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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2016-05-17
    Description: ABSTRACT Climate information provided by global or regional climate models (RCMs) are often too coarse and prone to substantial biases for local assessments or use in impact models. Hence, statistical downscaling becomes necessary. For the Swiss National Climate Change Initiative (CH2011), a delta-change approach was used to provide daily climate scenarios at the local scale. Here, we analyse a Richardson-type weather generator (WG) as an alternative method to downscale daily precipitation, minimum and maximum temperature. The WG is calibrated for 26 Swiss stations and the reference period is 1980–2009. It is perturbed with change factors derived from RCMs (ENSEMBLES) to represent the climate of 2070–2099 assuming the SRES A1B emission scenario. The WG can be run in multi-site mode, making it especially attractive for impact-modellers that rely on a realistic spatial structure in downscaled time-series. The results from the WG are benchmarked against the original delta-change approach that applies mean additive or multiplicative adjustments to the observations. According to both downscaling methods, the results reveal mean temperature increases and a precipitation decrease in summer, consistent with earlier studies. For the summer drying, the WG indicates primarily a decrease in wet-day frequency and correspondingly an increase in mean dry spell length of between 18 and 40% at low-elevation stations. By definition, these potential changes cannot be represented by a delta-change approach. In winter, both methods project a shortening of the frost period (−30 to −60 days) and a decrease of snow days (−20 to −100%). The WG demonstrates though, that almost present-day conditions in snow-days could still occur in the future. As expected, both methods have difficulties in representing extremes. If users focus on changes in temporal sequences and need a large number of future realizations, it is recommended to use data from a WG instead of a delta-change approach.
    Print ISSN: 0899-8418
    Electronic ISSN: 1097-0088
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Wiley-Blackwell
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2017-02-10
    Description: Over the past 17 years, the western boundary current system of the Labrador Sea has been closely observed by maintaining the 53°N observatory (moorings and shipboard station data) measuring the top-to-bottom flow field offshore from the Labrador shelf break. Volume transports for the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) components were calculated using different methods, including gap filling procedures for deployment periods with suboptimal instrument coverage. On average the Deep Western Boundary Current (DWBC) carries 30.2 ± 6.6 Sv of NADW southward, which are almost equally partitioned between Labrador Sea Water (LSW, 14.9 Sv ± 3.9) and Lower North Atlantic Deep Water (LNADW, 15.3 Sv ± 3.8). The transport variability ranges from days to decades, with the most prominent multi-year fluctuations at interannual to near decadal time scales (± 5 Sv) in the LNADW overflow water mass. These long-term fluctuations appear to be in phase with the NAO-modulated wind fluctuations. The boundary current system off Labrador occurs as a conglomerate of nearly independent components, namely the shallow Labrador Current, the weakly sheared LSW range, and the deep baroclinic, bottom-intensified current core of the LNADW, all of which are part of the cyclonic Labrador Sea circulation. This structure is relatively stable over time, and the 120 km wide boundary current is constrained seaward by a weak counterflow which reduces the Deep Water export by 10 to 15%. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
    Print ISSN: 0148-0227
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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