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  • 1
    In: Journal of the American Heart Association, Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health), Vol. 8, No. 14 ( 2019-07-16)
    Abstract: Our aim was to calibrate and externally revalidate the ELAN‐HF (European Collaboration on Acute Decompensated Heart Failure) score, to confirm and improve on a previous external validation of the risk score. Methods and Results The ELAN‐HF score predicts 6‐month all‐cause mortality in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure using absolute and percentage change of NT‐proBNP (N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide) levels in addition to clinical variables. For the external validation, we used the PRIMA II (Can NT‐proBNP–Guided Therapy During Hospital Admission for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Reduce Mortality and Readmissions?) trial. For both data sets, observed versus predicted mortality was compared for the 4 risk categories; and the mean predicted mortality was plotted against the observed mortality with calculation of a correlation coefficient and SEE. The model discriminant ability was determined by comparing the C‐statistics for both data sets. The predicted versus actual 6‐month mortality values in the derivation cohort were 3.7% versus 3.6% for the low‐risk category, 9.4% versus 9.2% for the intermediate‐risk category, 24.2% versus 23.5% for the high‐risk category, and 54.2% versus 51.1% for the very‐high‐risk category. The correlation between predicted and observed mortality by deciles was 0.92, with an SEE of ±4%. In the validation cohort, predicted versus actual 6‐month mortality values were 3.0% versus 2.2% for the low‐risk category, 9.4% versus 8.2% for the intermediate‐risk category, 25.0% versus 22.9% for the high‐risk category, and 56.8% versus 53.6% for the very‐high‐risk category. The correlation between predicted and actual mortality by quintiles was 0.99, with an SEE of ±2%. There was no significant difference in C‐statistic between the derivation cohort (0.78; 95% CI, 0.74–0.82) and the validation cohort (0.77; 95% CI, 0.69–0.84; P =0.693). Conclusions Our study confirms that the ELAN‐HF score predicts accurately 6‐month mortality in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure with the use of easily obtained characteristics.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2047-9980
    Language: English
    Publisher: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2653953-6
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  • 2
    In: Circulation, Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health), Vol. 137, No. 16 ( 2018-04-17), p. 1671-1683
    Abstract: The concept of natriuretic peptide guidance has been extensively studied in patients with chronic heart failure (HF), with only limited success. The effect of NT-proBNP (N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide)-guided therapy in patients with acute decompensated HF using a relative NT-proBNP target has not been investigated. This study aimed to assess whether NT-proBNP-guided therapy of patients with acute decompensated HF using a relative NT-proBNP target would lead to improved outcomes compared with conventional therapy. Methods: We conducted a prospective randomized controlled trial to study the impact of in-hospital guidance for acute decompensated HF treatment by a predefined NT-proBNP target ( 〉 30% reduction from admission to discharge) versus conventional treatment. Patients with acute decompensated HF with NT-proBNP levels 〉 1700 ng/L were eligible. After achieving clinical stability, 405 patients were randomized to either NT-proBNP-guided or conventional treatment (1:1). The primary end point was dual: a composite of all-cause mortality and HF readmissions in 180 days and the number of days alive out of the hospital in 180 days. Secondary end points were all-cause mortality within 180 days, HF readmissions within 180 days, and a composite of all-cause mortality and HF readmissions within 90 days. Results: Significantly more patients in the NT-proBNP-guided therapy group were discharged with an NT-proBNP reduction of 〉 30% (80% versus 64%, P =0.001). Nonetheless, NT-proBNP-guided therapy did not significantly improve the combined event rate for all-cause mortality and HF readmissions (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.72–1.37; P =0.99) or the median number of days alive outside of the hospital (178 versus 179 days for NT-proBNP versus conventional patients, P =0.39). Guided therapy also did not significantly improve any of the secondary end points. Conclusions: The PRIMA II trial (Can NT-ProBNP-Guided Therapy During Hospital Admission for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure Reduce Mortality and Readmissions?) demonstrates that the guidance of HF therapy to reach an NT-proBNP reduction of 〉 30% after clinical stabilization did not improve 6-month outcomes. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: http://www.trialregister.nl . Unique identifier: NTR3279.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0009-7322 , 1524-4539
    Language: English
    Publisher: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1466401-X
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