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  • 1
    In: Conservation Biology, Wiley, Vol. 29, No. 3 ( 2015-06), p. 640-648
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0888-8892
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2015
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020041-9
    SSG: 12
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  • 2
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2023
    In:  Journal of Biogeography Vol. 50, No. 5 ( 2023-05), p. 846-857
    In: Journal of Biogeography, Wiley, Vol. 50, No. 5 ( 2023-05), p. 846-857
    Abstract: The extinction risks of species are influenced by their geographical range sizes, as species with smaller ranges are more likely to go extinct following disturbance events. Theoretically, heterogeneous landscapes can maintain small‐ranged species, because they facilitate the coexistence of taxa that are each constrained to distinct abiotic conditions. However, we do not fully understand whether this process is more attributable to variation in habitat types (habitat heterogeneity) or physical elevations (topographic heterogeneity) across landscapes. Here, we compare the influences of habitat versus topographic heterogeneity on mammalian range sizes in Africa. Location Africa. Taxon Mammalia. Methods We built a phylogenetic generalized least squares model to predict the range sizes of 1033 mammalian species from their functional traits and abiotic conditions. We assessed how the performance of the model changed when we incorporated measures of the local habitat and, separately, topographic heterogeneity that species experience. Results Habitat and topographic heterogeneity are weakly correlated across Africa ( ρ  = 0.14). Habitat heterogeneity is inversely related to range size (model coefficient = −0.88). Incorporating habitat heterogeneity significantly decreased the model's AICc, increased its likelihood and increased the proportion of variance that is explained in the range sizes of species. Conversely, topographic heterogeneity is not significantly related to range size and had no impact on the model's AICc, likelihood or predictive performance. This contrast between habitat and topographic heterogeneity is particularly prevalent in carnivorous mammalian clades. Results at multiple spatial resolutions differed minimally. Main Conclusions Our findings advance ecological theory by demonstrating that a landscape's variation in habitats, and not in elevations, relates inversely with mammalian range size and therefore facilitates the coexistence of small‐ranged mammals. Conservation efforts in regions of high habitat heterogeneity will be critical to prevent extinctions in Africa's biodiverse mammalian species.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0305-0270 , 1365-2699
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020428-0
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 188963-1
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  • 3
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2014
    In:  Ecography Vol. 37, No. 11 ( 2014-11), p. 1133-1138
    In: Ecography, Wiley, Vol. 37, No. 11 ( 2014-11), p. 1133-1138
    Abstract: Ecological niche models (ENMs) are crucial tools for anticipating range shifts driven by climate change. As hypotheses of future biotic change, they can be difficult to test using independent data. The fossil record is the best way to assess the ability of ENMs to correctly predict range shifts because it provides empirical ranges under novel climate conditions. We tested the performance of ENMs using fossil distributions from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ∼21 000 yr ago). We compared hindcast ENM LGM distribution hypotheses for five species of small mammals, drawn from the published literature, to the known LGM fossil record for those species and found a consistent southern prediction bias in the ENMs. This bias urges caution in interpreting future range predictions, and we suggest that the Pleistocene and Holocene fossil record should be used as an additional resource for calibrating niche modelling for conservation planning.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0906-7590 , 1600-0587
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2024917-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1112659-0
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  • 4
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2013
    In:  Journal of Biogeography Vol. 40, No. 8 ( 2013-08), p. 1490-1500
    In: Journal of Biogeography, Wiley, Vol. 40, No. 8 ( 2013-08), p. 1490-1500
    Abstract: We used newly identified fossil specimens to reconstruct the Quaternary distributions of five Microtus species (Rodentia: Arvicolinae) from the Pacific coast of the United States. We used these distributions to test the hypothesis that when projected onto past, alternative climate surfaces, species distribution models ( SDM s) created using only climate variables are concordant with the empirical data of fossil Microtus species occurrences. Location Specimens from 11 fossil localities in California, Oregon and Nevada were identified and evaluated. Methods Geometric morphometrics and discriminant analyses were used to identify fossil Microtus specimens. Using a maximum‐entropy modelling approach, the best model for all five species was selected using the Akaike information criterion. Nineteen bioclimate variables were used to create SDM s for the five Microtus species using both Community Climate System Model ( CCSM ) and Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate ( MIROC ) models. Results We confidently identified 144 Microtus fossils, including the first fossil specimens of Microtus oregoni and Microtus townsendii . SDM s reconstructed approximately half the extralimital fossil occurrences (i.e. those found outside the present‐day range). Those species with extralimital occurrences not reconstructed have niche models primarily influenced by precipitation variables. The two species whose extralimitals were well predicted occupy indistinguishable climatic niches. Main conclusions The ranges of Pacific coast Microtus species have undergone substantial regional contractions since the Last Glacial Maximum ( LGM ; 21 ka). Inconsistencies between LGM SDM s and Quaternary fossil ranges indicate potential problems with LGM precipitation reconstructions, although interspecific interactions are also likely to contribute to these differences. Overall, the study highlights the need for further, detailed, species‐level palaeodistributions to put recent observations in a broader temporal context and examine the effectiveness of SDM s coupled with climate models for predicting range dynamics under scenarios of climate change.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0305-0270 , 1365-2699
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2013
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020428-0
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 188963-1
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  • 5
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2014
    In:  Ecography Vol. 37, No. 11 ( 2014-11), p. 1092-1094
    In: Ecography, Wiley, Vol. 37, No. 11 ( 2014-11), p. 1092-1094
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0906-7590 , 1600-0587
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2014
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2024917-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1112659-0
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  • 6
    In: Ecography, Wiley, Vol. 2022, No. 1 ( 2022-01)
    Abstract: Understanding how species ranges shift as climates rapidly change informs us how to effectively conserve vulnerable species. Species distribution models (SDMs) are an important method for examining these range shifts. The tools for performing SDMs are ever improving. Here, we present the megaSDM R package. This package facilitates realistic spatiotemporal SDM analyses by incorporating dispersal probabilities, creating time‐step maps of range change dynamics and efficiently handling large datasets and computationally intensive environmental subsampling techniques. Provided a list of species and environmental data, megaSDM synthesizes GIS processing, subsampling methods, MaxEnt modelling, dispersal rate restrictions and additional statistical tools to create a variety of outputs for each species, time period and climate scenario requested. For each of these, megaSDM generates a series of distribution maps and outputs visual representations of statistical data. megaSDM offers several advantages over other commonly used SDM tools. First, many of the functions in megaSDM natively implement parallelization, enabling the package to handle large amounts of data efficiently without the need for additional coding. megaSDM also implements environmental subsampling of occurrences, making the technique broadly available in a way that was not possible before due to computational considerations. Uniquely, megaSDM generates maps showing the expansion and contraction of a species range across all considered time periods (time‐maps), and constrains both presence/absence and continuous suitability maps of species ranges according to species‐specific dispersal constraints. The user can then directly compare non‐dispersal and dispersal‐limited distribution predictions. This paper discusses the unique features and highlights of megaSDM, describes the structure of the package and demonstrates the package's features and the model flow through examples.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0906-7590 , 1600-0587
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2024917-2
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 1112659-0
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  • 7
    In: Global Change Biology, Wiley, Vol. 21, No. 10 ( 2015-10), p. 3595-3607
    Abstract: Perhaps the most pressing issue in predicting biotic responses to present and future global change is understanding how environmental factors shape the relationship between ecological traits and extinction risk. The fossil record provides millions of years of insight into how extinction selectivity (i.e., differential extinction risk) is shaped by interactions between ecological traits and environmental conditions. Numerous paleontological studies have examined trait‐based extinction selectivity; however, the extent to which these patterns are shaped by environmental conditions is poorly understood due to a lack of quantitative synthesis across studies. We conducted a meta‐analysis of published studies on fossil marine bivalves and gastropods that span 458 million years to uncover how global environmental and geochemical changes covary with trait‐based extinction selectivity. We focused on geographic range size and life habit (i.e., infaunal vs. epifaunal), two of the most important and commonly examined predictors of extinction selectivity. We used geochemical proxies related to global climate, as well as indicators of ocean acidification, to infer average global environmental conditions. Life‐habit selectivity is weakly dependent on environmental conditions, with infaunal species relatively buffered from extinction during warmer climate states. In contrast, the odds of taxa with broad geographic ranges surviving an extinction ( 〉 2500 km for genera, 〉 500 km for species) are on average three times greater than narrow‐ranging taxa (estimate of odds ratio: 2.8, 95% confidence interval = 2.3–3.5), regardless of the prevailing global environmental conditions. The environmental independence of geographic range size extinction selectivity emphasizes the critical role of geographic range size in setting conservation priorities.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1354-1013 , 1365-2486
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2015
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020313-5
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  • 8
    In: The Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America, Wiley, Vol. 103, No. 1 ( 2022-01)
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0012-9623 , 2327-6096
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2022
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2040812-2
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  • 9
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2020
    In:  Journal of Biogeography Vol. 47, No. 11 ( 2020-11), p. 2417-2425
    In: Journal of Biogeography, Wiley, Vol. 47, No. 11 ( 2020-11), p. 2417-2425
    Abstract: This study examines how climate shaped Microtus californicus (Rodentia: Arvicolinae) ecomorphology throughout the Quaternary. It tests three hypotheses: (a) climate corresponds with consistent shape variation in M. californicus dentition; (b) Quaternary warming and drying trends caused M. californicus morphotypes to predictably shift in range through time and (c) Quaternary warming and drying led to predictable changes in tooth morphological variation. Finally, we discuss how shifts in climate‐linked morphological variation may affect the potential of M. californicus to react to future climate change. Location Western United States. Taxon Microtus californicus (Peale, 1848). Methods Geometric morphometrics and partial least squares analyses were used to discern how climate contributes to consistent variation in the shapes of the M. californicus lower first molar (m1), validated for the full toothrow. We further corroborate this relationship, reconstructing precipitation at fossil localities using m1 morphology and comparing those values to palaeoclimate‐model‐derived precipitations. Disparity analyses and a MANOVA were performed to examine changes in variation and whether a shift in tooth shape occurred through time. Results Microtus californicus m1 and toothrow shapes are narrower and more curved in cooler, wetter climates. Morphology‐based palaeoclimate reconstructions align with model‐based palaeoclimate estimations. When time averaging is accounted for, M. californicus demonstrates a 12% reduction in variation from fossil to present‐day specimens, and these changes in tooth shape correspond with climate‐related morphotypes. Main conclusions As California became drier and hotter since the late Pleistocene, M. californicus dental morphology generally tracked these changes by adapting to the consumption of rougher vegetation in drier environments. This resulted in the loss of some high‐precipitation morphotypes, indicating that ecomorphology, often observed at the species and community levels, translates to intraspecific variation and dynamically changes in response to changing climates. The loss of climate‐linked morphological variation since the late Pleistocene may limit the ability of M. californicus to respond to future changes in climate. These findings portend that other species may have experienced similar losses in adaptability.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 0305-0270 , 1365-2699
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2020
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020428-0
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 188963-1
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  • 10
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    Online Resource
    Wiley ; 2023
    In:  Global Change Biology Vol. 29, No. 9 ( 2023-05), p. 2421-2435
    In: Global Change Biology, Wiley, Vol. 29, No. 9 ( 2023-05), p. 2421-2435
    Abstract: Endemic species and species with small ranges are ecologically and evolutionarily distinct and are vulnerable to extinction. Determining which abiotic and biotic factors structure patterns of endemism on continents can advance our understanding of global biogeographic processes, but spatial patterns of mammalian endemism have not yet been effectively predicted and reconstructed. Using novel null model techniques, we reconstruct trends in mammalian endemism and describe the isolated and combined effects of physiographic, ecological, and evolutionary factors on endemism. We calculated weighted endemism for global continental ecoregions and compared the spatial distribution of endemism to niche‐based, geographic null models of endemism. These null models distribute species randomly across continents, simulating their range sizes from their degree of climatic specialization. They isolate the effects of physiography (topography and climate) and species richness on endemism. We then ran linear and structural models to determine how topography and historical climate stability influence endemism. The highest rates of mammalian endemism were found in topographically rough, climatically stable ecoregions with many species. The null model that isolated physiography did not closely approximate the observed distribution of endemism ( r 2  = .09), whereas the null model that incorporated both physiography and species richness did ( r 2  = .59). The linear models demonstrate that topography and climatic stability both influenced endemism values, but that average climatic niche breadth was not highly correlated with endemism. Climate stability and topography both influence weighted endemism in mammals, but the spatial distribution of mammalian endemism is driven by a combination of physiography and species richness. Despite its relationship to individual range size, average climate niche breadth has only a weak influence on endemism. The results highlight the importance of historical biogeographic processes (e.g. centers of speciation) and geography in driving endemism patterns, and disentangle the mechanisms structuring species ranges worldwide.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1354-1013 , 1365-2486
    URL: Issue
    Language: English
    Publisher: Wiley
    Publication Date: 2023
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2020313-5
    SSG: 12
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