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  • 1
    In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 100, No. 11 ( 2019-11), p. 2201-2220
    Abstract: The primary goal of the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) is to advance the state-of-the-art of wind energy forecasting in complex terrain. To achieve this goal, a comprehensive 18-month field measurement campaign was conducted in the region of the Columbia River basin. The observations were used to diagnose and quantify systematic forecast errors in the operational High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model during weather events of particular concern to wind energy forecasting. Examples of such events are cold pools, gap flows, thermal troughs/marine pushes, mountain waves, and topographic wakes. WFIP2 model development has focused on the boundary layer and surface-layer schemes, cloud–radiation interaction, the representation of drag associated with subgrid-scale topography, and the representation of wind farms in the HRRR. Additionally, refinements to numerical methods have helped to improve some of the common forecast error modes, especially the high wind speed biases associated with early erosion of mountain–valley cold pools. This study describes the model development and testing undertaken during WFIP2 and demonstrates forecast improvements. Specifically, WFIP2 found that mean absolute errors in rotor-layer wind speed forecasts could be reduced by 5%–20% in winter by improving the turbulent mixing lengths, horizontal diffusion, and gravity wave drag. The model improvements made in WFIP2 are also shown to be applicable to regions outside of complex terrain. Ongoing and future challenges in model development will also be discussed.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0003-0007 , 1520-0477
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2019
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2010
    In:  Monthly Weather Review Vol. 138, No. 3 ( 2010-03-01), p. 796-817
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 138, No. 3 ( 2010-03-01), p. 796-817
    Abstract: This paper describes an immersed boundary method that facilitates the explicit resolution of complex terrain within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Mesoscale models, such as WRF, are increasingly used for high-resolution simulations, particularly in complex terrain, but errors associated with terrain-following coordinates degrade the accuracy of the solution. The use of an alternative-gridding technique, known as an immersed boundary method, alleviates coordinate transformation errors and eliminates restrictions on terrain slope that currently limit mesoscale models to slowly varying terrain. Simulations are presented for canonical cases with shallow terrain slopes, and comparisons between simulations with the native terrain-following coordinates and those using the immersed boundary method show excellent agreement. Validation cases demonstrate the ability of the immersed boundary method to handle both Dirichlet and Neumann boundary conditions. Additionally, realistic surface forcing can be provided at the immersed boundary by atmospheric physics parameterizations, which are modified to include the effects of the immersed terrain. Using the immersed boundary method, the WRF model is capable of simulating highly complex terrain, as demonstrated by a simulation of flow over an urban skyline.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0493 , 0027-0644
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2010
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2012
    In:  Monthly Weather Review Vol. 140, No. 12 ( 2012-12-01), p. 3936-3955
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 140, No. 12 ( 2012-12-01), p. 3936-3955
    Abstract: This paper describes a three-dimensional immersed boundary method (IBM) that facilitates the explicit resolution of complex terrain within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Two interpolation methods—trilinear and inverse distance weighting (IDW)—are used at the core of the IBM algorithm. This work expands on the previous two-dimensional IBM algorithm of Lundquist et al., which uses bilinear interpolation. Simulations of flow over a three-dimensional hill are performed with WRF’s native terrain-following coordinate and with both IB methods. Comparisons of flow fields from the three simulations show excellent agreement, indicating that both IB methods produce accurate results. IDW proves more adept at handling highly complex urban terrain, where the trilinear interpolation algorithm fails. This capability is demonstrated by using the IDW core to model flow in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, from intensive observation period 3 (IOP3) of the Joint Urban 2003 field campaign. Flow in Oklahoma City is simulated concurrently with an outer domain with flat terrain using one-way nesting to generate a turbulent flow field. Results from the IBM-WRF simulation of IOP3 compare well with observations from the field campaign, as well as with results from an urban computational fluid dynamics code, Finite Element Model in 3-Dimensions and Massively Parallelized (FEM3MP), which used body-fitted coordinates. Using the FAC2 performance metric from Chang and Hanna, which is the fraction of predictions within a factor of 2 of observations, IBM-WRF achieves 100% and 71% for velocity predictions using cup and sonic anemometer observations, respectively. For the passive scalar, 53% of the model predictions meet the FAC5 (factor of 5) criteria.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2012
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    SSG: 14
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  • 4
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 139, No. 5 ( 2011-05), p. 1389-1409
    Abstract: Three-dimensional simulations of the daytime thermally induced valley wind system for an idealized valley–plain configuration, obtained from nine nonhydrostatic mesoscale models, are compared with special emphasis on the evolution of the along-valley wind. The models use the same initial and lateral boundary conditions, and standard parameterizations for turbulence, radiation, and land surface processes. The evolution of the mean along-valley wind (averaged over the valley cross section) is similar for all models, except for a time shift between individual models of up to 2 h and slight differences in the speed of the evolution. The analysis suggests that these differences are primarily due to differences in the simulated surface energy balance such as the dependence of the sensible heat flux on surface wind speed. Additional sensitivity experiments indicate that the evolution of the mean along-valley flow is largely independent of the choice of the dynamical core and of the turbulence parameterization scheme. The latter does, however, have a significant influence on the vertical structure of the boundary layer and of the along-valley wind. Thus, this ideal case may be useful for testing and evaluation of mesoscale numerical models with respect to land surface–atmosphere interactions and turbulence parameterizations.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2011
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  • 5
    In: Journal of Environmental Radioactivity, Elsevier BV, Vol. 270 ( 2023-12), p. 107299-
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0265-931X
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1483112-0
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Meteorological Society ; 2016
    In:  Monthly Weather Review Vol. 144, No. 10 ( 2016-10), p. 3725-3747
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 144, No. 10 ( 2016-10), p. 3725-3747
    Abstract: Mesoscale atmospheric models are increasingly used for high-resolution ( 〈 3 km) simulations to better resolve smaller-scale flow details. Increased resolution is achieved using mesh refinement via grid nesting, a procedure where multiple computational domains are integrated either concurrently or in series. A constraint in the concurrent nesting framework offered by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is that mesh refinement is restricted to the horizontal dimensions. This limitation prevents control of the grid aspect ratio, leading to numerical errors due to poor grid quality and preventing grid optimization. Herein, a procedure permitting vertical nesting for one-way concurrent simulation is developed and validated through idealized cases. The benefits of vertical nesting are demonstrated using both mesoscale and large-eddy simulations (LES). Mesoscale simulations of the Terrain-Induced Rotor Experiment (T-REX) show that vertical grid nesting can alleviate numerical errors due to large aspect ratios on coarse grids, while allowing for higher vertical resolution on fine grids. Furthermore, the coarsening of the parent domain does not result in a significant loss of accuracy on the nested domain. LES of neutral boundary layer flow shows that, by permitting optimal grid aspect ratios on both parent and nested domains, use of vertical nesting yields improved agreement with the theoretical logarithmic velocity profile on both domains. Vertical grid nesting in WRF opens the path forward for multiscale simulations, allowing more accurate simulations spanning a wider range of scales than previously possible.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2016
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    SSG: 14
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  • 7
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 147, No. 1 ( 2019-01), p. 31-52
    Abstract: A canopy model framework is implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model to improve the accuracy of large-eddy simulations (LES) of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). The model includes two options that depend on the scale of surface roughness elements. A resolved canopy model, typically used to model flow through vegetation canopies, is employed when roughness elements are resolved by the vertical LES grid. In the case of unresolved roughness, a modified “pseudocanopy model” is developed to distribute drag over a shallow layer above the surface. Both canopy model options are validated against idealized test cases in neutral stability conditions and are shown to improve surface layer velocity profiles relative to simulations employing Monin–Obukhov similarity theory (MOST), which is commonly used as a surface boundary condition in ABL models. Use of the canopy model framework also leads to increased levels of resolved turbulence kinetic energy and turbulent stresses. Because LES of the ABL has a well-known difficulty recovering the expected logarithmic velocity profile (log law) in the surface layer, particular focus is placed on using the pseudocanopy model to alleviate this issue over a range of model configurations. Tests with varying surface roughness values, LES closures, and grid aspect ratios confirm that the pseudocanopy model generally improves log-law agreement relative to simulations that employ a standard MOST boundary condition. The canopy model framework thus represents a low-cost, easy-to-implement method for improving LES of the ABL.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2019
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 2019
    In:  Atmospheric Environment: X Vol. 3 ( 2019-07), p. 100045-
    In: Atmospheric Environment: X, Elsevier BV, Vol. 3 ( 2019-07), p. 100045-
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2590-1621
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2967860-2
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 2020
    In:  Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Vol. 125, No. 24 ( 2020-12-27)
    In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 125, No. 24 ( 2020-12-27)
    Abstract: Fire plume and climate modeling of a regional nuclear exchange finds potential global cooling, shorter in duration than previously assessed Aerosol emissions from fires and their representation in a climate model contribute uncertainty to the climate response A wide range of climate impacts are simulated depending on fuel availability at the detonation sites
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2169-897X , 2169-8996
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 2020
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    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2016800-7
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    SSG: 16,13
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  • 10
    In: Monthly Weather Review, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 150, No. 12 ( 2022-12), p. 3195-3209
    Abstract: This paper evaluates the representation of turbulence and its effect on transport and dispersion within multiscale and microscale-only simulations in an urban environment. These simulations, run using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with the addition of an immersed boundary method, predict transport and mixing during a controlled tracer release from the Joint Urban 2003 field campaign in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. This work extends the results of a recent study through analysis of turbulence kinetic energy and turbulence spectra and their role in accurately simulating wind speed, direction, and tracer concentration. The significance and role of surface heat fluxes and use of the cell perturbation method in the numerical simulation setup are also examined. Our previous study detailed the model development necessary for our multiscale simulations, examined model skill at predicting wind speeds and tracer concentrations, and demonstrated that dynamic downscaling from mesoscale to microscale through a sequence of nested simulations can improve predictions of transport and dispersion relative to a microscale-only simulation forced by idealized meteorology. Here, predictions are compared with observations to assess qualitative agreement and statistical model skill at predicting wind speed, wind direction, tracer concentration, and turbulent kinetic energy at locations throughout the city. We also investigate the scale distribution of turbulence and the associated impact on model skill, particularly for predictions of transport and dispersion. Our results show that downscaled large-scale turbulence, which is unique to the multiscale simulations, significantly improves predictions of tracer concentrations in this complex urban environment. Significance Statement Simulations of atmospheric transport and mixing in urban environments have many applications, including pollution modeling for urban planning or informing emergency response following a hazardous release. These applications include phenomena with spatial scales spanning from millimeters to kilometers. Most simulations resolve flow only within the urban area of interest, omitting larger scales of turbulence and regional influences. This study examines a method that resolves both the small and large-scale flow features. We evaluate simulation accuracy by comparing predictions with observations from an experiment involving the release of a tracer gas in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, with emphasis on correctly modeling turbulent fluctuations. Our results demonstrate the importance of resolving large-scale flow features when predicting transport and dispersion in urban environments.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0027-0644 , 1520-0493
    RVK:
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2022
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    SSG: 14
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