Climate Warming, Marine Protected Areas and the Ocean-Scale Integrity of Coral Reef Ecosystems
Figure 3
Change in fish groups in response to coral decline.
Continuous model Bayesian meta-analysis of relationships between decline in coral cover and change in (A) species richness of fish assemblages, and (B) abundance of obligate corallivores, (C) herbivores, (D) mixed diet feeders, (E) planktivores. Scale as converted to percent change indicated in top right panel. Linear trend lines only presented where significant model fits were recorded. Green symbols indicate sites in NTAs, blue symbols indicate sites in fished areas. Inner dashed line represents 95% credible interval on the regression and outer dashed line represents the 95% prediction interval. • Mafia Island, ◊ Seychelles, ▴ Chagos, ▪ Maldives, ♦ Kenya, ▵ Tanzania, □ Réunion, ○ Mauritius. Movement of points along the x-axis among panels reflects model-structured uncertainty present among studies.