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  • 1
    In: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, The Royal Society, Vol. 378, No. 1881 ( 2023-07-17)
    Abstract: Detecting biodiversity change and identifying its causes is challenging because biodiversity is multifaceted and temporal data often contain bias. Here, we model temporal change in species' abundance and biomass by using extensive data describing the population sizes and trends of native breeding birds in the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU). In addition, we explore how species’ population trends vary with species' traits. We demonstrate significant change in the bird assemblages of the UK and EU, with substantial reductions in overall bird abundance and losses concentrated in a relatively small number of abundant and smaller sized species. By contrast, rarer and larger birds had generally fared better. Simultaneously, overall avian biomass had increased very slightly in the UK and was stable in the EU, indicating a change in community structure. Abundance trends across species were positively correlated with species’ body mass and with trends in climate suitability, and varied with species' abundance, migration strategy and niche associations linked to diet. Our work highlights how changes in biodiversity cannot be captured easily by a single number; care is required when measuring and interpreting biodiversity change given that different metrics can provide very different insights. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Detecting and attributing the causes of biodiversity change: needs, gaps and solutions’.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0962-8436 , 1471-2970
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1462620-2
    SSG: 12
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  • 2
    In: Biology Letters, The Royal Society, Vol. 4, No. 5 ( 2008-10-23), p. 599-602
    Abstract: Twenty-five-year population trends of 42 bird species rare as breeders in the UK were examined in relation to changes in climatic suitability simulated using climatic envelope models. The effects of a series of potential ‘nuisance’ variables were also assessed. A statistically significant positive correlation was found across species between population trend and climate suitability trend. The demonstration that climate envelope models are able to retrodict species' population trends provides a valuable validation of their use in studies of the potential impacts of future climatic changes.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1744-9561 , 1744-957X
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2008
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2103283-X
    SSG: 12
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    The Royal Society ; 2018
    In:  Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol. 285, No. 1873 ( 2018-02-28), p. 20172329-
    In: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, The Royal Society, Vol. 285, No. 1873 ( 2018-02-28), p. 20172329-
    Abstract: Climate change is predicted to increase migration distances for many migratory species, but the physiological and temporal implications of longer migratory journeys have not been explored. Here, we combine information about species' flight range potential and migratory refuelling requirements to simulate the number of stopovers required and the duration of current migratory journeys for 77 bird species breeding in Europe. Using tracking data, we show that our estimates accord with recorded journey times and stopovers for most species. We then combine projections of altered migratory distances under climate change with models of avian flight to predict future migratory journeys. We find that 37% of migratory journeys undertaken by long-distance migrants will necessitate an additional stopover in future. These greater distances and the increased number of stops will substantially increase overall journey durations of many long-distance migratory species, a factor not currently considered in climate impact studies.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0962-8452 , 1471-2954
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1460975-7
    SSG: 12
    SSG: 25
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    The Royal Society ; 2006
    In:  Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol. 273, No. 1593 ( 2006-06-22), p. 1465-1470
    In: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, The Royal Society, Vol. 273, No. 1593 ( 2006-06-22), p. 1465-1470
    Abstract: Species-energy theory indicates that recent climate warming should have driven increases in species richness in cool and species-poor parts of the Northern Hemisphere. We confirm that the average species richness of British butterflies has increased since 1970–82, but much more slowly than predicted from changes of climate: on average, only one-third of the predicted increase has taken place. The resultant species assemblages are increasingly dominated by generalist species that were able to respond quickly. The time lag is confirmed by the successful introduction of many species to climatically suitable areas beyond their ranges. Our results imply that it may be decades or centuries before the species richness and composition of biological communities adjusts to the current climate.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0962-8452 , 1471-2954
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2006
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1460975-7
    SSG: 12
    SSG: 25
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  • 5
    In: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, The Royal Society, Vol. 289, No. 1979 ( 2022-07-27)
    Abstract: Ongoing climate change is a major threat to biodiversity. As abiotic tolerances and dispersal abilities vary, species-specific responses have the potential to further amplify or ameliorate the ensuing impacts on species assemblages. Here, we investigate the effects of climate change on species distributions across non-marine birds, quantifying its projected impact on species richness (SR) as well as on different aspects of phylogenetic diversity globally. Going beyond previous work, we disentangle the potential impacts of species gains versus losses on assemblage-level phylogenetic diversity under climate change and compare the projected impacts to randomized assemblage changes. We show that beyond its effects on SR, climate change could have profound impacts on assemblage-level phylogenetic diversity and composition, which differ significantly from random changes and among regions. Though marked species losses are most frequent in tropical and subtropical areas in our projections, phylogenetic restructuring of species communities is likely to occur all across the globe. Furthermore, our results indicate that the most severe changes to the phylogenetic diversity of local assemblages are likely to be caused by species range shifts and local species gains rather than range reductions and extinctions. Our findings highlight the importance of considering diverse measures in climate impact assessments.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0962-8452 , 1471-2954
    Language: English
    Publisher: The Royal Society
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1460975-7
    SSG: 12
    SSG: 25
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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