Keywords:
Electronic books.
Type of Medium:
Online Resource
Pages:
1 online resource (517 pages)
Edition:
1st ed.
ISBN:
9781614992189
Series Statement:
International School of Physics Enrico Fermi Series ; v.133
URL:
https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/geomar/detail.action?docID=1477307
Language:
English
Note:
Title Page -- Indice -- Preface -- Gruppo fotografico dei partecipanti al Corso -- Total solar irradiance variability: A review -- Introduction -- Variations observed in total solar irradiance -- Modeling total solar irradiance variations -- Modeling variations on active-regions time scale -- Results of multivariate spectral analysis -- Results of singular spectrum analysis -- Modeling variations over the solar cycle -- Uncertainties of irradiance measurements -- Limitation of the irradiance models -- Conclusions -- Cosmogenic isotopes as a tool to study solar and terrestrial variability -- Introduction -- Cosmogenic isotopes -- Production of cosmogenic isotopes -- Transport of cosmogenic isotopes -- Detection of cosmogenic isotopes -- Cosmogenic isotopes and solar variability -- Cosmogenic isotopes and terrestrial variability -- Precipitation rates -- 36Cl bomb pulse -- The "35 ky peak -- Solar variability and climate -- Summary -- Records of the solar cycle in terrestrial archives -- Introduction -- The 11 y solar cycle -- Records of the solar hydromagnetic variability -- Records of the solar bolometric variability -- Conclusions -- The 200 y variability in terrestrial archives: solar forcing? -- Cosmogenic isotope records -- Climatic records -- Records in the shallow-water cores of the Gallipoli terrace -- The cores and their dating -- The total carbonate time series -- Comparison of the carbonate record with the tree ring radiocarbon record -- The thermoluminescence (TL) time series -- Conclusions -- The solar-irradiance variability re~orded by thermoluminescence in shallow Ionian Sea sediments -- Introduction -- Experimental procedure -- Spectral properties of the TL profiles -- Conclusion -- Solar cylces recorded in meteorites -- Introduction -- Solar modulation of GCR in the inner heliosphere.
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Modelling of cosmogenic nuclide production in meteorites -- The 11 y and the century scale solar cycle in meteorites -- The 11 y solar cycle -- The century scale solar cycle -- Conclusions -- Radiocarbon time scale of the Mediterranean core CT85-5: the last 40 000 years -- Radiocarbon dating -- Dating method and radiocarbon time scale -- Radiocarbon dating of the deep-sea core CT85-5 -- Long-term global change from Mediterranean Sea sediments -- Introduction -- Core dating -- Comparison of carbonate profiles in Tyrrhenian and North Atlantic cores -- Conclusions -- Records of solar activity in planetary objects -- Charge particle environment in the interplanetary space -- Interaction of charged particles with matter -- Rates of production of tracks and their depth profiles -- Tracks due to VVH (Z more or equal 30) nuclei -- Rates of production of stable and radio nuclides -- Isotope production by solar particles -- Production of nuclides by GCR protons -- Neutron capture effects -- Application of cosmogenic effects for paleosolar activity -- Paleoactivity of the Sun: Meteoritic perspective -- Meteorite records over decades to century -- Meteorite records over 10^6-10^9 years -- Meteorite records relating to the earliest stages of the solar system -- Meteorite records of the early activity of the Sun -- The Sun through time: The lunar and planetary perspective -- Lunar samples as monitors of solar processes -- The diagnostic signatures of the Sun and possible interferences -- Lunar rocks as monitors of solar-flare fluxes and their variation over the past few million years -- Lunar breccias and soils as monitors of solar processes and long-term secular variations in solar-wind characteristics -- The exposure history of grains and rocks -- The characteristic signatures of the contemporary Sun -- Measurements and possible interferences.
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Observed long-term changes in isotopic ratios -- The solar-wind velocity -- Evidence of solar variability from other planetary records -- Advanced spectral-analysis methods -- Introduction -- Classical spectral estimation -- Periodogram -- Variance reduction -- Leakage reduction -- Correlogram -- Maximum-entropy method (MEM) -- Parametric spectral estimation -- Some problems with MEM spectra -- Multi-channel MEM -- Multi-taper method (MTM) -- Singular-spectrum analysis (SSA) -- Basic algorithms -- Reconstruction and power spectrum -- Monte Carlo SSA (MC-SSA) -- Multi-channel SSA (MSSA) -- Wavelet analysis -- Windowed Fourier transform (WFT) -- The wavelet transform (WT) -- Concluding remarks -- Dynamics of forced and coupled systems -- Introduction -- Time series analysis: A matter of motivations -- Phase space reconstruction -- Correlation dimension -- Self-similar random processes and surrogate data -- Systems with on / off intermittency -- Weakly coupled systems -- Conclusions and perspectives -- The maintenance of uncertainty -- Introduction -- Preliminaries -- State-space dynamics -- Linearized dynamics of infinitesimal uncertainties -- Instantaneous infinitesimal dynamics -- Finite-time evolution of infinitesimal uncertainties -- Lyapunov exponents and predictability -- The Baker's apprentice map -- Infinitesimals and predictability -- Dimensions -- The Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm -- Towards a better estimate from Takens' estimators -- Space-time-separation diagrams -- Intrinsic limits to the analysis of geometry -- Takens' theorem -- The method of delays -- Noise -- Prediction, prophecy, and pontification -- Introduction -- Simulations, models and physics -- Ground rules -- Data-based models: dynamic reconstructions -- Analogue prediction -- Local prediction -- Global prediction -- Accountable forecasts of chaotic systems.
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Evaluating ensemble forecasts -- The annulus -- Prophecies -- Aids for more reliable nonlinear analysis -- Significant results: surrogate data, synthetic data and self-deception -- Surrogate data and the bootstrap -- Surrogate predictors: Is my model any good? -- Hints for the evaluation of new techniques -- Avoiding simple straw men -- Feasibility tests for the identification of chaos -- On detecting "tiny" data sets -- Building models consistent with the observations -- Cost functions -- t-shadowing: Is my model any good? (reprise) -- Casting infinitely long shadows (out-of-sample) -- Distinguishing model error and system sensitivity -- Forecast error and model sensitivity -- Accountability -- Residual predictability -- Deterministic or stochastic dynamics? -- Using ensembles to distinguish the expectation from the expected -- Numerical Weather Prediction -- Probabilistic prediction with a deterministic model -- The analysis -- Constructing and interpreting ensembles -- The outlook(s) for today -- Conclusion -- Summary -- Solar variability: Simple models and proxy data -- A nonlinear dynamo model -- Subject and methods of qualitative analysis -- Bifurcation phenomena in the nonlinear dynamo model -- Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from Delta 14C data -- Historical sunspot observations and grand minima -- Determination of a record of grand minima from proxy data -- Preprocessing -- Estimation procedure -- Result -- Test of models -- Comments -- Appendix A - Testing the AR model -- Phase synchronization of chaotic oscillators and analysis of bivariate data -- Introduction -- Instantaneous phase of signals and systems -- Phase synchronization of chaotic self-sustained oscillators -- Looking for synchronization phenomena in real data -- Conclusions -- Search for low-dimensional chaos in observational data -- Introduction.
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The underlying dynamics -- A test case: the Rossler oscillator -- The test data sets -- The flow reconstruction -- Noise -- A real system: the light curve of R Scuti -- Conclusion -- The evolution of the solar cycle -- Introduction -- The reconstruction of the solar cycle back to 1609 -- Original measurement devices -- Wolf sunspot number -- Group sunspot number -- Solar-diameter measurements -- Original techniques and data -- Comparison of historical radius with modern values -- Period analysis of the solar-diameter data -- Maunder Minimum -- Butterfly diagram and rotation distributions -- Wavelet analysis -- Further evidences from solar-type stars -- Alpha-omega dynamo and solar cycle -- Nonlinear prospects -- Conclusion -- Catastrophes, chaos and cycles -- Astromathematics -- Sensitive systems -- Gradient systems -- Excitability -- Chaotic systems -- Intermittency -- The macculate Sun -- Variable solar maccularity -- The solar tachocline -- Solar solitoids -- Cycles -- A model solar oscillation -- Solar activity waves -- Physics of the solar dynamo -- Introduction -- Stellar magnetic cycles -- Solar magnetic activity -- Stellar activity -- Origins of the Sun's magnetic field -- Dynamo theory -- The kinematic dynamo problem -- Nonlinear equilibration -- Mean-field dynamo theory -- Modulation of activity cycles -- Toy models -- Global models -- Solar activity and climatic change -- Observational correlations -- Mechanisms and speculations -- Dynamics of the solar convection zone -- Introduction -- Multiple discrete scales of convection -- Probing of structure and flows with helioseismology -- Multitude of magnetic structures and dynamo action -- Structures and inverse cascades in turbulence -- Dynamical range of solar turbulence -- Local models of rotating compressible convection -- Formulation of local f-plane models.
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Nature of rotating turbulent convection.
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