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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 2012
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 69, No. 2 ( 2012-02), p. 209-223
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 69, No. 2 ( 2012-02), p. 209-223
    Abstract: Empirically based simulation models can help fisheries managers make difficult decisions involving trade-offs between harvests and maintaining spawner abundance, especially when data contain uncertainties. We developed such a general risk-assessment framework and applied it to chum salmon ( Oncorhynchus keta ) stocks in the Arctic–Yukon–Kuskokwim region of Alaska, USA. These stocks experienced low abundance in the 1990s, which led to declarations of economic disaster and calls for changes in harvest strategies. Our stochastic model provides decision makers with quantitative information about trade-offs among commercial harvest, subsistence harvest, and spawner abundance. The model included outcome uncertainty (the difference between target and realized spawner abundances) in the subsistence and commercial catch modules. We also used closed-loop simulations to investigate the utility of time-varying management policies in which target spawner abundance changed in response to changes in the Ricker productivity parameter (a), as estimated with a Kalman filter. Time-varying policies resulted in higher escapements and catches and reduced risk across a range of harvest rates. The resulting generic risk-assessment framework can be used to evaluate harvest guidelines for most salmon stocks.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 2012
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    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
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  • 2
    In: Environmental Reviews, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 20, No. 4 ( 2012-12), p. 220-311
    Abstract: Climate change, fishing, and aquaculture have affected and will continue to influence Canadian marine biodiversity, albeit at different spatial scales. The Arctic is notably affected by reduced quality and quantity of sea ice caused by global warming, and by concomitant and forecasted changes in ocean productivity, species ecology, and human activity. The Atlantic has been especially impacted by severe overfishing and human-induced alterations to food webs. Climate change, fishing, and aquaculture have all affected, to varying degrees, biodiversity on Canada’s Pacific coast. Past and projected trends in key biodiversity stressors reveal marked change. Oceanographic trends include increasing surface water temperatures, reduced salinity, increased acidity, and, in some areas, reduced oxygen. Reductions in Canada’s fishery catches (those in 2009 were half those of the late 1980s), followed by reductions in fishing pressure, are associated with dramatic changes in the species composition of commercial catches in the Atlantic (formerly groundfish, now predominantly invertebrates and pelagic fish) and the Pacific (formerly salmon, now predominantly groundfish). Aquaculture, dominated by the farming of Atlantic salmon, grew rapidly from the early 1980s until 2002 and has since stabilized. Climate change is forecast to affect marine biodiversity by shifting species distributions, changing species community composition, decoupling the timing of species’ resource requirements and resource availability, and reducing habitat quality. Harvest-related reductions in fish abundance, many by 80% or more, coupled with fishing-induced changes to food webs, are impairing the capacity of species to recover or even persist. Open-sea aquaculture net pens affect biodiversity by (i) habitat alteration resulting from organic wastes, chemical inputs, and use of nonnative species; (ii) exchange of pathogens between farmed and wild species; and (iii) interbreeding between wild fish and farmed escapees. Physical and biological changes in the oceans, along with direct anthropogenic impacts, are modifying Canadian marine biodiversity with implications for food security and the social and economic well-being of coastal communities. To assess the consequences of changes in biodiversity for Canada’s oceans and society, it is necessary to understand the current state of marine biodiversity and how it might be affected by projected changes in climate and human uses.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1181-8700 , 1208-6053
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2027518-3
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 1992
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 49, No. 7 ( 1992-07-01), p. 1294-1304
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 49, No. 7 ( 1992-07-01), p. 1294-1304
    Abstract: Since 1950, stocks of British Columbia pink salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha) have shown up to a 34% decrease in mean adult body weight, causing significant reduction in economic value of commercial harvests. Previous research suggests that this trend is due to size-selective harvesting of large fish, but changes in oceanographic conditions are a plausible alternative. Corrective action by management agencies requires that the true causal mechanism be identified. We therefore examined several possible designs for a large-scale fishing experiment devised to test the size-selective fishing hypothesis. These designs would generate accurate and precise field estimates of the heritability (h 2 ) of growth rate, which is important because it, in combination with the selection differential (D) caused by fishing, determines how rapidly body size changes. Monte Carlo simulations showed that block designs with three to six spatial replicates and relatively short durations generated high statistical power. For example, for h 2  = 0.22, D = 0.25 kg, and four spatial replicates, an 8-yr experiment resulted in power = 0.87, which gave a SE  〈  0.10 for h 2  = 0.22. We conclude that some experimental designs have good potential to test the possible effects of size-selective fishing on mean adult size of British Columbia pink salmon.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 1992
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 1995
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 52, No. 2 ( 1995-02-01), p. 402-415
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 52, No. 2 ( 1995-02-01), p. 402-415
    Abstract: We developed a simulation model, based on observations of the actions of fishermen, to determine how regulations on trips by management agencies may influence discarding behavior at sea. Our model employed the results of a separate dynamic optimization model and data from the Oregon groundfish trawl fishery to predict quantitative patterns of high-grading expected across a range of regulatory limits on both fishing effort and the quantity of landings per trip (trip quota). In all cases, the total seasonal landings were assumed to be constant. High-grading was predicted to be greatest when there is a high probability of the catch exceeding the trip quotas, as when effort limits are high and trip quotas are low. Our evaluation of regulations also considered indicators such as expected economic value of the trip, proportion of trip landing limit attained, and the number of trips made in a season. A combination of large trip landing limits and intermediate trip effort limits best satisfied the multiple goals typically used by management agencies.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 1995
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
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  • 5
    In: Environmental Reviews, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 20, No. 4 ( 2012-12), p. 353-361
    Abstract: Canada has made numerous national and international commitments to sustain marine biodiversity. Given current and potential threats to biodiversity from climate change, fisheries, and aquaculture, we provide a summary review of Canada’s progress in fulfilling its obligations to protect, conserve, recover, and responsibly exploit marine biodiversity. We conclude that Canada has made little substantive progress, when compared to most developed nations, in meeting its biodiversity commitments. Much of Canada’s policy and rhetoric has not been operationalised, leaving many of the country’s national and international obligations unfulfilled in some key areas, such as the establishment of marine protected areas and incorporation of the precautionary approach to fisheries management. We conclude that regulatory conflict within Canada’s Department of Fisheries and Oceans (DFO) and the absolute discretion exercised by the national Minister of Fisheries and Oceans contribute significantly to an unduly slow rate of policy and statute implementation. We recommend new approaches and measures to sustain Canadian marine biodiversity and new research initiatives to support scientific advice to decision-makers. Many recommendations focus on management actions required to meet existing commitments to biodiversity conservation. Overall, we conclude that the most effective strategy is to protect existing biological diversity and to rebuild depleted populations and species to restore natural diversity. By improving and protecting the biodiversity in Canada’s oceans, such a strategy will restore the natural resilience of Canada’s ocean ecosystems to adapt to the challenges posed by climate change and other anthropogenic activities with consequent long-term benefits for food security and social and economic well-being.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1181-8700 , 1208-6053
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2027518-3
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 1993
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 50, No. 2 ( 1993-02-01), p. 323-333
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 50, No. 2 ( 1993-02-01), p. 323-333
    Abstract: Many traditional analyses of fisheries data assume that there is a negligible effect of alternative fish stocks on the spatial distribution of fishing effort and that the amount of local effort does not influence catchability. There is growing evidence that contradicts these assumptions. Because of the potential biases that these erroneous assumptions may cause in the interpretation of catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) statistics, it is important to determine the factors governing the spatial distribution of effort in a fishery. We used data on the Hecate Strait, British Columbia, Canada, trawl fishery to test hypotheses about spatial allocation of effort and interaction among fishing vessels. The ideal free distribution of Fretwell and Lucas (1970. Acta Biotheor. 19: 16–36) was the foundation for deriving these tests. We found evidence for competition among vessels, although we could not distinguish whether the mechanism was interference or exploitation competition. As well, CPUE was generally equalized among the areas fished, as predicted by the ideal free distribution, because of movement of boats among areas. Thus, area-specific CPUE would not be a reliable index of relative abundance of fish in different areas; relative fishing effort may be better.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 1993
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 2006
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 63, No. 12 ( 2006-12-01), p. 2722-2733
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 63, No. 12 ( 2006-12-01), p. 2722-2733
    Abstract: In sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) fisheries, management targets are rarely achieved exactly, thereby creating uncertainties about outcomes from implementing fishing regulations. Although this type of uncertainty may be large, it is seldom incorporated into simulation models that evaluate management options. One objective of this study was to quantify the deviations that occur between realized and target mortality rates (i.e., the target fraction of adult recruits that die each year during return migration, mostly due to harvesting) in fisheries for sockeye salmon from the Fraser River, British Columbia. We found that for some sockeye stocks, realized mortality rates were higher than targets when recruitment was low (resulting in conservation concerns) and lower than targets when recruitment was high (resulting in foregone catch). Scientists and managers can at least partially account for effects of such deviations between realized and target mortality rates (outcome uncertainties) by choosing target harvest rules that reflect typical patterns in those deviations. We derived a method to permit modelers to incorporate those patterns into analyses of management options.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 2006
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 1984
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 41, No. 12 ( 1984-12-01), p. 1814-1824
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 41, No. 12 ( 1984-12-01), p. 1814-1824
    Abstract: Anecdotal reports of a tendency for British Columbia sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) to be low when Bristol Bay, Alaska, returns are high prompted a reconstruction of minimum abundances of sockeye resident in the Gulf of Alaska each year from the early 1950s to mid-1970s. This backwards reconstruction using Fry's virtual population analysis was done by using catch, escapement, and age structure data for each area in British Columbia and Bristol Bay. Use of more sophisticated backwards reconstruction methods was precluded by lack of age-specific annual survival rates by stock. Ocean abundances of British Columbia and Bristol Bay sockeye show significant autocorrelations at periods consistent with the cyclic dominant patterns of their largest stocks. Cross correlations at lag 0 between ocean abundances of various ages of fish from these two regions show one case of a significant inverse relation in abundances. In addition, there are significant cross correlations between British Columbia and Bristol Bay ocean abundances at various time lags, showing that cycles in their abundances are out of synchrony. This lack of synchrony persisted longer than would be expected from cyclic dominance patterns and age at maturity of British Columbia and Bristol Bay sockeye, and several alternative explanations of this asynchrony are discussed.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 1984
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 1988
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 45, No. 1 ( 1988-01-01), p. 8-16
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 45, No. 1 ( 1988-01-01), p. 8-16
    Abstract: We tested Hjort's and Lasker's hypotheses that the abundance of recruits in fishes is determined at an early life stage. Using 13 yr of data on components of population dynamics of the well-studied northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax), we reconstructed the abundance of anchovy in each year at three stages: eggs, 4.5-d-old yolk-sac larvae, and 19-d-old larvae. No abundance measure was significantly correlated with age 1 recruits, resulting in rejection of Hjort's and Lasker's hypotheses. We give reasons why the low correlations are not an artifact of estimation error. The lack of correlation exists because of the large variability (CV = 171%) in survival rate between age 19 d and age 1 yr. Therefore, attempts to understand interannual variability in recruitment in this, and perhaps other, marine fish species may have to rely not only on data on eggs and larvae, but especially on data on abundances estimated after 20 d, closer to the age at recruitment.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 1988
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Canadian Science Publishing ; 2012
    In:  Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences Vol. 69, No. 8 ( 2012-08), p. 1255-1260
    In: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, Canadian Science Publishing, Vol. 69, No. 8 ( 2012-08), p. 1255-1260
    Abstract: We used data on 64 stocks of sockeye salmon ( Oncorhynchus nerka ) from British Columbia (B.C.), Washington, and Alaska to determine whether recent decreases in abundance and productivity observed for Fraser River, B.C., sockeye have occurred more widely. We found that decreasing time trends in productivity have occurred across a large geographic area ranging from Washington, B.C., southeast Alaska, and up through the Yakutat peninsula, Alaska, but not in central and western Alaska. Furthermore, a pattern of predominantly shared trends across southern stocks and opposite trends between them and stocks from western Alaska was present in the past (1950–1985), but correlations have intensified since then. The spatial extent of declining productivity of sockeye salmon has important implications for management as well as research into potential causes of the declines. Further research should focus on mechanisms that operate at large, multiregional spatial scales, and (or) in marine areas where numerous correlated sockeye stocks overlap.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0706-652X , 1205-7533
    Language: English
    Publisher: Canadian Science Publishing
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 7966-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1473089-3
    SSG: 21,3
    SSG: 12
    Location Call Number Limitation Availability
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