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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2017
    In:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 98, No. 3 ( 2017-03-01), p. 449-459
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 98, No. 3 ( 2017-03-01), p. 449-459
    Abstract: Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are long and narrow corridors of enhanced vertically integrated water vapor (IWV) and IWV transport (IVT) within the warm sector of extra tropical cyclones that can produce heavy precipitation and flooding in regions of complex terrain, especially along the U.S. West Coast. Several field campaigns have investigated ARs under the CalWater program of field studies. The first field phase of CalWater during 2009–11 increased the number of observations of precipitation and aerosols, among other parameters, across California and sampled ARs in the coastal and near-coastal environment, whereas the second field phase of CalWater during 2014–15 observed the structure and intensity of ARs and aerosols in the coastal and offshore environment over the northeast Pacific. This manuscript highlights the forecasts that were prepared for the CalWater field campaign in 2015, and the development and use of an “AR portal” that was used to inform these forecasts. The AR portal contains archived and real-time deterministic and probabilistic gridded forecast tools related to ARs that emphasize water vapor concentrations and water vapor flux distributions over the eastern North Pacific, among other parameters, in a variety of formats derived from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System and Global Ensemble Forecast System. The tools created for the CalWater 2015 field campaign provided valuable guidance for flight planning and field activity purposes, and they may prove useful in forecasting ARs and better anticipating hydrometeorological extremes along the U.S. West Coast.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0003-0007 , 1520-0477
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2017
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2019
    In:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 100, No. 2 ( 2019-02), p. 269-289
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 100, No. 2 ( 2019-02), p. 269-289
    Abstract: Atmospheric rivers (ARs) play vital roles in the western United States and related regions globally, not only producing heavy precipitation and flooding, but also providing beneficial water supply. This paper introduces a scale for the intensity and impacts of ARs. Its utility may be greatest where ARs are the most impactful storm type and hurricanes, nor’easters, and tornadoes are nearly nonexistent. Two parameters dominate the hydrologic outcomes and impacts of ARs: vertically integrated water vapor transport (IVT) and AR duration [i.e., the duration of at least minimal AR conditions (IVT ≥ 250 kg m –1 s –1 )]. The scale uses an observed or predicted time series of IVT at a given geographic location and is based on the maximum IVT and AR duration at that point during an AR event. AR categories 1–5 are defined by thresholds for maximum IVT (3-h average) of 250, 500, 750, 1,000, and 1,250 kg m –1 s –1 , and by IVT exceeding 250 kg m –1 s –1 continuously for 24–48 h. If the AR event duration is less than 24 h, it is downgraded by one category. If it is longer than 48 h, it is upgraded one category. The scale recognizes that weak ARs are often mostly beneficial because they can enhance water supply and snowpack, while stronger ARs can become mostly hazardous, for example, if they strike an area with antecedent conditions that enhance vulnerability, such as burn scars or wet conditions. Extended durations can enhance impacts. Short durations can mitigate impacts.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0003-0007 , 1520-0477
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2029396-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 419957-1
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2017
    In:  Journal of Hydrometeorology Vol. 18, No. 5 ( 2017-05-01), p. 1359-1374
    In: Journal of Hydrometeorology, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 18, No. 5 ( 2017-05-01), p. 1359-1374
    Abstract: The occurrence of atmospheric rivers (ARs) in association with avalanche fatalities is evaluated in the conterminous western United States between 1998 and 2014 using archived avalanche reports, atmospheric reanalysis products, an existing AR catalog, and weather station observations. AR conditions were present during or preceding 105 unique avalanche incidents resulting in 123 fatalities, thus comprising 31% of western U.S. avalanche fatalities. Coastal snow avalanche climates had the highest percentage of avalanche fatalities coinciding with AR conditions (31%–65%), followed by intermountain (25%–46%) and continental snow avalanche climates ( & lt;25%). Ratios of avalanche deaths during AR conditions to total AR days increased with distance from the coast. Frequent heavy to extreme precipitation (85th–99th percentile) during ARs favored critical snowpack loading rates with mean snow water equivalent increases of 46 mm. Results demonstrate that there exists regional consistency between snow avalanche climates, derived AR contributions to cool season precipitation, and percentages of avalanche fatalities during ARs. The intensity of water vapor transport and topographic corridors favoring inland water vapor transport may be used to help identify periods of increased avalanche hazard in intermountain and continental snow avalanche climates prior to AR landfall. Several recently developed AR forecast tools applicable to avalanche forecasting are highlighted.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1525-755X , 1525-7541
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2017
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2042176-X
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  • 4
    In: Weather and Forecasting, American Meteorological Society, ( 2022-06-01)
    Abstract: Atmospheric River Reconnaissance (AR Recon) is a targeted campaign that complements other sources of observational data, forming part of a diverse observing system. AR Recon 2021 operated for ten weeks from January 13 to March 22, with 29.5 Intensive Observation Periods (IOPs), 45 flights and 1142 successful dropsondes deployed in the northeast Pacific. With the availability of two WC-130J aircraft operated by the 53 rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron (53 WRS), Air Force Reserve Command (AFRC) and one National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aircraft Operations Center (AOC) G-IVSP aircraft, six sequences were accomplished, in which the same synoptic system was sampled over several days. The principal aim was to gather observations to improve forecasts of landfalling atmospheric rivers on the U.S. West Coast. Sampling of other meteorological phenomena forecast to have downstream impacts over the U.S. was also considered. Alongside forecast improvement, observations were also gathered to address important scientific research questions, as part of a Research and Operations Partnership. Targeted dropsonde observations were focused on essential atmospheric structures, primarily atmospheric rivers. Adjoint and ensemble sensitivities, mainly focusing on predictions of U.S. West Coast precipitation, provided complementary information on locations where additional observations may help to reduce the forecast uncertainty. Additionally, Airborne Radio Occultation (ARO) and tail radar were active during some flights, 30 drifting buoys were distributed, and 111 radiosondes were launched from four locations in California. Dropsonde, radiosonde and buoy data were available for assimilation in real-time into operational forecast models. Future work is planned to examine the impact of AR Recon 2021 data on model forecasts.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0882-8156 , 1520-0434
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025194-4
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  • 5
    In: ACS Chemical Biology, American Chemical Society (ACS), Vol. 13, No. 8 ( 2018-08-17), p. 2288-2299
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1554-8929 , 1554-8937
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Chemical Society (ACS)
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2221735-6
    SSG: 12
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Springer Science and Business Media LLC ; 2012
    In:  Climate Dynamics Vol. 39, No. 9-10 ( 2012-11), p. 2361-2375
    In: Climate Dynamics, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Vol. 39, No. 9-10 ( 2012-11), p. 2361-2375
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0930-7575 , 1432-0894
    Language: English
    Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 382992-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1471747-5
    SSG: 16,13
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 2019
    In:  Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 46, No. 24 ( 2019-12-28), p. 14702-14712
    In: Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 46, No. 24 ( 2019-12-28), p. 14702-14712
    Abstract: Heat transport during landfalling atmospheric rivers is explicitly computed for western North America and Europe Under global warming, latent heat transport increases across all regions in the mid‐latitudes where sensible heat decreases (increases) for western North America (Europe) Upper‐level meridional wind component dominates changes in heat transport
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0094-8276 , 1944-8007
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021599-X
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7403-2
    SSG: 16,13
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  • 8
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 124, No. 24 ( 2019-12-27), p. 13777-13802
    Abstract: The large number of atmospheric river identification/tracking methods produces large uncertainty related to AR climatology and impacts Uncertainty is quantified using the same data (MERRA v2), time period (1980–2017), region (global where possible), and common metrics This study presents recommendations regarding the advantages/disadvantages of certain approaches based on science application
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2169-897X , 2169-8996
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 710256-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2016800-7
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2969341-X
    SSG: 16,13
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2013
    In:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 94, No. 10 ( 2013-10-01), p. 1495-1500
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 94, No. 10 ( 2013-10-01), p. 1495-1500
    Abstract: Today's winter weather headlines are based on the meteorological strength of an event with the assumption that stronger events produce larger public impacts. In reality, public impacts involve many factors, such as whether or not snow will accumulate on roads and affect traffic. Along with numerous environmental factors, decisions are further complicated by societal factors (e.g., timing of the commute). The National Weather Service (NWS) Strategic Plan calls for increased emphasis on decision support services (DSS) to our partners, especially during high-impact events. However, determining when events will produce high-impact conditions often remains a challenge. While forecasters should be aware of the relevant societal factors, they also need objective tools capable of integrating over the wide range of environmental factors that intersect in producing high-impact weather. This is particularly true in the case of road surface conditions, where complex interactions between temperature, moisture, and the road surface play a key role in determining what hazards might develop during wintry weather. Initial verification suggests that output from the Model of the Environment and Temperature of Roads (METRo) can provide useful information with regard to the timing and severity of hazardous road surface conditions, allowing NWS forecasters to more effectively highlight the impacts associated with impending meteorological events. This information enhances the DSS that the NWS is able to provide to government partners, local emergency management, and the public during high-impact winter weather events.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0477 , 0003-0007
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2029396-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 419957-1
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2014
    In:  Monthly Weather Review Vol. 142, No. 2 ( 2014-02-01), p. 905-921
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 142, No. 2 ( 2014-02-01), p. 905-921
    Abstract: Narrow corridors of water vapor transport known as atmospheric rivers (ARs) contribute to extreme precipitation and flooding along the West Coast of the United States, but knowledge of their influence over the interior is limited. Here, the authors use Interim European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) data, Climate Prediction Center (CPC) precipitation analyses, and Snowpack Telemetry (SNOTEL) observations to describe the characteristics of cool-season (November–April) ARs over the western United States. It is shown that AR frequency and duration exhibit a maximum along the Oregon–Washington coast, a strong transition zone upwind (west) of and over the Cascade–Sierra ranges, and a broad minimum that extends from the “high” Sierra south of Lake Tahoe eastward across the central Great Basin and into the deep interior. East of the Cascade–Sierra ranges, AR frequency and duration are largest over the interior northwest, while AR duration is large compared to AR frequency over the interior southwest. The fractions of cool-season precipitation and top-decile 24-h precipitation events attributable to ARs are largest over and west of the Cascade–Sierra ranges. Farther east, these fractions are largest over the northwest and southwest interior, with distinctly different large-scale patterns and AR orientations enabling AR penetration into each of these regions. In contrast, AR-related precipitation over the Great Basin east of the high Sierra is rare. These results indicate that water vapor depletion over major topographic barriers is a key contributor to AR decay, with ARs playing a more prominent role in the inland precipitation climatology where lower or less continuous topography facilitates the inland penetration of ARs.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2033056-X
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 202616-8
    SSG: 14
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