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  • Online Resource  (3)
  • Economics  (3)
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  • Online Resource  (3)
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  • Economics  (3)
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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Oxford University Press (OUP) ; 2023
    In:  Journal of the European Economic Association ( 2023-06-14)
    In: Journal of the European Economic Association, Oxford University Press (OUP), ( 2023-06-14)
    Abstract: The energy transition requires substantial amounts of metals, including copper, nickel, cobalt, and lithium. Are these metals a bottleneck? We identify metal-specific demand shocks, estimate supply elasticities, and study the price impact of the transition in a structural scenario analysis. Prices of these four metals would reach previous historical peaks but for an unprecedented, sustained period in a net-zero emissions scenario, potentially derailing the energy transition. Their production value would rise nearly four-fold to USD 11 trillion for the period 2021–2040. These four metals markets alone could become as important to the global economy as the oil market.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1542-4766 , 1542-4774
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2114709-7
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2118178-0
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge University Press (CUP) ; 2018
    In:  Macroeconomic Dynamics Vol. 22, No. 3 ( 2018-04), p. 702-717
    In: Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (CUP), Vol. 22, No. 3 ( 2018-04), p. 702-717
    Abstract: This paper provides long-run evidence on the dynamic effects of supply and demand shocks on commodity prices. I assemble and analyze a new data set of price and production levels of copper, lead, tin, and zinc from 1840 to 2014. Using a novel approach to identification, I show that price fluctuations are primarily driven by demand, rather than supply shocks. Demand shocks affect the price for up to 15 years, whereas the effect of mineral supply shocks persists for up to 5 years. Price surges caused by rapid industrialization are a recurrent phenomenon throughout history. Mineral commodity prices return to their declining or stable trends in the long run.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1365-1005 , 1469-8056
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1501533-6
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    American Economic Association ; 2023
    In:  AEA Papers and Proceedings Vol. 113 ( 2023-05-01), p. 43-46
    In: AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, Vol. 113 ( 2023-05-01), p. 43-46
    Abstract: We quantify how market integration affects the economic propagation of sectoral supply shocks at the example of a Russian gas shutoff to the European Union. An open-economy, multisector general equilibrium model suggests that the adverse output impact on the European Union shrinks fourfold if integration with the global liquified natural gas (LNG) market is considered. On the flip side, other LNG importers also see adverse output effects. Due to nonlinearities, the combined total economic damage is less than half with integration, compared to the counterfactual case without. Governments should foster further integration to make economies more resilient to supply shocks.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2574-0768 , 2574-0776
    RVK:
    Language: English
    Publisher: American Economic Association
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2932594-8
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