Abstract
Aim
Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) remains a serious public health problem in China. Although the number of cases has been decreasing, its incidence shows geographical variability, and risk regions change over time. The aim of this study was to observe temporal and geographic dynamics of HFRS in Jiangsu Province and the impact of demographic characteristics.
Subject and Methods
Surveillance data of HFRS in Jiangsu Province for the period of 1963–2017 were retrieved and analyzed. We first plotted the overall incidence and created a heat map of the annual incidence rate to visualize the long-term change over the 55-year period by county. The HFRS incidence map was then depicted to show its spatial and geographic distributions. Changes of demographic characteristics, including gender, age, occupation, and region of patients’ residence were considered.
Results
A total of 73,305 confirmed cases of HFRS were reported during the study period and the peak years were in 1964 (13.7 cases/million), 1977 (31.4 cases/million), 1983 (150.9 cases/million), and 1991 (40.1 cases/ million) historically. HFRS affected the southern region of Jiangsu Province first (incidence relatively scattered), then northern regions (relatively high in 1983–1986, 1990–1995), and finally, other parts of the province. Extensive spreading and expanded spatial distribution of risk areas were seen over the past several decades. Most cases occurred in people 16–60 years of age, males, and farmers. Cases involving people over 60 years of age showed a trend of increasing risk. The risk to females over 60 years of age is higher than that of males.
Conclusion
HFRS incidence showed substantial geographical and temporal variations, which may be associated with rodent migration and urbanization. The detected hotspots of HFRS for future control emphasis are Guanyun, Dafeng, Gaochun, and Sihong Counties. The focus should be on young adult males, farmers, and the elderly.
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Change history
17 February 2022
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01643-6
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This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers: 81973102], Public Health Talents Training Program of Shanghai Municipality [grant number: GWV-10.2-XD21], the National Major Infectious Disease Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China [grant number:2017ZX10305501002], Key projects of the PLA logistics Scientific research Program [BHJ17J013] (ZZ) and “Six One Project” Top Talent Research Plan of Jiangsu High Level Health Talents [JL Hu: LGY2019073] (JH).
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Jianli Hu and Zhijie Zhang conceived, designed, and supervised the study. Wenge Wang and Xiaochen Wang designed the study, finalized the analysis, and interpreted the findings. Shuang Xiao, Jun Zhang, Yiheng Li, Shangzhi Hong, Jian Hu, and Yi Hu assisted in data analysis. Yue Chen, Lili Yu, Liqun Fang, and Yuanfang Qin commented on and helped revise drafts of the manuscript. Jianli Hu, Xiaochen Wang, Ming Yue, Yun Zhang, and Bin Zhang participated in collection and management of data.
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The National Health Commission of China determined that the collection of data from human cases of Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome was part of public health surveillance of a notifiable infectious disease and was exempt from institutional review board assessment. The National Health Commission of China has confirmed that no ethical approval is required.
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Wenge Wang and Xiaochen Wang contributed equally to this article and share first authorship.
The original version of the article was revised: Wenge Wang and Xiaochen Wang contributed equally to this article and share first authorship.
The original version of the article was revised: Wenge Wang and Xiaochen Wang contributed equally to this article and share first authorship. Also, Figure 2 was updated.
Supplementary Information
Supplementary Table 1
Diagnostic criteria for hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. (DOC 32 kb)
Supplementary Fig. 1
Enlarged heat map of counties with HFRS cases for Fig. 1 panel D. (PDF 4.22 mb)
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Wang, W., Wang, X., Chen, Y. et al. Changing epidemiology of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China, 1963–2017. J Public Health (Berl.) 30, 2929–2936 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01526-w
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01526-w