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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Springer Science and Business Media LLC ; 2012
    In:  Water Resources Management Vol. 26, No. 5 ( 2012-3), p. 1231-1252
    In: Water Resources Management, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Vol. 26, No. 5 ( 2012-3), p. 1231-1252
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0920-4741 , 1573-1650
    Language: English
    Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2016360-5
    SSG: 14
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2018
    In:  Hydrological Processes Vol. 32, No. 2 ( 2018-01-15), p. 228-240
    In: Hydrological Processes, Wiley, Vol. 32, No. 2 ( 2018-01-15), p. 228-240
    Abstract: Knowledge about flood generating processes can be beneficial for numerous applications. Especially in the context of climate change impact assessment, daily patterns of meteorological and catchment state conditions leading to flood events (i.e., storylines) may be of value. Here, we propose an approach to identify storylines of flood generation using daily weather and snow cover observations. The approach is tested for and applied to a typical pre‐Alpine catchment in the period between 1961 and 2014. Five precipitation parameters were determined that describe temporal and spatial characteristics of the flood associated precipitation events. The catchment's snow coverage was derived using statistical relationships between a satellite‐derived snow cover climatology and station snow measurements. Moreover, (pre‐) event snow melt sums were estimated using a temperature‐index model. Based on the precipitation and catchment state parameters, 5 storylines were identified with a cluster analysis: These are (a) long duration, low intensity precipitation events with high precipitation depths, (b) long duration precipitation events with high precipitation depths and episodes of high intensities, (c) shorter duration events with high or (d) low precipitation intensity, respectively, and (e) rain‐on‐snow events. The event groups have distinct hydrological characteristics that can largely be explained by the storylines' respective properties. The long duration, high intensity storyline leads to the most adverse hydrological response, namely, a combination of high peak magnitudes, high volumes, and long durations of threshold exceedance. The results show that flood generating processes in mesoscale catchments can be distinguished on the basis of daily meteorological and catchment state parameters and that these process types can explain the hydrological flood properties in a qualitative way. Hydrological simulations of daily resolution can thus be analysed with respect to flood generating processes.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0885-6087 , 1099-1085
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1479953-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 2020
    In:  Water Security Vol. 11 ( 2020-12), p. 100074-
    In: Water Security, Elsevier BV, Vol. 11 ( 2020-12), p. 100074-
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2468-3124
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2891643-8
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Informa UK Limited ; 2006
    In:  Hydrological Sciences Journal Vol. 51, No. 1 ( 2006-02), p. 127-143
    In: Hydrological Sciences Journal, Informa UK Limited, Vol. 51, No. 1 ( 2006-02), p. 127-143
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0262-6667 , 2150-3435
    Language: English
    Publisher: Informa UK Limited
    Publication Date: 2006
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2180448-5
    SSG: 14
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Informa UK Limited ; 2018
    In:  Hydrological Sciences Journal Vol. 63, No. 6 ( 2018-04-26), p. 895-908
    In: Hydrological Sciences Journal, Informa UK Limited, Vol. 63, No. 6 ( 2018-04-26), p. 895-908
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0262-6667 , 2150-3435
    Language: English
    Publisher: Informa UK Limited
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2180448-5
    SSG: 14
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Informa UK Limited ; 2011
    In:  Hydrological Sciences Journal Vol. 56, No. 5 ( 2011-07), p. 733-758
    In: Hydrological Sciences Journal, Informa UK Limited, Vol. 56, No. 5 ( 2011-07), p. 733-758
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0262-6667 , 2150-3435
    Language: English
    Publisher: Informa UK Limited
    Publication Date: 2011
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2180448-5
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  • 7
    In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 22, No. 9 ( 2022-09-02), p. 2891-2920
    Abstract: Abstract. Estimates for rare to very rare floods are limited by the relatively short streamflow records available. Often, pragmatic conversion factors are used to quantify such events based on extrapolated observations, or simplifying assumptions are made about extreme precipitation and resulting flood peaks. Continuous simulation (CS) is an alternative approach that better links flood estimation with physical processes and avoids assumptions about antecedent conditions. However, long-term CS has hardly been implemented to estimate rare floods (i.e. return periods considerably larger than 100 years) at multiple sites in a large river basin to date. Here we explore the feasibility and reliability of the CS approach for 19 sites in the Aare River basin in Switzerland (area: 17 700 km2) with exceedingly long simulations in a hydrometeorological model chain. The chain starts with a multi-site stochastic weather generator used to generate 30 realizations of hourly precipitation and temperature scenarios of 10 000 years each. These realizations were then run through a bucket-type hydrological model for 80 sub-catchments and finally routed downstream with a simplified representation of main river channels, major lakes and relevant floodplains in a hydrologic routing system. Comprehensive evaluation over different temporal and spatial scales showed that the main features of the meteorological and hydrological observations are well represented and that meaningful information on low-probability floods can be inferred. Although uncertainties are still considerable, the explicit consideration of important processes of flood generation and routing (snow accumulation, snowmelt, soil moisture storage, bank overflow, lake and floodplain retention) is a substantial advantage. The approach allows for comprehensively exploring possible but unobserved spatial and temporal patterns of hydrometeorological behaviour. This is of particular value in a large river basin where the complex interaction of flows from individual tributaries and lake regulations are typically not well represented in the streamflow observations. The framework is also suitable for estimating more frequent floods, as often required in engineering and hazard mapping.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1684-9981
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2069216-X
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2064587-9
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Copernicus GmbH ; 2018
    In:  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Vol. 22, No. 2 ( 2018-02-02), p. 929-942
    In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 22, No. 2 ( 2018-02-02), p. 929-942
    Abstract: Abstract. Model output statistics (MOS) methods can be used to empirically relate an environmental variable of interest to predictions from earth system models (ESMs). This variable often belongs to a spatial scale not resolved by the ESM. Here, using the linear model fitted by least squares, we regress monthly mean streamflow of the Rhine River at Lobith and Basel against seasonal predictions of precipitation, surface air temperature, and runoff from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. To address potential effects of a scale mismatch between the ESM's horizontal grid resolution and the hydrological application, the MOS method is further tested with an experiment conducted at the subcatchment scale. This experiment applies the MOS method to 133 additional gauging stations located within the Rhine basin and combines the forecasts from the subcatchments to predict streamflow at Lobith and Basel. In doing so, the MOS method is tested for catchments areas covering 4 orders of magnitude. Using data from the period 1981–2011, the results show that skill, with respect to climatology, is restricted on average to the first month ahead. This result holds for both the predictor combination that mimics the initial conditions and the predictor combinations that additionally include the dynamical seasonal predictions. The latter, however, reduce the mean absolute error of the former in the range of 5 to 12 %, which is consistently reproduced at the subcatchment scale. An additional experiment conducted for 5-day mean streamflow indicates that the dynamical predictions help to reduce uncertainties up to about 20 days ahead, but it also reveals some shortcomings of the present MOS method.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1607-7938
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2100610-6
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Copernicus GmbH ; 2021
    In:  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Vol. 25, No. 6 ( 2021-06-23), p. 3577-3594
    In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 25, No. 6 ( 2021-06-23), p. 3577-3594
    Abstract: Abstract. Future changes in river runoff will impact many sectors such as agriculture, energy production, or ecosystems. Here, we study changes in the seasonality, frequency, and magnitude of moderate low and high flows and their time of emergence. The time of emergence indicates the timing of significant changes in the flow magnitudes. Daily runoff is simulated for 93 Swiss catchments for the period 1981–2099 under Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 with 20 climate model chains from the most recent transient Swiss Climate Change Scenarios. In the present climate, annual low flows typically occur in the summer half-year in lower-lying catchments (〈1500 m a.s.l.) and in the winter half-year in Alpine catchments (〉1500 m a.s.l.). By the end of the 21st century, annual low flows are projected to occur in late summer and early autumn in most catchments. This indicates that decreasing precipitation and increasing evapotranspiration in summer and autumn exceed the water contributions from other processes such as snowmelt and glacier melt. In lower-lying catchments, the frequency of annual low flows increases, but their magnitude decreases and becomes more severe. In Alpine catchments, annual low flows occur less often and their magnitude increases. The magnitude of seasonal low flows is projected to decrease in the summer half-year in most catchments and to increase in the winter half-year in Alpine catchments. Early time of emergence is found for annual low flows in Alpine catchments in the 21st century due to early changes in low flows in the winter half-year. In lower-lying catchments, significant changes in low flows emerge later in the century. Annual high flows occur today in lower-lying catchments in the winter half-year and in Alpine catchments in the summer half-year. Climate change will change this seasonality mainly in Alpine catchments with a shift towards earlier seasonality in summer due to the reduced contribution of snowmelt and glacier melt in summer. Annual high flows tend to occur more frequent, and their magnitude increases in most catchments except some Alpine catchments. The magnitude of seasonal high flows in most catchments is projected to increase in the winter half-year and to decrease in the summer half-year. However, the climate model agreement on the sign of change in moderate high flows is weak.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1607-7938
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2021
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2100610-6
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Copernicus GmbH ; 2018
    In:  Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Vol. 22, No. 5 ( 2018-05-08), p. 2759-2773
    In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 22, No. 5 ( 2018-05-08), p. 2759-2773
    Abstract: Abstract. The assessment of the impacts of extreme floods is important for dealing with residual risk, particularly for critical infrastructure management and for insurance purposes. Thus, modelling of the probable maximum flood (PMF) from probable maximum precipitation (PMP) by coupling hydrological and hydraulic models has gained interest in recent years. Herein, we examine whether variability in precipitation patterns exceeds or is below selected uncertainty factors in flood loss estimation and if the flood losses within a river basin are related to the probable maximum discharge at the basin outlet. We developed a model experiment with an ensemble of probable maximum precipitation scenarios created by Monte Carlo simulations. For each rainfall pattern, we computed the flood losses with a model chain and benchmarked the effects of variability in rainfall distribution with other model uncertainties. The results show that flood losses vary considerably within the river basin and depend on the timing and superimposition of the flood peaks from the basin's sub-catchments. In addition to the flood hazard component, the other components of flood risk, exposure, and vulnerability contribute remarkably to the overall variability. This leads to the conclusion that the estimation of the probable maximum expectable flood losses in a river basin should not be based exclusively on the PMF. Consequently, the basin-specific sensitivities to different precipitation patterns and the spatial organization of the settlements within the river basin need to be considered in the analyses of probable maximum flood losses.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1607-7938
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2100610-6
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