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Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin in the context of possible climate changes

  • Water Resources and the Regime of Water Bodies
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Abstract

The dynamics of meteorological elements in the Lena R. Basin is predicted for the XXI century under four IPCC global scenarios of SRES family, corresponding to specified scenarios of the economic, technological, political, and demographic development of the civilization. The obtained predictions are used to simulate variants of possible changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin up to the mid-XXI century. The calculation procedure is based on the use of land-surface model SWAP and a climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333, Russia

    E. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova & L. Ya. Dzhogan

  2. Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Nakhimovskii prosp. 36, Moscow, 117997, Russia

    E. M. Gusev & O. N. Nasonova

Authors
  1. E. M. Gusev
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  2. O. N. Nasonova
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  3. L. Ya. Dzhogan
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Correspondence to O. N. Nasonova.

Additional information

Original Russian Text © E.M. Gusev, O.N. Nasonova, L.Ya. Dzhogan, 2016, published in Vodnye Resursy, 2016, Vol. 43, No. 5, pp. 476–487.

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Gusev, E.M., Nasonova, O.N. & Dzhogan, L.Y. Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin in the context of possible climate changes. Water Resour 43, 754–765 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807816050079

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807816050079

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