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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2012
    In:  Atmospheric Science Letters Vol. 13, No. 3 ( 2012-07), p. 208-215
    In: Atmospheric Science Letters, Wiley, Vol. 13, No. 3 ( 2012-07), p. 208-215
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1530-261X
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025884-7
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2023
    In:  Atmospheric Science Letters
    In: Atmospheric Science Letters, Wiley
    Abstract: The vertical profile of the wind structure of translating tropical cyclones, including the associated azimuthal asymmetry, has been the subject of existing theoretical and observational studies using dropsondes. Most of these studies are based on data collected from relatively strong cyclones over the Atlantic. Here we explore the tropical cyclone boundary layer wind profile of mainly relatively weak landfalling cyclones near Hong Kong. We find that decaying tropical storms have a much larger mid‐ to low‐level inflow angle than those that are intensifying or in steady‐state. The inflow angles of intensifying, steady‐state and decaying tropical storms converge towards the top of the boundary layer. The wind speed reduces through the boundary layer in a similar way in all three cases. The combination of these factors means that decaying tropical storms have stronger inflow than intensifying and steady‐state ones. We attribute these local effects to remote enhanced surface friction over land when the storms are weakening.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1530-261X , 1530-261X
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025884-7
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2016
    In:  Atmospheric Science Letters Vol. 17, No. 5 ( 2016-05), p. 334-338
    In: Atmospheric Science Letters, Wiley, Vol. 17, No. 5 ( 2016-05), p. 334-338
    Abstract: Storm surges pose significant threats to coastal communities, yet negative surges are not as well understood as positive surges. In this study, idealized experiments of a tropical cyclone forcing a 3D ocean model are conducted to investigate the asymmetry of positive and negative surges. Negative surges are larger in magnitude and extend further across the coastline than positive surges. While positive surges are driven by wind blowing onshore, negative surges are largely dominated by alongshore winds, with horizontal divergence as the main mechanism. This asymmetry also increases with decreasing depth and increasing latitude.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1530-261X , 1530-261X
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2016
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025884-7
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  • 4
    In: Atmospheric Science Letters, Wiley, Vol. 22, No. 10 ( 2021-10)
    Abstract: It has been shown that the proportion of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) has been increasing together with a poleward migration of TC track. However, their relative importance to TC surge at landfall remains unknown. Here we examine the sensitivity of TC surge in Shanghai to landfall location and intensity with a new dynamical modelling framework. We find a surge sensitivity of 0.8 m (°N) −1 to landfall location, and 0.1 m (m s −1 ) −1 to wind speed in Shanghai during landfall. The landfall location and intensity are comparably important to surge variation. However, based on a plausible range of reported trends of TC poleward migration and intensity, the potential surge hazard due to poleward migration is estimated to be about three times larger than that by intensity change. The long‐term surge risk in Shanghai is therefore substantially more sensitive to changes of TC track and landfall location than intensity. This may also be true elsewhere and in the future.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1530-261X , 1530-261X
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2021
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025884-7
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2004
    In:  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 130, No. 598 ( 2004-04-01), p. 989-1008
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 130, No. 598 ( 2004-04-01), p. 989-1008
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2004
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 1996
    In:  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 122, No. 534 ( 1996-07), p. 1459-1466
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 122, No. 534 ( 1996-07), p. 1459-1466
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 1996
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 7
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 145, No. 718 ( 2019-01), p. 105-116
    Abstract: We investigate the relationship between the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and tropical cyclone (TC) landfall in the ERA‐Interim reanalysis and two configurations of the UK Met Office Global Seasonal forecasting system version 5 (GloSea5): Global Atmosphere 3.0 (GA3) and Global Coupled configuration 2 (GC2). Both model configurations have the same horizontal and vertical resolution in the ocean and the atmosphere, but differ in terms of model physics. The WPSH strongly modulates TC activity over the subtropical western North Pacific (WNP) and TC landfall over East Asia (Japan, Korea and East China). Here we show that both model configurations GA3 and GC2 show significant skill for predictions of the WPSH and TC variability over the subtropical WNP, as well as TC frequency along the coast of East Asia, during the boreal summer (June–August). An extension of the analysis to include the full WNP typhoon season (June–November) is also examined; however, only a weak significant relationship between the WPSH index and the observed TC frequency over East Asia is found during this period, and no significant relationship is present in either GloSea5 GA3 or GC2. Results highlight the potential for operational seasonal forecasts of TC landfall risk for Japan, Korea and East China over the June–August period using predictions of the WPSH indices from GloSea5.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2022
    In:  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 148, No. 746 ( 2022-07), p. 2102-2117
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 148, No. 746 ( 2022-07), p. 2102-2117
    Abstract: The SubNiño4 index based on the subsurface potential temperature around the thermocline beneath the west Pacific warm pool, the Niño 4 region, is examined as a long‐range indicator of the surface El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and ENSO‐driven atmospheric response. The SubNiño4 index captures the evolution of subsurface ocean heat content between the El Niño and La Niña phases of the ENSO cycle, allowing it to serve as a long‐range indicator of surface ENSO and hence also many ENSO‐driven atmospheric anomalies. The SubNiño4 index has more temporally stable correlations with Niño 3.4 than the widely used western equatorial Pacific warm‐water volume indicator. For a lead time of the order of 12 months, Niño 3.4 correlations afforded by the lead observed SubNiño4 index become similar to and can exceed those produced by typical dynamical ENSO predictions. The value and viability of the SubNiño4 index as a simple statistical long‐range indicator of ENSO‐driven atmospheric response is shown for regional precipitation anomalies throughout the Tropics and fires in Continental and Maritime Southeast Asia.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2014
    In:  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 140, No. 682 ( 2014-07), p. 1778-1784
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 140, No. 682 ( 2014-07), p. 1778-1784
    Abstract: The factors that influence the size of tropical cyclones ( TCs ) are not completely understood. High‐resolution numerical simulations of hurricane Catarina in the South Atlantic indicate that the TC size increases proportionally to the surface latent heat flux, when atmospheric and sea surface temperature ( SST ) are increased. The TC size is defined as the area enclosed by three wind thresholds: gale‐force winds, damaging‐force winds and hurricane‐force winds. The enlargement increases sharply with the wind threshold. Depending on the wind threshold, the area can increase by more than an order of magnitude when air and sea temperature are both increased by 2 °C. There is a clear linear relationship between the size increase and the latent heat flux during the TC lifetime. The size effect is driven initially by the enhanced air–sea moisture contrast and the surface winds become predominant only in the later stages. Temperature changes may therefore have a profound impact on cyclone size.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2015
    In:  Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Vol. 141, No. 693 ( 2015-10), p. 3018-3029
    In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Wiley, Vol. 141, No. 693 ( 2015-10), p. 3018-3029
    Abstract: A physically based analytic model ( λ model) is presented to describe the wind profile of tropical cyclones in terms of the pressure deficit and a single shape parameter ( λ ). To test the λ model, an idealized full‐physics numerical model is employed to provide wind‐profile samples and also to show the influence of environmental temperature and the properties of initial vortices on tropical cyclone size. It is found that the λ model provides an accurate fit of the azimuthal wind profile at the top of the boundary layer. In the simulations, tropical cyclone size is sensitive to sea‐surface temperature, upper tropospheric temperature and initial vortex structure. The numerical model confirms the assumed Gaussian distribution with width λ of the moist entropy in the boundary layer. A linear relationship between model cyclone size and is found, in agreement with the λ model. The λ model predicts a weak relationship between tropical cyclone size and intensity, as is observed. In addition, the λ model suggests that change in tropical cyclone size should be closely related to angular momentum transport near the boundary layer, as has been found in observations. The good agreement of the λ model with the numerical model shows that the λ model could be a reasonable alternative for characterizing the wind structure of tropical cyclones with only one scaling parameter.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9009 , 1477-870X
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2015
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 3142-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2089168-4
    SSG: 14
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