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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Oxford University Press (OUP) ; 2017
    In:  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics Vol. 66, No. 1 ( 2017-01-01), p. 121-139
    In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, Oxford University Press (OUP), Vol. 66, No. 1 ( 2017-01-01), p. 121-139
    Abstract: Mortality forecasts are typically limited in that they pertain only to national death rates, predict only all-cause mortality or do not capture and utilize the correlation between diseases. We present a novel Bayesian hierarchical model that jointly forecasts cause-specific death rates for geographic subunits. We examine its effectiveness by applying it to US vital statistics data for 1979–2011 and produce forecasts to 2024. Not only does the model generate coherent forecasts for mutually exclusive causes of death, but also it has lower out-of-sample error than alternative commonly used models for forecasting mortality.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0035-9254 , 1467-9876
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
    Publication Date: 2017
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    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1482300-7
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1476894-X
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  • 2
    In: G3 Genes|Genomes|Genetics, Oxford University Press (OUP), Vol. 7, No. 8 ( 2017-08-01), p. 2439-2460
    Abstract: The discordance between genome size and the complexity of eukaryotes can partly be attributed to differences in repeat density. The Muller F element (∼5.2 Mb) is the smallest chromosome in Drosophila melanogaster, but it is substantially larger ( & gt;18.7 Mb) in D. ananassae. To identify the major contributors to the expansion of the F element and to assess their impact, we improved the genome sequence and annotated the genes in a 1.4-Mb region of the D. ananassae F element, and a 1.7-Mb region from the D element for comparison. We find that transposons (particularly LTR and LINE retrotransposons) are major contributors to this expansion (78.6%), while Wolbachia sequences integrated into the D. ananassae genome are minor contributors (0.02%). Both D. melanogaster and D. ananassae F-element genes exhibit distinct characteristics compared to D-element genes (e.g., larger coding spans, larger introns, more coding exons, and lower codon bias), but these differences are exaggerated in D. ananassae. Compared to D. melanogaster, the codon bias observed in D. ananassae F-element genes can primarily be attributed to mutational biases instead of selection. The 5′ ends of F-element genes in both species are enriched in dimethylation of lysine 4 on histone 3 (H3K4me2), while the coding spans are enriched in H3K9me2. Despite differences in repeat density and gene characteristics, D. ananassae F-element genes show a similar range of expression levels compared to genes in euchromatic domains. This study improves our understanding of how transposons can affect genome size and how genes can function within highly repetitive domains.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2160-1836
    Language: English
    Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
    Publication Date: 2017
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2629978-1
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