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  • 1
    In: Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, Vol. 12, No. 9 ( 2017-09-01), p. 094013-
    Abstract: Increasing atmospheric methane (CH 4 ) concentrations have contributed to approximately 20% of anthropogenic climate change. Despite the importance of CH 4 as a greenhouse gas, its atmospheric growth rate and dynamics over the past two decades, which include a stabilization period (1999–2006), followed by renewed growth starting in 2007, remain poorly understood. We provide an updated estimate of CH 4 emissions from wetlands, the largest natural global CH 4 source, for 2000–2012 using an ensemble of biogeochemical models constrained with remote sensing surface inundation and inventory-based wetland area data. Between 2000–2012, boreal wetland CH 4 emissions increased by 1.2 Tg yr −1 (−0.2–3.5 Tg yr −1 ), tropical emissions decreased by 0.9 Tg yr −1 (−3.2−1.1 Tg yr −1 ), yet globally, emissions remained unchanged at 184 ± 22 Tg yr −1 . Changing air temperature was responsible for increasing high-latitude emissions whereas declines in low-latitude wetland area decreased tropical emissions; both dynamics are consistent with features of predicted centennial-scale climate change impacts on wetland CH 4 emissions. Despite uncertainties in wetland area mapping, our study shows that global wetland CH 4 emissions have not contributed significantly to the period of renewed atmospheric CH 4 growth, and is consistent with findings from studies that indicate some combination of increasing fossil fuel and agriculture-related CH 4 emissions, and a decrease in the atmospheric oxidative sink.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1748-9326
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: IOP Publishing
    Publication Date: 2017
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2255379-4
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    IOP Publishing ; 2020
    In:  Environmental Research Letters Vol. 15, No. 12 ( 2020-12-04), p. 124026-
    In: Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, Vol. 15, No. 12 ( 2020-12-04), p. 124026-
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1748-9326
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: IOP Publishing
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2255379-4
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    IOP Publishing ; 2023
    In:  Environmental Research Letters Vol. 18, No. 2 ( 2023-02-01), p. 024033-
    In: Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, Vol. 18, No. 2 ( 2023-02-01), p. 024033-
    Abstract: Future ocean acidification mainly depends on the continuous ocean uptake of CO 2 from the atmosphere. The trajectory of future atmospheric CO 2 is prescribed in traditional climate projections with Earth system models, leading to a small model spread and apparently low uncertainties for projected acidification, but a large spread in global warming. However, climate policies such as the Paris Agreement define climate targets in terms of global warming levels and as traditional simulations do not converge to a given warming level, they cannot be used to assess uncertainties in projected acidification. Here, we perform climate simulations that converge to given temperature levels using the Adaptive Emission Reduction Algorithm (AERA) with the Earth system model Bern3D-LPX at different setups with different Transient Climate Response to cumulative carbon Emissions (TCRE) and choices between reductions in CO 2 and non-CO 2 forcing agents. With these simulations, we demonstrate that uncertainties in surface ocean acidification are an order of magnitude larger than the usually reported inter-model uncertainties from simulations with prescribed atmospheric CO 2 . Uncertainties in acidification at a given stabilized temperature are dominated by TCRE and the choice of emission reductions of non-CO 2 greenhouse gases (GHGs). High TCRE and relatively low reductions of non-CO 2 GHGs, for example, necessitate relatively strong reductions in CO 2 emissions and lead to relatively little ocean acidification at a given temperature level. The results suggest that choices between reducing emissions of CO 2 versus non-CO 2 agents should consider the economic costs and ecosystem damage of ocean acidification.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1748-9326
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: IOP Publishing
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2255379-4
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  • 4
    In: Environmental Research Letters, IOP Publishing, Vol. 14, No. 7 ( 2019-07-01), p. 075007-
    Abstract: Past variations in atmospheric nitrous oxide (N 2 O) allow important insight into abrupt climate events. Here, we investigate marine N 2 O emissions by forcing the Bern3D Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity with freshwater into the North Atlantic. The model simulates a decrease in marine N 2 O emissions of about 0.8 TgN yr −1 followed by a recovery, in reasonable agreement regarding timing and magnitude with isotope-based reconstructions of marine emissions for the Younger Dryas Northern Hemisphere cold event. In the model the freshwater forcing causes a transient near-collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) leading to a fast adjustment in thermocline ventilation and an increase in O 2 in tropical eastern boundary systems and in the tropical Indian Ocean. In turn, net production by nitrification and denitrification and N 2 O emissions decrease in these regions. The decrease in organic matter export, mainly in the North Atlantic where ventilation and nutrient supply is suppressed, explains the remaining emission reduction. Modeled global marine N 2 O production and emission changes are delayed, initially by up to 300 years, relative to the AMOC decrease, but by less than 50 years at peak decline. The N 2 O perturbation is recovering only slowly and the lag between the recovery in AMOC and the recovery in N 2 O emissions and atmospheric concentrations exceeds 400 years. Thus, our results suggest a century-scale lag between ocean circulation and marine N 2 O emissions, and a tight coupling between changes in AMOC and tropical thermocline ventilation.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1748-9326
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: IOP Publishing
    Publication Date: 2019
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2255379-4
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