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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2016
    In:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 97, No. 7 ( 2016-07-01), p. 1187-1208
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 97, No. 7 ( 2016-07-01), p. 1187-1208
    Abstract: The Mediterranean is expected to be one of the most prominent and vulnerable climate change “hotspots” of the twenty-first century, and the physical mechanisms underlying this finding are still not clear. Furthermore, complex interactions and feedbacks involving ocean–atmosphere–land–biogeochemical processes play a prominent role in modulating the climate and environment of the Mediterranean region on a range of spatial and temporal scales. Therefore, it is critical to provide robust climate change information for use in vulnerability–impact–adaptation assessment studies considering the Mediterranean as a fully coupled environmental system. The Mediterranean Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (Med-CORDEX) initiative aims at coordinating the Mediterranean climate modeling community toward the development of fully coupled regional climate simulations, improving all relevant components of the system from atmosphere and ocean dynamics to land surface, hydrology, and biogeochemical processes. The primary goals of Med-CORDEX are to improve understanding of past climate variability and trends and to provide more accurate and reliable future projections, assessing in a quantitative and robust way the added value of using high-resolution and coupled regional climate models. The coordination activities and the scientific outcomes of Med-CORDEX can produce an important framework to foster the development of regional Earth system models in several key regions worldwide.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0003-0007 , 1520-0477
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2016
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2029396-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 419957-1
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2017
    In:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Vol. 98, No. 1 ( 2017-01-01), p. 163-173
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 98, No. 1 ( 2017-01-01), p. 163-173
    Abstract: Demands are growing rapidly in the operational prediction and applications communities for forecasts that fill the gap between medium-range weather and long-range or seasonal forecasts. Based on the potential for improved forecast skill at the subseasonal to seasonal time range, the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) Prediction research project has been established by the World Weather Research Programme/World Climate Research Programme. A main deliverable of this project is the establishment of an extensive database containing subseasonal (up to 60 days) forecasts, 3 weeks behind real time, and reforecasts from 11 operational centers, modeled in part on the The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) database for medium-range forecasts (up to 15 days). The S2S database, available to the research community since May 2015, represents an important tool to advance our understanding of the subseasonal to seasonal time range that has been considered for a long time as a “desert of predictability.” In particular, this database will help identify common successes and shortcomings in the model simulation and prediction of sources of subseasonal to seasonal predictability. For instance, a preliminary study suggests that the S2S models significantly underestimate the amplitude of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) teleconnections over the Euro-Atlantic sector. The S2S database also represents an important tool for case studies of extreme events. For instance, a multimodel combination of S2S models displays higher probability of a landfall over the islands of Vanuatu 2–3 weeks before Tropical Cyclone Pam devastated the islands in March 2015.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0003-0007 , 1520-0477
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2017
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2029396-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 419957-1
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  • 3
    In: Atmospheric Science Letters, Wiley, Vol. 12, No. 1 ( 2011-01), p. 116-122
    Abstract: We review the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) model inter‐comparison activities for West Africa. The Model Inter‐comparison Project is an evaluation exercise of how global and regional atmospheric models represent seasonal and intra‐seasonal variations of the climate and rainfall over the Sahel. The Land surface Model Inter‐comparison Project in turn focuses on modelling critical land surface processes over West Africa and on their link with the atmosphere. The CHEmistry Model Inter‐comparison Project (CHEMIP) is a comparison of the tropospheric composition as simulated by a number of Chemical Transport Models (CTM) and Chemistry‐Climate Models. We highlight the main model limitations and provide recommendations for future development. Copyright © 2011 Royal Meteorological Society
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1530-261X , 1530-261X
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2011
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025884-7
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  • 4
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 94, No. 1 ( 2013-01-01), p. 65-81
    Abstract: In this article, the authors describe an innovative multimodel system developed within the Climate Change and Impact Research: The Mediterranean Environment (CIRCE) European Union (EU) Sixth Framework Programme (FP6) project and used to produce simulations of the Mediterranean Sea regional climate. The models include high-resolution Mediterranean Sea components, which allow assessment of the role of the basin and in particular of the air–sea feedbacks in the climate of the region. The models have been integrated from 1951 to 2050, using observed radiative forcings during the first half of the simulation period and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario during the second half. The projections show a substantial warming (about 1.5°–2°C) and a significant decrease of precipitation (about 5%) in the region for the scenario period. However, locally the changes might be even larger. In the same period, the projected surface net heat loss decreases, leading to a weaker cooling of the Mediterranean Sea by the atmosphere, whereas the water budget appears to increase, leading the basin to lose more water through its surface than in the past. Overall, these results are consistent with the findings of previous scenario simulations, such as the Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects (PRUDENCE), Ensemble-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES), and phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3). The agreement suggests that these findings are robust to substantial changes in the configuration of the models used to make the simulations. Finally, the models produce a 2021–50 mean steric sea level rise that ranges between +7 and +12 cm, with respect to the period of reference.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0477
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2029396-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 419957-1
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  • 5
    In: Advanced Theory and Simulations, Wiley, Vol. 6, No. 9 ( 2023-09)
    Abstract: The anatase phase of TiO 2 is highly suitable for photocatalytic application consequently, prerequisite an unpretentious scale‐independent understanding of its roughening‐facilitated surface topography dynamics. Herein, the nonlinear roughening in anatase thin films and its correlation with the nonlinear trend of optical properties in the framework of fractal geometry are investigated. The self‐affine nature of analyzed surfaces is confirmed from the autocorrelation function. The dynamic scaling exponents indicate the existence of Kardar–Parisi–Zhang scaling in surface growth. In addition, the trend of generalized Hurst exponent and mass exponent indicates insignificant multifractal characteristics in the analyzed surfaces. Moreover, fractal analysis explains and aids to description of roughening trend from stereometric and Minkowski functionals analysis. Furthermore, the significance of fractal dimension for probing the surface roughening is validated from the principal component analysis. Consequently, variation in optical bandgap and linear refractive index are investigated in regards to the fractal dimension and root mean‐squared surface slope and regression equations are proposed for tuning of bandgap.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2513-0390 , 2513-0390
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2894557-8
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  • 6
    In: Genomics, Elsevier BV, Vol. 57, No. 2 ( 1999-04), p. 209-218
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0888-7543
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 1999
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1468023-3
    SSG: 12
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  • 7
    In: Journal of Operational Oceanography, Informa UK Limited, Vol. 3, No. 1 ( 2010-01-01), p. 27-35
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1755-876X , 1755-8778
    Language: English
    Publisher: Informa UK Limited
    Publication Date: 2010
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2428097-5
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Springer Science and Business Media LLC ; 2010
    In:  Climate Dynamics Vol. 35, No. 1 ( 2010-7), p. 53-74
    In: Climate Dynamics, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Vol. 35, No. 1 ( 2010-7), p. 53-74
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0930-7575 , 1432-0894
    Language: English
    Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
    Publication Date: 2010
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 382992-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1471747-5
    SSG: 16,13
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Copernicus GmbH ; 1995
    In:  Annales Geophysicae Vol. 13, No. 3 ( 1995-03-31), p. 305-317
    In: Annales Geophysicae, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 13, No. 3 ( 1995-03-31), p. 305-317
    Abstract: Abstract. Seven winters of analyses and forecasts from the operational archives of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast had been previously analyzed to assess the performance of the model in forecasting blocking events. This work updates some of this previous diagnostic work to the last five winters, from 1987/88 to 1991/92. The data set therefore covers all winter seasons (DJF) from 1980/81 to 1991/92, and consists of daily northern hemisphere 500 hPa geopotential height analyses and of the ten corresponding forecasts verifying on the same day ("Lorenz data"). Local blocking and sector blocking have been defined, using different modifications of the original Lejenas and Økland index. The comparison between the first seven and the last five winters, within the restrictions imposed by limited length of the data set, suggests a much improved situation as far as model climatology of blocking is concerned, especially over the Euro-Atlantic region. Operational predictability of blocking as an initial value problem is also shown to be measurably improved, in both Atlantic and Pacific sectors. All such improvements are shown to have taken place together with a considerable reduction of the model systematic error. Nevertheless, forecasting blocking in the medium range remains a difficult task for the model. More work is needed to understand whether the improvements are to be ascribed to the increased model resolution or to better physical parametrisations.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1432-0576
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 1995
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1458425-6
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2010
    In:  International Journal of Climatology Vol. 30, No. 12 ( 2010-10), p. 1865-1883
    In: International Journal of Climatology, Wiley, Vol. 30, No. 12 ( 2010-10), p. 1865-1883
    Abstract: Intraseasonal and interannual variability of rainfall is simulated using the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) over West Africa. The intraseasonal variability of rainfall showing three distinct phases and the monsoon jump is well reproduced in the simulation. In addition, the regional model shows that while the monsoon rainbelt moves to the Sahel, the African Easterly Jet (AEJ) undergoes a northward migration and a weakening from June to August, when the core is at its northernmost location. This coexists with the appearance and the strengthening of the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ), the development and increased activity of the African Easterly Waves (AEWs), and the intensification and northward shift of the ascent between the AEJ and the TEJ core levels and axis. Similarly, the simulated interannual variability of rainfall over West Africa, the Guinea region, and the Sahel, as well as the variability of atmospheric features during contrasting wet and dry years, is also well captured. In fact, in the simulation during dry years the AEWs activity is decreased while the AEJ is strengthened and migrates southward, the TEJ becomes weaker, and the ascent between the levels of the AEJ and the TEJ decreases. The simulated rainfall variability and the behavior of the related features during the rainy season and during contrasting wet and dry years are in line with previous studies that used observations and reanalysis. We conclude that this model performance is of sufficient quality for application to the study of climate processes and mechanisms over West Africa. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0899-8418 , 1097-0088
    URL: Issue
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2010
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1491204-1
    SSG: 14
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