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  • American Meteorological Society  (14)
  • 2010-2014  (14)
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  • American Meteorological Society  (14)
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  • 2010-2014  (14)
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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Interdecadal Relationships between the Asian–Pacific Oscillation and Summer Climate Anomalies over Asia, North Pacific, and North America during a Recent 100 Years
    American Meteorological Society ; 2011
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 24, No. 18 ( 2011-09-15), p. 4793-4799
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 24, No. 18 ( 2011-09-15), p. 4793-4799
    Abstract: Summertime relationships between the Asian–Pacific Oscillation (APO) and climate anomalies over Asia, the North Pacific, and North America are examined on an interdecadal time scale. The values of APO were low from the 1880s to the mid-1910s and high from the 1920s to the 1940s. When the APO was higher, tropospheric temperatures were higher over Asia and lower over the Pacific and North America. From the low-APO decades to the high-APO decades, both upper-tropospheric highs and lower-tropospheric low pressure systems strengthened over South Asia and weakened over North America. As a result, anomalous southerly–southwesterly flow prevailed over the Asian monsoon region, meaning stronger moisture transport over Asia. On the contrary, the weakened upper-tropospheric high and lower-tropospheric low over North America caused anomalous sinking motion over the region. As a result, rainfall generally enhanced over the Asian monsoon regions and decreased over North America.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00054.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2011
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Asian Origin of Interannual Variations of Summer Climate over the Extratropical North Atlantic Ocean
    American Meteorological Society ; 2012
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 25, No. 19 ( 2012-10-01), p. 6594-6609
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 25, No. 19 ( 2012-10-01), p. 6594-6609
    Abstract: The authors have identified an interannual relationship between Asian tropospheric temperature and the North Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) during summer (May–September) and discussed the associated features of atmospheric circulation over the Atlantic–Eurasian region. When tropospheric temperature is high (low) over Asia, positive (negative) SST anomalies appear in the extratropical North Atlantic. This relationship is well supported by the changes in background atmospheric circulation and ocean–atmosphere–land thermodynamic processes. When heat transfer from the land surface to the atmosphere over Asia strengthens, local tropospheric temperature increases and positive temperature anomalies propagate westward from Asia to the North Atlantic, leading to an increase in summer tropospheric temperature over the Atlantic–Eurasian region. Accordingly, a deep anomalous ridge occurs over the extratropical North Atlantic Ocean, with low-level southerly anomalies over the western portion of the ocean. Sensitivity experiments with climate models show that the interannual variations of the North Atlantic–Eurasian atmospheric circulation may not be forced by the extratropical Atlantic SST. Instead, experiments with changing Asian land surface heating capture the above observed features of atmospheric circulation anomalies, westward propagation of tropospheric anomalies, and Atlantic SST anomalies. The consistency between the observational and model results indicates a possible impact of Asian land heating on the development of atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies over the Atlantic–Eurasian region.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00617.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Is the Interannual Variability of the Summer Asian–Pacific Oscillation Predictable?
    American Meteorological Society ; 2013
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 26, No. 11 ( 2013-06-01), p. 3865-3876
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 26, No. 11 ( 2013-06-01), p. 3865-3876
    Abstract: The summer (June–August) Asian–Pacific Oscillation (APO) measures the interannual variability of large-scale atmospheric circulation over the Asian–North Pacific Ocean sector. In this study, the authors assess the predictability of the summer APO index interannual variability and the associated atmospheric circulation anomalies using the 1959–2001 hindcast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), and the Met Office (UKMO) general circulation models from the Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (DEMETER) project. The results show that these models predict the summer APO index interannual variability well and have higher skill for the North Pacific than for the Asian upper-tropospheric temperature. Meanwhile, the observed APO-related atmospheric circulation anomalies in the South Asian high, the tropical easterly wind jet over the Asian monsoon region in the upper troposphere, the subtropical anticyclone over the North Pacific, and the summer southwest monsoon over Asia in the lower troposphere are reasonably well predicted in their spatial patterns and intensities. Compared with the observations, however, these models display low skill in predicting the long-term varying trends of the upper-tropospheric temperature over the Asian–North Pacific sector or the APO index during 1959–2001.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00450.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Moisture Sources of Semiarid Grassland in China Using the Lagrangian Particle Model FLEXPART
    American Meteorological Society ; 2014
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 27, No. 6 ( 2014-03-15), p. 2457-2474
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 27, No. 6 ( 2014-03-15), p. 2457-2474
    Abstract: In this study, a Lagrangian particle dispersion model, Flexible Particle (FLEXPART), is employed to simulate the trajectories of global air parcels during 2000–09 with the purpose of revealing the moisture sources of the semiarid grasslands of China, especially on precipitation days. Based on land-cover and precipitation data, two areas of semiarid grasslands are identified: one in North China and one in the Tibetan Plateau. Using the FLEXPART simulation results, air parcels reaching these two target regions are traced back for 10 days to examine their temporal variations in position (longitude, latitude, and altitude) and specific humidity. The moisture sources of these semiarid grasslands are discussed for different precipitation categories. Moreover, the contributions of different moisture sources to the precipitation in the target regions are computed and compared. The results indicate that the moisture released in the target regions is substantially from the Eurasian continent, in both summer and winter. During May–September, the southern and eastern adjacent land areas seem to be the main moisture sources of rainfall in the grasslands of North China, while the Eurasian continent on the north and west tends to be the predominant contributor to the rainfall over the grasslands of the eastern Tibetan Plateau. During October–April, moistures released in both target regions principally originate from the Eurasian continent on the north and west. Overall, although the moisture uptake over oceanic sources is also considerable, most released moisture over the target regions is from the Eurasian continent throughout the year, while little of the contribution of oceanic sources is due to great loss of moisture en route.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00517.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Improving the Prediction of the Summer Asian–Pacific Oscillation Using the Interannual Increment Approach
    American Meteorological Society ; 2014
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 27, No. 21 ( 2014-11-01), p. 8126-8134
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 27, No. 21 ( 2014-11-01), p. 8126-8134
    Abstract: The summer Asian–Pacific oscillation (APO) is a dominant teleconnection pattern over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere that links the large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies over the Asian–North Pacific Ocean sector. In this study, the direct Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (DEMETER) model outputs from 1960 to 2001, which are limited in predicting the interannual variability of the summer Asian upper-tropospheric temperature and the decadal variations, are applied using the interannual increment approach to improve the predictions of the summer APO. By treating the year-to-year increment as the predictand, the interannual increment scheme is shown to significantly improve the predictive ability for the interannual variability of the summer Asian upper-tropospheric temperature and the decadal variations. The improvements for the interannual and interdecadal summer APO variability predictions in the interannual increment scheme relative to the original scheme are clear and significant. Compared with the DEMETER direct outputs, the statistical model with two predictors of APO and sea surface temperature anomaly over the Atlantic shows a significantly improved ability to predict the interannual variability of the summer rainfall over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley (SRYR). This study therefore describes a more efficient approach for predicting the APO and the SRYR.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00209.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    A Statistical Downscaling Model for Forecasting Summer Rainfall in China from DEMETER Hindcast Datasets
    American Meteorological Society ; 2012
    In:  Weather and Forecasting Vol. 27, No. 3 ( 2012-06-01), p. 608-628
    Details
    In: Weather and Forecasting, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 27, No. 3 ( 2012-06-01), p. 608-628
    Abstract: A new statistical downscaling (SD) scheme is proposed to predict summertime multisite rainfall measurements in China. The potential predictors are multiple large-scale variables from operational dynamical model output. A key step in this SD scheme is finding optimal predictors that have the closest and most stable relationship with rainfall at a given station. By doing so, the most robust signals from the large-scale circulation can be statistically projected onto local rainfall, which can significantly improve forecast skill in predicting the summer rainfall at the stations. This downscaling prediction is performed separately for each simulation with a leave-one-out cross-validation approach and an independent sample validation framework. The prediction skill scores exhibited at temporal correlation, anomaly correlation coefficient, and root-mean-square error consistently demonstrate that dynamical model prediction skill is significantly improved under the SD scheme, especially in the multimodel ensemble strategy. Therefore, this SD scheme has the potential to improve the operational skill when forecasting rainfall based on the coupled models.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0882-8156 , 1520-0434
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/WAF-D-11-00079.1
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2012
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025194-4
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Late Winter Sea Ice in the Bering Sea: Predictor for Maize and Rice Production in Northeast China
    American Meteorological Society ; 2014
    In:  Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology Vol. 53, No. 5 ( 2014-05), p. 1183-1192
    Details
    In: Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 53, No. 5 ( 2014-05), p. 1183-1192
    Abstract: In this research, the linkage between late winter Bering Sea ice and maize/rice yields in northeastern China (NEC) is investigated. Results show that such ice influences NEC crop production and thus can be employed to predict harvest amounts. Further investigation reveals that positive anomalies of late winter sea ice cover can persist until spring and that spring sea ice can strengthen North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) positive-phase patterns, and vice versa. NPO significantly affects sea surface temperature (SST) over the North Pacific Ocean through sea–air interaction—in particular, in the Kuroshio region—that may persist until summer. In association with the positive SST anomalies, the polar vortex weakens and the western Pacific subtropical high strengthens, resulting in the convergence of southern and northern air masses over NEC. Moreover, both the southerly flow along the western flank of the western Pacific subtropical high and the easterly flow from the Japan Sea and the central Pacific region supply more water vapor transport; thus, an anomalous water vapor convergence center appears in NEC. With the anomalous updrafts, NEC exhibits positive precipitation anomalies. The greenhouse effect of water vapor results in an increase in minimum temperature, thereby leading to a decrease in diurnal temperature range (DTR). This increase in minimum temperature and decrease in DTR are primary factors favoring increases in rice and maize yields, respectively.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1558-8424 , 1558-8432
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0242.1
    RVK:
    UA 4547
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2227779-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2227759-6
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Simulation of the Direct Radiative Effect of Mineral Dust Aerosol on the Climate at the Last Glacial Maximum
    American Meteorological Society ; 2011
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 24, No. 3 ( 2011-02-01), p. 843-858
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 24, No. 3 ( 2011-02-01), p. 843-858
    Abstract: The climatic responses to the direct radiative effect of dust aerosol at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) are examined using a general circulation model with online simulation of dust. The predicted global dust emission at the LGM is 2.3 times as large as the present-day value, which is the combined effect of the expansion of dust sources and the favorable meteorological parameters (MPs; e.g., the strong surface wind and the low air humidity) under the LGM climate. Simulated global dust emission is 1966 Tg yr−1 with present-day dust sources and MPs, 2820 Tg yr−1 with LGM dust sources and current MPs, 2599 Tg yr−1 with present-day dust sources and LGM MPs, and 4579 Tg yr−1 with LGM sources and MPs. The simulated percentage increases of dust concentrations are the largest at high latitudes in both hemispheres, which are consistent with the deposition data from geological records. The LGM dust is estimated to exert global annual-mean shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiative forcing (RF) of −4.69 and +1.70 W m−2 at the surface, respectively, and −0.58 and +0.68 W m−2 at the top of the atmosphere, respectively. On a global- and annual-mean basis, surface air temperature (SAT) is predicted to be reduced by 0.18 K and precipitation is reduced by 0.06 mm day−1, as a result of the net (SW and LW) radiative effect of dust at the LGM. Two sensitivity studies are performed to identify the uncertainties in simulated climatic effect of LGM dust that arise from the assumed LW and/or SW absorption by dust: 1) in the absence of dust LW radiative effect, the LGM global- and annual-mean SAT is predicted to be further reduced by 0.19 K; and 2) when the single scattering albedo of the Saharan dust at 0.55 μm is increased from 0.89 to 0.98 in the LGM climate simulation, the LGM dust-induced annual- and global-mean surface cooling increases from 0.18 to 0.63 K even with both SW and LW radiative effects of dust. In these two sensitivity studies, the LGM dust is predicted to induce an average cooling of 0.42 and 0.72 K in SAT, respectively, over the tropical oceans.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0442 , 0894-8755
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3827.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2011
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Improving Extraseasonal Summer Rainfall Prediction by Merging Information from GCMs and Observations
    American Meteorological Society ; 2010
    In:  Weather and Forecasting Vol. 25, No. 4 ( 2010-08-01), p. 1263-1274
    Details
    In: Weather and Forecasting, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 25, No. 4 ( 2010-08-01), p. 1263-1274
    Abstract: A new prediction approach for summer (June–August) rainfall in China was designed by considering both preceding observations and numerically predicted summer rainfall through a multivariate linear regression analysis. First, correlation analyses revealed close relationships between summer rainfall in parts of China with the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), the Arctic Oscillation (AO), and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the preceding winter (December–February). The Huang-Huai Valley, two subregions of the Jiang-Huai Valley, the southern Yangtze River, south China, and southeastern Xinjiang were then chosen as targets for their regional climate characteristics. Following this, an extraseasonal (one season in advance) regression prediction model for regionally averaged summer rainfall was constructed by using these three climate factors and a 3-month lead-time forecast of summer rainfall, undertaken by an atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) forced by observed SSTs, as predictors region by region. To improve the accuracy of prediction, the systematic error between the original regression model’s results and its observational counterparts, averaged for the last 10 yr, was corrected. Using this new approach, real-time prediction experiments and cross-validation analyses were performed for the periods 2002–07 and 1982–2007, respectively. It was found that the new prediction approach was more skillful than the original or corrected GCM prediction alone in terms of sign, magnitude, and interannual variability of regionally averaged summer rainfall anomalies in all regions. The preceding observations were the major source of the prediction skill of summer rainfall in each region, and the GCM predictions added additional prediction skill in the western Jiang-Huai Valley and southeastern Xinjiang, in both of which the GCM prediction was used as a predictor.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1520-0434 , 0882-8156
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/2010WAF2222342.1
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2010
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2025194-4
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Changes in the Relationship between ENSO and Asia–Pacific Midlatitude Winter Atmospheric Circulation
    American Meteorological Society ; 2013
    In:  Journal of Climate Vol. 26, No. 10 ( 2013-05-15), p. 3377-3393
    Details
    In: Journal of Climate, American Meteorological Society, Vol. 26, No. 10 ( 2013-05-15), p. 3377-3393
    Abstract: Interdecadal changes in the relationship between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and midlatitude atmospheric circulation are investigated in this study. Comparison of associations between ENSO and midlatitude atmospheric circulation anomalies between 1958–76 and 1977–2010 suggest that during 1958–76, ENSO exerted a strong impact on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and the associated atmospheric circulation pattern was similar to the positive North Pacific Oscillation (NPO). In contrast, during 1977–2010, the NPO-like atmospheric pattern disappeared. Instead, ENSO exerted a strong impact on the eastern North Pacific Ocean (NP) and North America, and the associated atmospheric circulation pattern resembled the Pacific–North America (PNA) teleconnection. Also, significant correlations between ENSO and sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) over the western subtropical NP during 1958–76 became insignificant during 1977–2010, whereas negative correlations between ENSO and SSTAs in the central and northeastern subtropical NP became more significant since the mid-1970s. Further analyses suggest that the interdecadal shift of the Aleutian low, which occurred around the mid-1970s, might be responsible for the identified changes. Before the mid-1970s, warm ENSO events generated an anomalous anticyclone over the western NP, which is a key system bridging ENSO and EAWM-related atmospheric circulation. After the mid-1970s, the Aleutian low intensified and shifted eastward, leading to the impact of ENSO prevailing over the eastern NP. In addition, the weakened (strengthened) ENSO–NPO/EAWM (ENSO–PNA) relationship likely contributed to the weakened (strengthened) relationship between ENSO and SSTAs over the western (central and eastern) subtropical NP.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0894-8755 , 1520-0442
    URL: Article
    DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00355.1
    RVK:
    UA 4548
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 246750-1
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2021723-7
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