientos migratorios. A continuación, ajustamos, en un marco bayesiano, cuatro funciones de probabilidad ampliamente utilizadas para comparar y proporcionar las mejores descripciones estadísticas de los diferentes kernels de dispersión por edad y sexo para cada especie de ave. Los movimientos de dispersión de las 234 especies de aves europeas analizadas se explicaron estadísticamente mejor mediante kernels de cola pesada, lo que significa que, aunque la mayoría de los individuos se dispersan en distancias cortas, la dispersión a larga distancia es un fenómeno prevalente en casi todas las especies de aves. La señal filogenética tanto en las distancias de dispersión medias como en las largas estimadas a partir del kernel mejor ajustado fue baja (λ de Pagel  〈  0,25), mientras que alcanzó valores altos (λ de Pagel 〉 0,7) al comparar las estimas de distancia de dispersión para los kernels de cola pesada. Como se esperaba en las aves, la dispersión natal fue en promedio 5 km mayor que la dispersión reproductiva, pero no se detectó una dispersión sesgada por sexo. Nuestro robusto marco analítico permite un buen uso de los datos de marcaje y recaptura disponibles para la estimación estandarizada de las distancias de dispersión. Hemos encontrado pruebas sólidas de que la dispersión a larga distancia es común entre las especies de aves reproductoras europeas y en todas las etapas de la vida. Las estimas de dispersión ofrecen un primer paso para seleccionar los kernels de dispersión adecuados para los estudios de expansión del rango de distribución y proporcionar nuevas vías de investigación para mejorar nuestra comprensión de los mecanismos y procesos que subyacen a los eventos de dispersión.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0021-8790 , 1365-2656
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2006616-8
    SSG: 12
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  • 6
    In: Journal of Animal Ecology, Wiley, Vol. 85, No. 4 ( 2016-07), p. 938-947
    Abstract: Migration conveys an immense challenge, especially for juvenile birds coping with enduring and risky journeys shortly after fledging. Accordingly, juveniles exhibit considerably lower survival rates compared to adults, particularly during migration. Juvenile white storks ( C iconia ciconia ), which are known to rely on adults during their first fall migration presumably for navigational purposes, also display much lower annual survival than adults. Using detailed GPS and body acceleration data, we examined the patterns and potential causes of age‐related differences in fall migration properties of white storks by comparing first‐year juveniles and adults. We compared juvenile and adult parameters of movement, behaviour and energy expenditure (estimated from overall dynamic body acceleration) and placed this in the context of the juveniles’ lower survival rate. Juveniles used flapping flight vs. soaring flight 23% more than adults and were estimated to expend 14% more energy during flight. Juveniles did not compensate for their higher flight costs by increased refuelling or resting during migration. When juveniles and adults migrated together in the same flock, the juvenile flew mostly behind the adult and was left behind when they separated. Juveniles showed greater improvement in flight efficiency throughout migration compared to adults which appears crucial because juveniles exhibiting higher flight costs suffered increased mortality. Our findings demonstrate the conflict between the juveniles’ inferior flight skills and their urge to keep up with mixed adult–juvenile flocks. We suggest that increased flight costs are an important proximate cause of juvenile mortality in white storks and likely in other soaring migrants and that natural selection is operating on juvenile variation in flight efficiency.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0021-8790 , 1365-2656
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2016
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2006616-8
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  • 7
    In: Journal of Biogeography, Wiley, Vol. 47, No. 1 ( 2020-01), p. 87-100
    Abstract: Tundra ecosystems are highly vulnerable to climate change, and climate–growth responses of Arctic shrubs are variable and altered by microsite environmental conditions and biotic factors. With warming and drought during the growing season, insect‐driven defoliation is expected to increase in frequency and severity with potential broad‐scale impacts on tundra ecosystem functioning. Here we provide the first broad‐scale reconstruction of spatio‐temporal dynamics of past insect outbreaks by assessing their effects on shrub growth along a typical Greenlandic fjord climate gradient from the inland ice to the sea. Location Nuuk Fjord (64°30′N/51°23′W) and adjacent areas, West Greenland. Taxa Great brocade ( Eurois occulta L.) and grey willow ( Salix glauca L.). Methods We combined dendro‐anatomical and remote sensing analyses. Time series of ring width (RW) and wood‐anatomical traits were obtained from chronologies of 〉 40 years established from 153 individuals of S. glauca collected at nine sites. We detected anomalies in satellite‐based Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) related to defoliation and reconstructed past changes in photosynthetic activity across the region. Results We identified outbreaks as distinctive years with reduced RW, cell‐wall thickness and vessel size, without being directly related to climate but matching with years of parallel reduction in NDVI. The two subsequent years after the defoliation showed a significant increase in RW. The reconstructed spatio‐temporal dynamics of these events indicate substantial regional variation in outbreak intensity linked to the climate variability across the fjord system. Main conclusions Our results highlight the ability of S. glauca to cope with severe insect defoliation by changing carbon investment and xylem conductivity leading to high resilience and rapid recovery after the disturbance. Our multiproxy approach allows us to pinpoint biotic drivers of narrow ring formation and to provide new broad‐scale insight on the C‐budget and vegetation productivity of shrub communities in a widespread arctic ecosystem.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0305-0270 , 1365-2699
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020428-0
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 188963-1
    SSG: 12
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  • 8
    In: Journal of Biogeography, Wiley, Vol. 47, No. 1 ( 2020-01), p. 1-12
    Abstract: Recent years have seen an exponential increase in the amount of data available in all sciences and application domains. Macroecology is part of this “Big Data” trend, with a strong rise in the volume of data that we are using for our research. Here, we summarize the most recent developments in macroecology in the age of Big Data that were presented at the 2018 annual meeting of the Specialist Group Macroecology of the Ecological Society of Germany, Austria and Switzerland (GfÖ). Supported by computational advances, macroecology has been a rapidly developing field over recent years. Our meeting highlighted important avenues for further progress in terms of standardized data collection, data integration, method development and process integration. In particular, we focus on (a) important data gaps and new initiatives to close them, for example through space‐ and airborne sensors, (b) how various data sources and types can be integrated, (c) how uncertainty can be assessed in data‐driven analyses and (d) how Big Data and machine learning approaches have opened new ways of investigating processes rather than simply describing patterns. We discuss how Big Data opens up new opportunities, but also poses new challenges to macroecological research. In the future, it will be essential to carefully assess data quality, the reproducibility of data compilation and analytical methods, and the communication of uncertainties. Major progress in the field will depend on the definition of data standards and workflows for macroecology, such that scientific quality and integrity are guaranteed, and collaboration in research projects is made easier.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0305-0270 , 1365-2699
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020428-0
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 188963-1
    SSG: 12
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2019
    In:  Diversity and Distributions Vol. 25, No. 10 ( 2019-10), p. 1527-1536
    In: Diversity and Distributions, Wiley, Vol. 25, No. 10 ( 2019-10), p. 1527-1536
    Abstract: Population trends reflect influence of environmental drivers acting upon species' population dynamics. As the strength of this influence may change predictably in space, we test multiple hypotheses about spatial gradients in the effects of environmental drivers on bird population trends across the continent. Location Europe. Methods We used country‐level population trends for 249 bird species in 32 European countries. For each species, we expressed values of 12 traits which mirror the influence of major environmental drivers: climate change, land‐use change and change in environmental legislation. We related these traits to population trends using generalized additive mixed models and tested for the presence of spatial gradients by including the interaction of countries' geographic position with four of these traits for which we hypothesized spatial patterns in relationships to trends. Results Species listed for the longest time under Annex I of the EU's Birds Directive had increasingly positive trends towards the north‐west, but an indication of the opposite pattern was found for shorter‐listed species. Cold‐adapted species had increasingly negative trends towards the North and especially the north‐west, whereas the trends of the warm‐adapted species were generally positive and increased in northern direction. Spatial gradients in trends were weaker for the habitat niche position with forest species having positive trends in North‐Eastern Europe and open‐habitat species having negative trends in the Westernmost edge of the continent. Main conclusions The influence of all major hypothesized drivers varies across Europe. Climate change impacts are probably most detrimental in North‐Western Europe for the Arctic and upland birds, whereas the warm‐adapted species may benefit from these changes at the same time. The differences in the enforcement of environmental legislation among countries are a likely driver of the spatial patterns for the Annex I species, whereas the unification of land‐use intensity may be the cause of relatively weak patterns in the habitat niche effects.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1366-9516 , 1472-4642
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020139-4
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1443181-6
    SSG: 12
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    The Royal Society ; 2023
    In:  Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol. 378, No. 1881 ( 2023-07-17)
    In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, The Royal Society, Vol. 378, No. 1881 ( 2023-07-17)
    Abstract: This issue addresses the multifaceted problems of understanding biodiversity change to meet emerging international development and conservation goals, national economic accounting and diverse community needs. Recent international agreements highlight the need to establish monitoring and assessment programmes at national and regional levels. We identify an opportunity for the research community to develop the methods for robust detection and attribution of biodiversity change that will contribute to national assessments and guide conservation action. The 16 contributions of this issue address six major aspects of biodiversity assessment: connecting policy to science, establishing observation, improving statistical estimation, detecting change, attributing causes and projecting the future. These studies are led by experts in Indigenous studies, economics, ecology, conservation, statistics, and computer science, with representations from Asia, Africa, South America, North America and Europe. The results place biodiversity science in the context of policy needs and provide an updated roadmap for how to observe biodiversity change in a way that supports conservation action via robust detection and attribution science. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Detecting and attributing the causes of biodiversity change: needs, gaps and solutions’
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0962-8436 , 1471-2970
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1462620-2
    SSG: 12
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