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  • 1
    In: Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 26, No. 7 ( 1999-04-01), p. 859-862
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0094-8276
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1999
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    SSG: 16,13
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  • 2
    In: Geoscientific Model Development, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 3, No. 2 ( 2010-11-02), p. 603-633
    Abstract: Abstract. The main characteristics of the new version 1.2 of the three-dimensional Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM are briefly described. LOVECLIM 1.2 includes representations of the atmosphere, the ocean and sea ice, the land surface (including vegetation), the ice sheets, the icebergs and the carbon cycle. The atmospheric component is ECBilt2, a T21, 3-level quasi-geostrophic model. The ocean component is CLIO3, which consists of an ocean general circulation model coupled to a comprehensive thermodynamic-dynamic sea-ice model. Its horizontal resolution is of 3° by 3°, and there are 20 levels in the ocean. ECBilt-CLIO is coupled to VECODE, a vegetation model that simulates the dynamics of two main terrestrial plant functional types, trees and grasses, as well as desert. VECODE also simulates the evolution of the carbon cycle over land while the ocean carbon cycle is represented by LOCH, a comprehensive model that takes into account both the solubility and biological pumps. The ice sheet component AGISM is made up of a three-dimensional thermomechanical model of the ice sheet flow, a visco-elastic bedrock model and a model of the mass balance at the ice-atmosphere and ice-ocean interfaces. For both the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, calculations are made on a 10 km by 10 km resolution grid with 31 sigma levels. LOVECLIM1.2 reproduces well the major characteristics of the observed climate both for present-day conditions and for key past periods such as the last millennium, the mid-Holocene and the Last Glacial Maximum. However, despite some improvements compared to earlier versions, some biases are still present in the model. The most serious ones are mainly located at low latitudes with an overestimation of the temperature there, a too symmetric distribution of precipitation between the two hemispheres, and an overestimation of precipitation and vegetation cover in the subtropics. In addition, the atmospheric circulation is too weak. The model also tends to underestimate the surface temperature changes (mainly at low latitudes) and to overestimate the ocean heat uptake observed over the last decades.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1991-9603
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2010
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2456725-5
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  • 3
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 21, No. 12 ( 2008-06-15), p. 2721-2751
    Abstract: Eight earth system models of intermediate complexity (EMICs) are used to project climate change commitments for the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Simulations are run until the year 3000 a.d. and extend substantially farther into the future than conceptually similar simulations with atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) coupled to carbon cycle models. In this paper the following are investigated: 1) the climate change commitment in response to stabilized greenhouse gases and stabilized total radiative forcing, 2) the climate change commitment in response to earlier CO2 emissions, and 3) emission trajectories for profiles leading to the stabilization of atmospheric CO2 and their uncertainties due to carbon cycle processes. Results over the twenty-first century compare reasonably well with results from AOGCMs, and the suite of EMICs proves well suited to complement more complex models. Substantial climate change commitments for sea level rise and global mean surface temperature increase after a stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gases and radiative forcing in the year 2100 are identified. The additional warming by the year 3000 is 0.6–1.6 K for the low-CO2 IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) B1 scenario and 1.3–2.2 K for the high-CO2 SRES A2 scenario. Correspondingly, the post-2100 thermal expansion commitment is 0.3–1.1 m for SRES B1 and 0.5–2.2 m for SRES A2. Sea level continues to rise due to thermal expansion for several centuries after CO2 stabilization. In contrast, surface temperature changes slow down after a century. The meridional overturning circulation is weakened in all EMICs, but recovers to nearly initial values in all but one of the models after centuries for the scenarios considered. Emissions during the twenty-first century continue to impact atmospheric CO2 and climate even at year 3000. All models find that most of the anthropogenic carbon emissions are eventually taken up by the ocean (49%–62%) in year 3000, and that a substantial fraction (15%–28%) is still airborne even 900 yr after carbon emissions have ceased. Future stabilization of atmospheric CO2 and climate change requires a substantial reduction of CO2 emissions below present levels in all EMICs. This reduction needs to be substantially larger if carbon cycle–climate feedbacks are accounted for or if terrestrial CO2 fertilization is not operating. Large differences among EMICs are identified in both the response to increasing atmospheric CO2 and the response to climate change. This highlights the need for improved representations of carbon cycle processes in these models apart from the sensitivity to climate change. Sensitivity simulations with one single EMIC indicate that both carbon cycle and climate sensitivity related uncertainties on projected allowable emissions are substantial.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0442 , 0894-8755
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2008
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  • 4
    In: Climate Dynamics, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, Vol. 18, No. 7 ( 2002-3-1), p. 579-586
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0930-7575 , 1432-0894
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
    Publication Date: 2002
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    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1471747-5
    SSG: 16,13
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  • 5
    In: Climate of the Past, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 9, No. 4 ( 2013-08-01), p. 1715-1731
    Abstract: Abstract. An accurate and coherent chronological framework is essential for the interpretation of climatic and environmental records obtained from deep polar ice cores. Until now, one common ice core age scale had been developed based on an inverse dating method (Datice), combining glaciological modelling with absolute and stratigraphic markers between 4 ice cores covering the last 50 ka (thousands of years before present) (Lemieux-Dudon et al., 2010). In this paper, together with the companion paper of Veres et al. (2013), we present an extension of this work back to 800 ka for the NGRIP, TALDICE, EDML, Vostok and EDC ice cores using an improved version of the Datice tool. The AICC2012 (Antarctic Ice Core Chronology 2012) chronology includes numerous new gas and ice stratigraphic links as well as improved evaluation of background and associated variance scenarios. This paper concentrates on the long timescales between 120–800 ka. In this framework, new measurements of δ18Oatm over Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 11–12 on EDC and a complete δ18Oatm record of the TALDICE ice cores permit us to derive additional orbital gas age constraints. The coherency of the different orbitally deduced ages (from δ18Oatm, δO2/N2 and air content) has been verified before implementation in AICC2012. The new chronology is now independent of other archives and shows only small differences, most of the time within the original uncertainty range calculated by Datice, when compared with the previous ice core reference age scale EDC3, the Dome F chronology, or using a comparison between speleothems and methane. For instance, the largest deviation between AICC2012 and EDC3 (5.4 ka) is obtained around MIS 12. Despite significant modifications of the chronological constraints around MIS 5, now independent of speleothem records in AICC2012, the date of Termination II is very close to the EDC3 one.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1814-9332
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2013
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  • 6
    In: The Holocene, SAGE Publications, Vol. 12, No. 2 ( 2002-02), p. 177-185
    Abstract: Cores recovered from periglacial Lake Le Bourget deep basin (northwestern Alps) were investigated to examine the influence of the ‘Little Ice Age’ (LIA) on terrigenous lacustrine sedimentation. Growing glaciers in the regional watershed induced catastrophic Rhone river floods and major underflow deposits in the deep basin during the early fifteenth, the sixteenth and the mid-eighteenth centuries. The LIA is characterized by a decrease in deposition from interflows from AD-1550 to 1740 and an increase in deposition from underflows from AD-1550 to 1800. On one hand, spectral analyses of the laminations in interflow deposits reveal 4-5 years cyclicities from AD-1440 to 1550, as well as 7-8 and 13-14 years cyclicities from AD-1740 to 1870; on the other hand, spectral analyses of a clay mineral ratio reflecting underflow deposits highlight 45-50 years cyclicities from AD-1550 to 1800. These pluriannual, decadal and pluridecadal periods are typical of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). A NAO-like period in our data would be a consequence of periodical variations in rainfall and snow accumulation during late autumn and winter over Lake Le Bourget's watershed.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0959-6836 , 1477-0911
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: SAGE Publications
    Publication Date: 2002
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2027956-5
    SSG: 14
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  • 7
    In: Climate of the Past, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 2, No. 2 ( 2006-10-26), p. 145-165
    Abstract: Abstract. Ice cores provide unique archives of past climate and environmental changes based only on physical processes. Quantitative temperature reconstructions are essential for the comparison between ice core records and climate models. We give an overview of the methods that have been developed to reconstruct past local temperatures from deep ice cores and highlight several points that are relevant for future climate change. We first analyse the long term fluctuations of temperature as depicted in the long Antarctic record from EPICA Dome C. The long term imprint of obliquity changes in the EPICA Dome C record is highlighted and compared to simulations conducted with the ECBILT-CLIO intermediate complexity climate model. We discuss the comparison between the current interglacial period and the long interglacial corresponding to marine isotopic stage 11, ~400 kyr BP. Previous studies had focused on the role of precession and the thresholds required to induce glacial inceptions. We suggest that, due to the low eccentricity configuration of MIS 11 and the Holocene, the effect of precession on the incoming solar radiation is damped and that changes in obliquity must be taken into account. The EPICA Dome C alignment of terminations I and VI published in 2004 corresponds to a phasing of the obliquity signals. A conjunction of low obliquity and minimum northern hemisphere summer insolation is not found in the next tens of thousand years, supporting the idea of an unusually long interglacial ahead. As a second point relevant for future climate change, we discuss the magnitude and rate of change of past temperatures reconstructed from Greenland (NorthGRIP) and Antarctic (Dome C) ice cores. Past episodes of temperatures above the present-day values by up to 5°C are recorded at both locations during the penultimate interglacial period. The rate of polar warming simulated by coupled climate models forced by a CO2 increase of 1% per year is compared to ice-core-based temperature reconstructions. In Antarctica, the CO2-induced warming lies clearly beyond the natural rhythm of temperature fluctuations. In Greenland, the CO2-induced warming is as fast or faster than the most rapid temperature shifts of the last ice age. The magnitude of polar temperature change in response to a quadrupling of atmospheric CO2 is comparable to the magnitude of the polar temperature change from the Last Glacial Maximum to present-day. When forced by prescribed changes in ice sheet reconstructions and CO2 changes, climate models systematically underestimate the glacial-interglacial polar temperature change.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1814-9332
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2006
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  • 8
    In: Climate of the Past, Copernicus GmbH, Vol. 3, No. 2 ( 2007-06-04), p. 279-296
    Abstract: Abstract. A set of coupled ocean-atmosphere(-vegetation) simulations using state of the art climate models is now available for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the Mid-Holocene (MH) through the second phase of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP2). Here we quantify the latitudinal shift of the location of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in the tropical regions during boreal summer and the change in precipitation in the northern part of the ITCZ. For both periods the shift is more pronounced over the continents and East Asia. The maritime continent is the region where the largest spread is found between models. We also clearly establish that the larger the increase in the meridional temperature gradient in the tropical Atlantic during summer at the MH, the larger the change in precipitation over West Africa. The vegetation feedback is however not as large as found in previous studies, probably due to model differences in the control simulation. Finally, we show that the feedback from snow and sea-ice at mid and high latitudes contributes for half of the cooling in the Northern Hemisphere for the LGM, with the remaining being achieved by the reduced CO2 and water vapour in the atmosphere. For the MH the snow and albedo feedbacks strengthen the spring cooling and enhance the boreal summer warming, whereas water vapour reinforces the late summer warming. These feedbacks are modest in the Southern Hemisphere. For the LGM most of the surface cooling is due to CO2 and water vapour.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1814-9332
    Language: English
    Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
    Publication Date: 2007
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2217985-9
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Geophysical Union (AGU) ; 1993
    In:  Paleoceanography Vol. 8, No. 5 ( 1993-10), p. 549-565
    In: Paleoceanography, American Geophysical Union (AGU), Vol. 8, No. 5 ( 1993-10), p. 549-565
    Abstract: An astronomically calibrated time scale was recently established (Hilgen, 1991a, b) for the Pliocene and earliest Pleistocene, based on the correlation of dominantly precession‐controlled sedimentary cycles (sapropels and CaCO 3 cycles) in Mediterranean deep‐sea sections to astronomical solution Ber90 (Berger and Loutre, 1991). This time scale, which differed substantially from the conventional time scales then widely used, is essentially confirmed by a new generation of radiometric dates using the 40 Ar/ 39 Ar laser fusion technique. To evaluate this time scale, we here extract both precession‐ and obliquity‐related components from late Pliocene‐earliest Pleistocene climatic proxy records in the Mediterranean and determine coherencies and phase (time) lags between these components and the respective orbital variations. This work is found to support the new time scale, because significant coherencies are found between the astronomically related components in our proxy records and the orbital variations, not only at the main period of precession but also at the main period of obliquity and, because of the eccentricity modulation of precession, in the low‐frequency eccentricity bands of the spectrum. But the calculated time lag between obliquity and 41‐kyr components in the climatic proxy records shows a significant increase of 5.6 (±1) kyr with respect to the late Pleistocene if the phase relation with precession is kept constant. This increase can be explained by a change in the climate response time to obliquity or to precession, by a small uncertainty in the astronomical solution, or by a combination of these factors.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0883-8305 , 1944-9186
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    Publication Date: 1993
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    SSG: 16,13
    SSG: 13
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 2007
    In:  Quaternary Science Reviews Vol. 26, No. 9-10 ( 2007-5), p. 1369-1383
    In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Elsevier BV, Vol. 26, No. 9-10 ( 2007-5), p. 1369-1383
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0277-3791
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 2007
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 780249-3
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1495523-4
    SSG: 14
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